Matteo Berrettini vs Jurij Rodionov Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In recent months, Matteo Berrettini has demonstrated stronger performance on his second serve compared to Jurij Rodionov, winning 51.92% of those points versus Rodionov's 45.84%. Could this give Berrettini an edge in this match?
• When it comes to returning, Jurij Rodionov has outperformed Berrettini, winning 45.67% of points on opponents' second serves, compared to Berrettini's 38.58%.
• For first serve returns, Rodionov again leads with a 26.86% win rate, while Berrettini trails at 21.01%.
• Under pressure, such as when saving breakpoints, Rodionov is slightly more successful, with a 53.37% save rate compared to Berrettini's 51.95%.
• Over the past year, Rodionov has a marginally better match win rate overall at 58.57% compared to Berrettini's 55.26%, though their match environments differ significantly.
• Berrettini excels on grass courts with a 78% career win rate, whereas Rodionov's best surface is indoor hard courts, where he also holds a 78% win rate.
• Recent competitions have seen Berrettini competing primarily on the Main tour, with a 52.63% win rate, while Rodionov has been more active in Challenger/ITF events, winning 61.40% of his matches.
• Considering opponent quality, Berrettini faces significantly tougher competition on average, with his opponents ranked at 59.11 versus Rodionov's average opponent rank of 244.94.
• In deciding sets, Rodionov has a noticeable advantage, winning 66% of them, as opposed to Berrettini's 46% success rate.

Editorial Prediction (November 19, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming tennis match between Matteo Berrettini and Jurij Rodionov showcases intriguing contrasts in recent performance and match conditions. Berrettini demonstrates superior prowess on his second serve, a factor that often correlates with match success. However, Rodionov's stronger return game, especially on second serves, might pose significant challenges for Berrettini.

Despite Berrettini's experience on larger stages, Rodionov's match win rate in lesser competitive environments should not be underestimated. Another critical component is Rodionov's superior ability to win deciding sets, which could tilt the match in his favor if it goes the distance.

Considering the quality of opponents faced, Berrettini's experience against high-ranking players may favor him, yet Rodionov's resilience in close matches suggests he could triumph if pressure situations arise.

Ultimately, the prediction leans towards Jurij Rodionov, who is likely to capitalize on his effective return game and mental fortitude in deciding sets, securing a win in this match.