Mert Alkaya vs Andrea Bacaloni Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second serve performance: Recently, Mert Alkaya has won 42.67% of points on their second serve, compared to Andrea Bacaloni's 40.81%. Does this give Alkaya a slight edge? Yes, it does.
• Return game comparison: Mert Alkaya has won 45.06% of opponent's second serve points lately, while Andrea Bacaloni has achieved 47.27%. However, in first serve returns, Bacaloni outperforms, capturing 31.61% compared to Alkaya's 25.55%.
• Handling pressure: Alkaya has saved 51.29% of breakpoints against them recently, slightly better than Bacaloni’s 50.00%. Could this influence in crucial moments? Potentially, yes.
• Yearly performance: Over the past year, Alkaya has won 67.57% of their matches, whereas Bacaloni has recorded a 65.52% win rate.
• Surface strength: Alkaya excels on Hard courts with a 66% career win rate, whereas Bacaloni prefers Clay with an identical 66% success rate.
• Level of play: Both players have mainly competed at the ITF $10K level, with Alkaya winning 68.06% of matches, slightly better than Bacaloni's 65.52%.
• Head-to-head history: They've met once previously, with Alkaya winning that encounter decisively, not dropping any sets.
• Match duration and format: Their prior match averaged just over an hour, with Alkaya's dominant win, 6-1, 6-2.
• Opponent caliber: Alkaya has faced lower-ranked opponents, averaging a rank of 456.96, whereas Bacaloni's opponents have been around 129.33.
• Deciding set successfully managed: Bacaloni has an impressive 83% wins in deciding sets, while Alkaya handles these at a 42% success rate. Could this be critical? Yes, in tight matches.

Editorial Prediction (October 23, 2025, UTC):

Mert Alkaya's better performance on second serves and slightly stronger record when under pressure could be pivotal in their upcoming tennis match against Andrea Bacaloni.

Despite having faced generally lower-ranked opponents over the past year, Alkaya's recent head-to-head win and overall match win rate offer optimism for a repeat victory.

However, it's important to acknowledge Bacaloni's stronger return game, especially on first serves, and their outstanding performance in deciding sets which can add an element of unpredictability.

Given these comparisons and considering previous encounters, Mert Alkaya is slightly favored to win the match.