Mia Ristic vs Marie Vogt Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Vogt has a slight edge in second serve performance, winning 42.93% of points compared to Ristic's 38.19% over the recent six months.
• Return game statistics indicate Vogt claims 50.41% of opponents' second serve points, narrowly outperforming Ristic at 49.47%.
• When it comes to returning first serves, Ristic prevails slightly with 37.14% compared to Vogt's 36.39%.
• Under pressure, Vogt saves 53.51% of breakpoints, better than Ristic's 48.68%, showcasing superior mental resilience.
• In the past year, Vogt has a win percentage of 62.03% in matches, versus Ristic's 59.49%, giving Vogt a marginal advantage.
• Surface preference analysis shows Vogt excels on Clay (61%), whereas Ristic performs best on Hard courts (68%).
• Both players often compete in Challenger/ITF events, with Ristic having a slightly higher win ratio of 60.27% compared to Vogt's 55.56%.
• The competition level for Ristic has been higher, with an average opponent rank of 352.25, as opposed to Vogt's 394.85.
• In deciding sets, Vogt shows better performance, winning 65% of such sets, while Ristic lags at 48%.
• For break point conversion, Ristic leads with 40.19% over Vogt's 37.46%, proving more efficient in crucial moments.

Editorial Prediction (July 23, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match showcases two players with their own unique strengths and weaknesses. Vogt has the upper hand in winning crucial second serve points and maintaining composure during high-pressure scenarios, including saving break points.

Ristic, however, shines with a stronger break point conversion rate and a higher winning percentage on Hard courts, a factor that could play significantly if the match is held on this surface.

The competition Ristic has faced recently is of higher quality, potentially giving him an edge in dealing with tough matches, though Vogt's impressive deciding set performance should not be overlooked.

Based on the overall assessment, Vogt appears more likely to clinch this match, owing to his consistency and mental fortitude under pressure.