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Matteo Arnaldi vs Luca Castagnola Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Arnaldi vs Castagnola analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Matteo Arnaldi vs Luca Castagnola Important H2H Prediction Stats:

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Arnaldi has won 50.84% of points on his second serve, while Castagnola has won 48.15%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Arnaldi, in recent form, has won 48.01% of his opponent's second serve points, while Castagnola has won 58.02%. The same stats for first serve returns are 29.65% and 38.48% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Arnaldi has saved 60.54% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Castagnola has saved 54.96% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Arnaldi has won 65.71% of matches played (W/L 46/ 24), with Castagnola winning 58.82% (W/L 40/ 28) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Arnaldi has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 67% (W/L 118/ 57), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 39% (W/L 12/ 19). Castagnola has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 62% (W/L 48/ 29), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 50% (W/L 1/ 1).
  • Player level: In the last year, Arnaldi has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 59.26% of matches (W/L 16/ 11), where as Castagnola has played most of their matches on the Futures/Satellites/ITF tournaments $10K, winning 64.41% of matches (W/L 38/ 21). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 1 times before with Arnaldi winning 1 times. They have played 2 sets in total, with Arnaldi winning 2 and Castagnola winning 0. The last match between Arnaldi and Castagnola was at the M25 Skopje, 29-09-2021, First, Clay with Matteo Arnaldi getting the victory .
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:28:0.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Arnaldi and Castagnola have played a deciding set 0 times, with Arnaldi winning 0 times and Castagnola 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 0 tiebreaks against each other with Arnaldi winning 0, and Castagnola 0.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Arnaldi has played against opponents with an average rank of 170.16 while Castagnola has played against players with an average rank of 119.62.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Arnaldi has won 58% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Castagnola has won 57% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Arnaldi has converted 34.74% of breakpoint opportunities, and Castagnola has converted 52.6% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
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Head-to-head: Arnaldi 1 - 0 Castagnola

Matteo Arnaldi

6

Total

0

Mast

4

Chall

0

Slam

0

Main

2

Minor

36

Rank

35

High

23

Age

Plays

1

Total

0

0

Hard

0

1

Clay

0

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

636

Rank

632

High

21

Age

Plays

Luca Castagnola

1

Total

0

Mast

0

Chall

0

Slam

0

Main

1

Minor

1

Total

0

0

Hard

0

1

Clay

0

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

L W W W L L W W W L

Form

L W W W L W W W L L

63% (200-115)

Career Total W/L

58% (140-100)

57% (13-10)

YTD W/L

62% (13-8)

$1,162,145

Career Prize Money

$0

0

YTD Titles

0

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Arnaldi VS Castagnola H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Matteo Arnaldi Luca Castagnola
All H2H Matches 1 0
Sets Won 2 0
Games Won 12 5
Aces (Total) 2 0
DFs (Total) 4 2
Avg Match Time 1:28:0 1:28:0
1st Serve % 56% (35/63) 72% (34/47)
1st Serve Win% 71% (25/35) 47% (16/34)
2nd Serve Win% 46% (13/28) 46% (6/13)
BPs Won% (Total) 50% (5/10) 33% (2/6)
Return Points W% 53% (25/47) 40% (25/63)
Best of 3 Sets W% 100% (1/1) 0% (0/1)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Deciding Set Win% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
1st set W, W 100% (1/1) 0% (0/0)
1st set W, L 0% (1/0) 0% (0/0)
1st set L, W 0% (0/0) 0% (1/0)

Arnaldi VS Castagnola H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
6-2 6-3
cross
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Luca Castagnola
56% ( 35 of 63)
1st Serve %
72% ( 34 of 47)
2
Aces
0
4
Double Faults
2
71% ( 25 of 35)
1st Serve Won
47% ( 16 of 34)
46% ( 13 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 6 of 13)
50% ( 5 of 10)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
40% ( 25 of 63)
Rtn Points Won
53% ( 25 of 47)
63
Total Points Won
47

