Mia Ristic vs Lia Karatancheva Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Recent second serve performance indicates Lia Karatancheva wins 42.28% of points compared to Mia Ristic's 37.68%. Could this give Karatancheva an edge in tight service games?
• Lia excels slightly on second serve returns, winning 51.07% of points, whereas Mia is just behind at 48.67%.
• First serve return stats are fairly even, with Ristic at 37.74% and Karatancheva at 37.50%.
• Under pressure, Mia Ristic saves 47.90% of breakpoints, higher than Lia’s 44.97%, suggesting Ristic might handle crucial moments better.
• In the past year, Ristic has a higher match win rate (64.89%) compared to Karatancheva (54.29%), potentially indicating better overall form.
• On hard courts, Mia performs best with a career win percentage of 68%, while Karatancheva excels on clay at the same win rate of 68%.
• Both players have predominantly competed in Challengers/ITF events over the past year, with Ristic posting a slightly higher win rate.
• The direct head-to-head record favors Karatancheva, who has won both encounters, securing four of five sets played.
• Ristic faces slightly lower-ranked opponents on average (331.31) compared to Karatancheva (314.54), possibly reflecting different competitive challenges faced.
• In deciding sets, Ristic emerges stronger, winning 59% over the past year versus Karatancheva’s 33%.

Editorial Prediction (October 4, 2025, UTC):

The head-to-head record between Mia Ristic and Lia Karatancheva heavily favors Karatancheva, as she has won both previous matches. This confidence going into the match could be significant.

Ristic shows resilience under pressure, saving more breakpoints and succeeding more often in deciding sets, which might be decisive if the match becomes tight.

While Karatancheva holds an advantage on second serve performance in recent form, Ristic demonstrates a more solid overall seasonal performance with a higher match win rate.

Factoring in surface preferences, Karatancheva's proficiency on clay gives her a potential edge depending on the event's surface.

Considering these aspects, Lia Karatancheva is most likely to come away with a victory in the upcoming match. Nonetheless, Mia Ristic's potential to handle pressure could make for a competitive encounter.