Nikolai Barsukov vs Miguel Damas Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• When it comes to second serve performance over the past six months, Barsukov edges out Damas, with 44.56% to Damas's 41.54%. Could this slight advantage impact the match outcome? Higher second serve accuracy often correlates with success, possibly favoring Barsukov here.
• In terms of returning second serves, Barsukov again leads with 47.58% compared to Damas's 44.81%. However, Damas shows a significant advantage on first serve returns, winning 34.42% as opposed to Barsukov's 29.09%. Which return game aspect will be more crucial?
• Under pressure, Barsukov seems more resilient, saving 56.42% of breakpoints versus Damas's 48.95%. This might be a key factor during critical points in the match.
• Looking at the past year's performance, Damas demonstrates more consistent success, having secured 67.37% of his matches, while Barsukov has won 44.83%. This suggests Damas may have a stronger overall game.
• Their best surfaces vary: Damas excels on clay with a 62% win rate, while Barsukov is most successful on indoor hard courts, with the same win percentage. What surface will they be playing on?
• Analyzing tournament levels, Damas appears the favorite at the Futures/Satellites/ITF $10K level, winning 75.00% of his matches, while Barsukov lags with 44.44% wins. How might these figures translate to the upcoming match?
• Regarding opponent quality, Damas faces slightly tougher competition on average, with opponents ranked around 410.89 compared to Barsukov's average opponent ranking of 450.86.
• Damas also holds a marginal edge in deciding set situations, winning 52% of those over the past year against Barsukov's 50% success rate.

Editorial Prediction (October 19, 2025, UTC):

Analyzing their recent form, Nikolai Barsukov demonstrates slight advantages in second serve accuracy and breakpoint saving efficiency, which could play crucial roles in pivotal moments of their match. His resilience under pressure gives him a reliable edge.

However, Miguel Damas exhibits far stronger overall results across tournaments in the past year, boasting significantly more wins and facing stiffer competition. His proficiency in returning first serves also gives him an important strategic advantage.

Given Damas's superior win rate and experience against stronger opponents, alongside his ability to succeed in deciding sets, he emerges as the stronger contender for the upcoming match.

While both players have distinct strengths, Miguel Damas is most likely to secure victory in this encounter.