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Matteo Arnaldi Luca Castagnola
YTD W/L 57% (13/10) 62% (13/8)
Sets Win/Loss 54% (31/26) 60% (28/19)
Games Win/Loss 50% (290/289) 56% (245/189)
Hard Win/Loss 56% (10/8) 65% (13/7)
Clay Win/Loss 60% (3/2) 0% (0/1)
Indoor Hard W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Grass Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Aces pg 0.59 0.08
Aces Total 168 16
DFs per game 0.22 0.35
DFs Total 62 75
Avg Match Time 2:7:54 1:35:30
Avg Opp Rank 181.83 133.71
1st Serve % 56% (1061/1882) 66% (785/1190)
1st Serve W% 72% (766/1061) 63% (491/785)
2nd Serve W% 50% (414/821) 48% (195/405)
BPs Won% Total 36% (62/174) 53% (81/154)
Return Pts W% 37% (706/1891) 46% (581/1263)
Slam W/L 50% (1/1) 0% (0/0)
Masters W/L 57% (4/3) 0% (0/0)
Cups W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Main Tour W/L 57% (8/6) 0% (0/0)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/1)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 65% (13/7)
Best of 3 Sets W% 55% (11/20) 62% (13/21)
Best of 5 Sets W% 50% (1/2) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 67% (8/12) 33% (3/9)
Deciding Set W% 45% (5/11) 60% (3/5)
1st set W, W 75% (12/9) 91% (11/10)
1st set W, L 25% (12/3) 9% (11/1)
1st set L, W 30% (10/3) 30% (10/3)

Matteo Arnaldi Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
QF
cross
Casper Ruud
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
75% ( 50 of 67)
1st Serve %
53% ( 27 of 51)
2
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
1
60% ( 30 of 50)
1st Serve Won
56% ( 15 of 27)
71% ( 12 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 11 of 24)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
25% ( 2 of 8)
37% ( 25 of 67)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 25 of 51)
67
Total Points Won
51
L
6-4 6-3 H2H
R3
cross
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Marco Trungelliti
55% ( 26 of 47)
1st Serve %
61% ( 38 of 62)
2
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
2
85% ( 22 of 26)
1st Serve Won
55% ( 21 of 38)
67% ( 14 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 9 of 24)
29% ( 4 of 14)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
23% ( 11 of 47)
Rtn Points Won
52% ( 32 of 62)
68
Total Points Won
41
W
6-3 6-0 H2H
R2
cross
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Sebastian Baez
55% ( 52 of 95)
1st Serve %
66% ( 83 of 125)
11
Aces
0
9
Double Faults
5
71% ( 37 of 52)
1st Serve Won
55% ( 46 of 83)
44% ( 19 of 43)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 21 of 42)
38% ( 6 of 16)
Break Points Won
83% ( 5 of 6)
41% ( 39 of 95)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 58 of 125)
114
Total Points Won
106
W
5-7 7-6(8) 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Arthur Cazaux
60% ( 24 of 40)
1st Serve %
69% ( 24 of 35)
3
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
0
71% ( 17 of 24)
1st Serve Won
54% ( 13 of 24)
31% ( 5 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 5 of 11)
100% ( 2 of 2)
Break Points Won
25% ( 2 of 8)
45% ( 18 of 40)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 17 of 35)
39
Total Points Won
36
W
5-5 ret. H2H
R1
cross
Sumit Nagal
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
64% ( 64 of 100)
1st Serve %
55% ( 53 of 97)
1
Aces
6
1
Double Faults
6
55% ( 35 of 64)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 36 of 53)
72% ( 26 of 36)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 19 of 44)
67% ( 6 of 9)
Break Points Won
44% ( 4 of 9)
39% ( 39 of 100)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 42 of 97)
103
Total Points Won
94
L
5-7 6-2 6-4 H2H
R4
cross
Tomas Machac
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
63% ( 38 of 60)
1st Serve %
65% ( 31 of 48)
1
Aces
4
1
Double Faults
2
71% ( 27 of 38)
1st Serve Won
71% ( 22 of 31)
64% ( 14 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 7 of 17)
100% ( 3 of 3)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
32% ( 19 of 60)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 19 of 48)
60
Total Points Won
48
L
6-3 6-3 H2H
R3
cross
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Denis Shapovalov
60% ( 44 of 73)
1st Serve %
59% ( 35 of 59)
5
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
0
73% ( 32 of 44)
1st Serve Won
80% ( 28 of 35)
62% ( 18 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 12 of 24)
100% ( 2 of 2)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
32% ( 23 of 73)
Rtn Points Won
32% ( 19 of 59)
69
Total Points Won
63
W
6-3 7-6(7) H2H
R2
cross
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Alexander Bublik
58% ( 36 of 62)
1st Serve %
59% ( 35 of 59)
6
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
5
75% ( 27 of 36)
1st Serve Won
69% ( 24 of 35)
50% ( 13 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
29% ( 7 of 24)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
35% ( 22 of 62)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 28 of 59)
68
Total Points Won
53
W
6-4 6-1 H2H
R1
cross
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Arthur Fils
59% ( 29 of 49)
1st Serve %
59% ( 42 of 71)
5
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
1
93% ( 27 of 29)
1st Serve Won
71% ( 30 of 42)
70% ( 14 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 12 of 29)
20% ( 2 of 10)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
16% ( 8 of 49)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 29 of 71)
70
Total Points Won
50
W
6-3 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
57% ( 43 of 76)
1st Serve %
57% ( 52 of 92)
2
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
0
86% ( 37 of 43)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 31 of 52)
55% ( 18 of 33)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 17 of 40)
46% ( 6 of 13)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
28% ( 21 of 76)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 44 of 92)
99
Total Points Won
69
L
6-7(5) 6-0 6-1 H2H

