Prediction of Ozan Baris vs Andrea Fiorentini at M15 Antalya 12-04-25

• In recent months, Ozan Baris shows superior performance on their second serve, capturing 43.94% of points, whereas Andrea Fiorentini trails with 39.05%.
• Question: Which player has an edge in return game statistics? Andrea Fiorentini, claiming 47.18% of points on their opponent's second serve compared to Ozan Baris' 44.33%.
• When facing first serves, Fiorentini exceeds Baris, winning 32.24% against Baris' 26.57%.
• Under pressure, Baris demonstrates stronger breakpoint resilience, saving 59.17%, while Fiorentini manages 52.72%.
• In overall match success over the past year, Baris holds a marginal edge, winning 52.94% of their matches, whereas Fiorentini has won 48.15%.
• Question: Which surfaces favor each player? Baris excels on indoor hard courts with a 57% win rate, and Fiorentini thrives on clay with an identical 57% win rate.
• Analyzing recent matches played, Baris boasts better performance at the ITF $10K level, achieving a 75% win rate compared to Fiorentini's 48.15%.
• Over the past year, Baris has faced generally lower-ranked opponents than Fiorentini, with average rankings of 427.59 versus 328.52.
• In deciding sets, Baris displays a significant advantage, clinching 67% of these matches in contrast to Fiorentini's 44% success rate.

Editorial Prediction (December 3, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming tennis match presents interesting dynamics based on recent performances. Ozan Baris demonstrates a marginal advantage in second serve points won, a critical factor for match success.

Andrea Fiorentini leads in returning skills on both first and second serves, suggesting they could apply pressure in Baris' service games. However, Baris' ability to save breakpoints effectively could counterbalance this threat.

Despite both players showcasing strengths on preferred surfaces, in terms of overall match performance, Baris edges ahead, particularly at the ITF $10K level.

Taking into account their performance in deciding sets, Baris appears more reliable, suggesting an edge in high-pressure scenarios.

Considering the overall statistics and performance trends, Ozan Baris emerges as the likely winner of the upcoming match against Andrea Fiorentini.