Naoki Nakagawa vs Taiyo Yamanaka Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In the last six months, Nakagawa outperforms Yamanaka in second serve points won, securing 47.83%, slightly ahead of Yamanaka's 45.29%. Could better second serve numbers give Nakagawa an edge in the match?
• Yamanaka has a stronger track record in breaking opponents' second serve returns, winning 44.44% compared to Nakagawa's 41.51%.
• Both players display a similar discrepancy in winning first-serve return points: Yamanaka is more effective at 26.05%, while Nakagawa lags at 22.91%.
• Nakagawa has a marginally better breakpoint save rate at 53.63% compared to Yamanaka's 51.85% — a crucial factor for tight game situations.
• Over the last year, Yamanaka has a superior match win rate of 61.9% in contrast to Nakagawa's 48.98% — is this indicative of Yamanaka's stronger competitive ability?
• Both players have their highest career win percentages on indoor hard surfaces, with Yamanaka having a 67% success rate and Nakagawa at 61%.
• When considering the level of competition, Yamanaka has faced players with a higher average ranking (290.27) compared to Nakagawa (433.1), suggesting Yamanaka might be more prepared for high-caliber matches.
• In their sole previous encounter, Yamanaka prevailed, winning both sets and securing a decisive 7-6(4) 6-1 victory on a hard surface.
• Their deciding set performance favors Nakagawa, who has a 50% win rate in recent tournaments, while Yamanaka only manages a 38% success rate.
• Notably, Yamanaka is more efficient in converting break points, with a conversion rate of 33.85%, compared to Nakagawa’s 27.84%.

Editorial Prediction (September 17, 2025, UTC):

Both players demonstrate strengths and weaknesses that could influence the outcome of their upcoming match. Nakagawa shows slight superiority in second serve points won and breaking under pressure with a higher breakpoint save percentage. However, Yamanaka excels in breaking opponent serves and converting break points, alongside a stronger overall match win rate in the past year.

Yamanaka's prior victory over Nakagawa and consistent performance on similar surfaces further strengthen his position. Additionally, having competed against higher-ranked opponents recently may provide Yamanaka with the necessary experience to handle Nakagawa's play.

Considering these statistics and performance patterns, Yamanaka is likely to emerge as the winner in their upcoming encounter.