Luca Castagnola Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
Q1
cross
Jakub Nicod
Player
Luca Castagnola
55% ( 26 of 47)
1st Serve %
77% ( 30 of 39)
7
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
1
85% ( 22 of 26)
1st Serve Won
40% ( 12 of 30)
48% ( 10 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 4 of 9)
71% ( 5 of 7)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
32% ( 15 of 47)
Rtn Points Won
59% ( 23 of 39)
55
Total Points Won
31
L
6-2 6-1 H2H
SF
cross
Florian Broska
Player
Luca Castagnola
59% ( 27 of 46)
1st Serve %
71% ( 32 of 45)
3
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
6
74% ( 20 of 27)
1st Serve Won
56% ( 18 of 32)
68% ( 13 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
15% ( 2 of 13)
63% ( 5 of 8)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
28% ( 13 of 46)
Rtn Points Won
56% ( 25 of 45)
58
Total Points Won
33
L
6-3 6-1 H2H
QF
cross
Luca Castagnola
Player
Luca Potenza
64% ( 32 of 50)
1st Serve %
66% ( 50 of 76)
1
Aces
1
4
Double Faults
3
72% ( 23 of 32)
1st Serve Won
50% ( 25 of 50)
56% ( 10 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 10 of 26)
36% ( 5 of 14)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
34% ( 17 of 50)
Rtn Points Won
54% ( 41 of 76)
74
Total Points Won
52
W
6-3 6-1 H2H
R2
cross
Luca Castagnola
Player
Peter Buldorini
72% ( 46 of 64)
1st Serve %
75% ( 46 of 61)
0
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
2
72% ( 33 of 46)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 29 of 46)
50% ( 9 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
20% ( 3 of 15)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
34% ( 22 of 64)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 29 of 61)
71
Total Points Won
54
W
6-2 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Luca Castagnola
Player
Jack Loge
64% ( 49 of 76)
1st Serve %
58% ( 38 of 66)
0
Aces
1
8
Double Faults
6
59% ( 29 of 49)
1st Serve Won
42% ( 16 of 38)
41% ( 11 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 10 of 28)
54% ( 7 of 13)
Break Points Won
40% ( 4 of 10)
47% ( 36 of 76)
Rtn Points Won
61% ( 40 of 66)
80
Total Points Won
62
W
6-1 7-6(2) H2H
SF
cross
Luca Potenza
Player
Luca Castagnola
73% ( 77 of 106)
1st Serve %
66% ( 50 of 76)
4
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
1
64% ( 49 of 77)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 32 of 50)
45% ( 13 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 11 of 26)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
33% ( 3 of 9)
42% ( 44 of 106)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 33 of 76)
95
Total Points Won
87
L
7-6(2) 7-6(3) H2H
QF
cross
Luca Castagnola
Player
Thomas Deschamps
67% ( 66 of 98)
1st Serve %
61% ( 66 of 108)
4
Aces
10
3
Double Faults
4
68% ( 45 of 66)
1st Serve Won
70% ( 46 of 66)
56% ( 18 of 32)
2nd Serve Won
40% ( 17 of 42)
50% ( 5 of 10)
Break Points Won
44% ( 4 of 9)
36% ( 35 of 98)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 45 of 108)
108
Total Points Won
98
W
6-7(0) 7-6(2) 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Luca Castagnola
Player
Mousa Alkotop
72% ( 48 of 67)
1st Serve %
62% ( 45 of 73)
0
Aces
6
2
Double Faults
2
56% ( 27 of 48)
1st Serve Won
49% ( 22 of 45)
58% ( 11 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
39% ( 11 of 28)
64% ( 7 of 11)
Break Points Won
80% ( 4 of 5)
43% ( 29 of 67)
Rtn Points Won
55% ( 40 of 73)
78
Total Points Won
62
W
7-5 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Luca Castagnola
Player
Albert Saar
59% ( 16 of 27)
1st Serve %
61% ( 27 of 44)
0
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
5
100% ( 16 of 16)
1st Serve Won
41% ( 11 of 27)
73% ( 8 of 11)
2nd Serve Won
18% ( 3 of 17)
50% ( 6 of 12)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
11% ( 3 of 27)
Rtn Points Won
68% ( 30 of 44)
54
Total Points Won
17
W
6-0 6-0 H2H
QF
L
7-5 7-6(4) H2H

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