Pablo Carreno-Busta vs Alex De Minaur Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison
Wojtek Kolan
HEAD TO HEAD
P. Carreno-Busta vs A. De Minaur
Pablo Carreno-Busta
ESP
w
l
w
w
w
w
l
l
w
l
2
Win
2
Played
0
Win
34
Age
26
6'2" (188 cm)
Height
6'0" (183 cm)
89
C. Rank
7
10
Best Rank
6
7
Total Titles
10
0
YTD Titles
1
$10.7M
Career Money
$13.8M
Right-Handed
Plays
Right-Handed
Alex De Minaur
AUS
w
w
l
w
w
l
l
l
w
l
2
Win
2
Played
0
Win
34
Age
26
6'2" (188 cm)
Height
6'0" (183 cm)
89
C. Rank
7
10
Best Rank
6
7
Total Titles
10
0
YTD Titles
1
$10.7M
Career Money
$13.8M
Right-Handed
Plays
Right-Handed
Head-to-head: Carreno-Busta 2 - 0 Minaur
They have played 7 sets in total, with Pablo Carreno-Busta winning 6 and Alex De Minaur winning 1. The last match between Pablo Carreno-Busta and Alex De Minaur was at the U.S. Open - New York, 02-09-2022, Round: R3, Surface: Hard, with Pablo Carreno-Busta getting the victory 6-1 6-1 3-6 7-6(5).
| Players | Head To Head Match Wins |
|---|---|
| Carreno-Busta | 2 |
| Minaur | 0 |
Last 2 H2H Matches:
(R3) U.S. Open - New York(09-02-22)
Pablo Carreno-Busta
6
6
3
7
Alex De Minaur
1
1
6
6
(R2) French Open - Paris(05-29-19)
Pablo Carreno-Busta
6
6
6
Alex De Minaur
3
1
1
P. Carreno-Busta vs A. D. Minaur H2H Profile
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| $10,687,070 | Career Prize Money | $13,814,330 |
| 63.25% (611-355) | Career Total W/L | 64.47% (421-232) |
| 1 | Clay | 0 |
| 1 | Hard | 0 |
| 33 | Titles | 12 |
| 2 | Total H2H Matches | 0 |
| 37.50% (9-15) | YTD Win/Loss | 70.00% (56-24) |
| 0 | YTD Titles | 1 |
P. Carreno-Busta vs A. D. Minaur Match Preview:
- Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Pablo Carreno-Busta has won 43.53% of points on their second serve, while Alex De Minaur has won 46.48%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
- Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Pablo Carreno-Busta, in recent form, has won 47.32% of their opponent's second serve points, while Alex De Minaur has won 43.19%. The same stats for first serve returns are 27.14% and 23.87% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
- Under pressure analysis: Pablo Carreno-Busta has saved 54.66% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Alex De Minaur has saved 56.65% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Performance overview: Over the last year Pablo Carreno-Busta has won 59.42% of matches played (W/L 41/28), with Alex De Minaur winning 70.00% (W/L 56/24) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
- Best surface: Pablo Carreno-Busta has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 66% (W/L 355/186), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 30% (W/L 6/14). Alex De Minaur has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 66% (W/L 54/25), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 57% (W/L 75/56).
- Player level: In the last year, Pablo Carreno-Busta has played most of their matches on the Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K, winning 75.68% of matches (W/L 28/9), where as Alex De Minaur has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 75.00% of matches (W/L 21/7). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
- Direct H2H matches: They have played 2 times before with Pablo Carreno-Busta winning 2 times and Alex De Minaur being victorious 0 times. They have played 7 sets in total, with Pablo Carreno-Busta winning 6 and Alex De Minaur winning 1.
- The last match between Pablo Carreno-Busta and Alex De Minaur was at the U.S. Open - New York, 02-09-2022, Round: R3, Surface: Hard, with Pablo Carreno-Busta getting the victory 6-1 6-1 3-6 7-6(5).
- Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:25:30.
- Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Pablo Carreno-Busta has played against opponents with an average rank of 187.64 while Alex De Minaur has played against players with an average rank of 61.52.
- Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Pablo Carreno-Busta has won 50% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Alex De Minaur has won 44% in all matches played on tour.
- Break point conversion: In recent form, Pablo Carreno-Busta has converted 32.90% of breakpoint opportunities, and Alex De Minaur has converted 27.23% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
Pablo Carreno-Busta vs Alex De Minaur Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.
