Matteo Arnaldi vs Roberto Bautista Agut Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• How do the players perform on their second serve? Arnaldi has a slight edge, winning 48.41% of points compared to Agut's 47.95%.
• In terms of return game stats, which player excels? Agut is stronger in returning second serves, winning 50.68% of points as opposed to Arnaldi's 42.64%.
• Their first serve return stats are almost identical, with Arnaldi at 26.69% and Agut at 26.87%.
• Under pressure, Agut is marginally better at saving breakpoints, with a save rate of 55.65% compared to Arnaldi's 54.09%.
• Evaluating their match performance over the past year: Arnaldi has a slight edge with a 51.92% win rate, versus Agut’s 50%.
• Surface preferences: Arnaldi performs best on Clay with a 66% win rate, while Agut excels on Grass with a 67% win rate. Arnaldi is weakest on I.hard, while Agut's weakest surface is Clay.
• Has either player faced tougher competition recently? Arnaldi has faced opponents with a higher average ranking of 63.71, compared to Agut's 76.52.
• If a match reaches a deciding set, Agut has a slight advantage, winning 48% compared to Arnaldi's 45% of such sets.
• When it comes to break point conversion, Agut converts more opportunities at 35.16%, compared to Arnaldi’s 27.27%.

Editorial Prediction (May 7, 2025, UTC):

Arnaldi and Agut have shown closely matched statistics in various aspects of their game. While Arnaldi has a slight edge in second serve performance, they lag behind Agut in return game statistics and break point conversion rates. Agut also shows slightly better mental toughness under pressure as evidenced by higher breakpoint save rates.

Considering playing conditions, both players exhibit their strengths on different surfaces. However, Agut's overall return game and ability to capitalize on break points may give them a critical edge. Arnaldi has faced slightly tougher opponents recently, suggesting they could handle high-pressure situations effectively.

Given these factors, Agut is slightly more favored to win due to their consistency in pivotal match aspects, particularly in returning serves and break point conversion.