Matthew Dellavedova vs Ren Nakamura Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• When examining second serve statistics, Dellavedova has secured 42.49% of points on their second serve over the past six months, surpassing Nakamura's 36.36%. Could this give Dellavedova an upper hand in upcoming rallies? It seems likely.
• In return games, Dellavedova again outperforms Nakamura with 43.43% of second serve return points won compared to Nakamura's 41.91%.
• First serve returns also favor Dellavedova, scoring a 27.58% success rate over Nakamura's 23.68%, pointing to a potentially stronger defensive game.
• Break-point saving abilities are crucial under pressure. Dellavedova excels here, saving 50.27% of breakpoints compared to Nakamura's 38.81%.
• Over the past year, Dellavedova's match-winning percentage stands at 58.82%, significantly ahead of Nakamura's 46.67%.
• Both players find their least success on indoor hard courts, though Dellavedova performs slightly worse with a 17% win rate versus Nakamura's 38%.
• Analyzing the levels they play at, Dellavedova boasts more success in the Futures/Satellites/ITF tournaments with a 70.18% match-winning rate, while Nakamura holds a 46.67% rate at the same level.
• Assessments from prior encounters show Dellavedova has always been victorious, winning their only direct head-to-head battle convincingly.
• Experiencing intense matches, such as going into deciding sets and tiebreaks, Dellavedova proves more efficient, with a 68% success rate in deciding sets this past year.
• For break-point conversions recently, Dellavedova again leads, converting 32.18% as opposed to Nakamura's 26.92%.

Editorial Prediction (August 26, 2025, UTC):

As the players head into their next match, Dellavedova seems to have a consistent edge. His stronger second serve performance and better breakpoint saving record suggest he could capitalize on critical opportunities.

Dellavedova's higher performance in return games further fortifies his position as the favorite, combining effectively with his generally superior track record over the past year.

While Nakamura does have areas of strength, such as his performance on grass, the upcoming match suggests Dellavedova's balanced and robust game play across different metrics gives him a marked advantage.

Factoring in these elements, Dellavedova appears most likely to secure a win in the forthcoming match against Nakamura.