P. Carreno-Busta vs A. D. Minaur H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| 2 | H2H Matches Won | 0 |
| 6 | Sets Won | 1 |
| 40 | Games Won | 19 |
| 10 | Aces (Total) | 14 |
| 1 | Total Double Faults | 12 |
| 2:25:30 | Average Match Time | 2:25:30 |
| 67% (120/178) | 1st Serve % | 57% (130/227) |
| 78% (93/120) | 1st Serve Win % | 64% (83/130) |
| 59% (34/58) | 2nd Serve Win % | 42% (41/97) |
| 46% (12/26) | Break Pts Won % | 9% (1/11) |
| 45% (103/227) | Return Points Win % | 29% (51/178) |
| 100% (2/2) | Best‑of‑5 Win % | 0% (0/2) |
| 100% (2/2) | 1st Set Won, Won Match | 0% (0/0) |
| 0% (0/2) | 1st Set Won, Lost Match | 0% (0/0) |
| 0% (0/0) | 1st Set Lost, Won Match | 0% (0/2) |
Recent Performance Stats
2nd Serve Win %: Carreno-Busta 52%, Minaur 57%.
Opp 2nd Serve Pts Won: Carreno-Busta 54%, Minaur 54%.
Break Points Saved %: Carreno-Busta 62%, Minaur 63%.
P. Carreno-Busta Recent Matches Played
| OPPONENT | RESULT | SCORE | H2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Davis Cup, World Group, F, ITA-ESP 2-0 - 17-11-2025 | ||||
Rubber 1  Matteo BerrettiniM. Berrettini | L | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Davis Cup, World Group, SF, ESP-GER 2-1 - 17-11-2025 | ||||
Rubber 1  Jan-Lennard StruffJ. Struff | W | 6-4 7-6(6) | ||
| Davis Cup, World Group, QF, ESP-CZE 2-1 - 17-11-2025 | ||||
Rubber 1  Jakub MensikJ. Mensik | L | 7-5 6-4 | ||
| Olbia Challenger - 13-10-2025 | ||||
F  Luca Van AsscheL. Van | L | 7-6(5) 6-7(1) 6-2 | ||
SF Martin LandaluceM. Landaluce | W | 6-2 3-6 6-3 | ||
A. D. Minaur Recent Matches Played
| OPPONENT | RESULT | SCORE | H2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nitto ATP Finals - Turin - 10-11-2025 | ||||
SF Jannik SinnerJ. Sinner | L | 7-5 6-2 | ||
Robin  Taylor FritzT. Fritz | W | 7-6(3) 6-3 | ||
Robin Lorenzo MusettiL. Musetti | L | 7-5 3-6 7-5 | ||
Robin Carlos AlcarazC. Alcaraz | L | 7-6(5) 6-2 | ||
| Rolex Paris Masters - Paris - 27-10-2025 | ||||
QF  Alexander BublikA. Bublik | L | 6-7(5) 6-4 7-5 | ||
P. Carreno-Busta vs A. D. Minaur Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| 63.25% (611/355) | YTD Win/Loss | 64.47% (421/232) |
| 60.13% (1433/950) | Sets Win/Loss | 60.93% (1001/642) |
| 53.49% (12166/10580) | Games Win/Loss | 53.91% (8383/7167) |
| 65.35% (198/105) | Hard Win/Loss | 67.45% (201/97) |
| 65.62% (355/186) | Clay Win/Loss | 57.25% (75/56) |
| 50.98% (52/50) | Indoor Hard W/L | 62.76% (91/54) |
| 30.00% (6/14) | Grass Win/Loss | 68.35% (54/25) |
| 0.26 | Aces Per Game | 0.3 |
| 2864 | Aces Total | 2269 |
| 0.12 | Double Faults Per Game | 0.21 |
| 1384 | Total Double Faults | 1616 |
| 1:21:15 | Average Match Time | 1:45:12 |
| 486.92 | Average Opponent Rank | 280.15 |
| 64% (35944/56288) | 1st Serve % | 58% (27310/46777) |
| 70% (25056/35944) | 1st Serve Win % | 71% (19283/27327) |
| 52% (10546/20339) | 2nd Serve Win % | 54% (10459/19482) |
| 42% (2307/5554) | Break Points Won % (Total) | 43% (2046/4781) |
| 39% (22215/56929) | Return Points Win % | 40% (19470/48360) |
| 59.41% (60/41) | Slam W/L | 64.58% (62/34) |
| 52.59% (71/64) | Masters W/L | 55.20% (69/56) |
| 52.17% (12/11) | Cups W/L | 61.54% (24/15) |
| 56.38% (168/130) | Main Tour W/L | 67.52% (158/76) |
| 0.00% (0/2) | Tour Finals W/L | 14.29% (1/6) |
| 70.56% (151/63) | Challenger W/L | 66.67% (52/26) |
| 77.01% (144/43) | Futures W/L | 74.32% (55/19) |
| 64% (542/850) | Best of 3 Sets Win % | 64% (343/537) |
| 59% (61/104) | Best of 5 Sets Win % | 66% (72/109) |
| 57% (208/368) | Tiebreaks Win % (Total) | 56% (132/234) |
| 55% (170/308) | Deciding Set Win % | 58% (108/187) |
| 86% (596/515) | 1st Set Won, Won Match | 88% (401/352) |
| 13% (596/79) | 1st Set Won, Lost Match | 12% (401/49) |
| 26% (368/94) | 1st Set Lost, Won Match | 27% (252/69) |
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