Matteo Berrettini vs Emil Ruusuvuori Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• How does Matteo Berrettini's performance on second serves recently compare to Emil Ruusuvuori's? Berrettini has a slight edge, winning 51.92% of points compared to Ruusuvuori's 49.55%.
• When returning his opponent's second serve, Ruusuvuori has outperformed Berrettini, winning 44.09% of points against Berrettini's 38.58%.
• Both are closely matched on first serve returns with Ruusuvuori winning 21.36% of points, a marginal lead over Berrettini's 21.01%.
• Under pressure, Ruusuvuori has demonstrated stronger breakpoint resilience, saving 60.00% of breakpoints compared to Berrettini's 51.95%.
• Over the past year, Berrettini holds a superior match win percentage at 56.41%, surpassing Ruusuvuori's 39.29%.
• Reflecting on their career-best surfaces, Berrettini excels on Grass with a 78% win rate, while Ruusuvuori performs best on Indoor Hard with the same percentage.
• Berrettini has primarily competed at the Main tour level, winning 52.63% of his matches; Ruusuvuori has mostly played in Challenger/ITF events with a 43.48% win rate.
• In direct head-to-head encounters, Berrettini has had the upper hand, winning the only match against Ruusuvuori, which lasted an average of 2:40:31.
• Facing higher-ranked opponents on average, Berrettini's opponents have an average ranking of 53.38, whereas Ruusuvuori's are lower, averaging 262.32.
• In deciding sets, Ruusuvuori has demonstrated a slightly better win rate, securing 50% of deciding sets compared to Berrettini's 42% over the past year.

Editorial Prediction (December 22, 2025, UTC):

Considering the recent form and comparative statistics, Matteo Berrettini shows a slight advantage in second serve efficiency, which is often a critical factor in match outcomes. His capacity to compete against higher-ranked opponents further underscores his experience at a higher competitive level.

Emil Ruusuvuori, despite his superior breakpoint saving ability and effectiveness in return games, has less experience against top-tier players. This disparity might prove decisive, especially in high-pressure situations and at pivotal stages of the match.

While Ruusuvuori performs better in deciding sets and has an outstanding record on Indoor Hard surfaces, the inability to convert opportunities in head-to-head and against highly ranked opponents might play a key role in the outcome.

Based on these observations, Matteo Berrettini is slightly favored to emerge victorious in this upcoming contest, given his proven performance in close matches and superior track record against stronger opponents.