Matteo Arnaldi vs Luca Castagnola Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

Wojtek Kolan

Our Predictions

H2H Records Career Stats

HEAD TO HEAD
M. Arnaldi vs L. Castagnola

Matteo Arnaldi

ITA

1

Win

Played

0

Win

Age

Height

C. Rank

656

Best Rank

575

Total Titles

YTD Titles

$2.5M

Career Money

Plays

Luca Castagnola

ITA

1

Win

Played

0

Win

Age

Height

C. Rank

656

Best Rank

575

Total Titles

YTD Titles

$2.5M

Career Money

Plays

Head-to-head: Arnaldi 1 - 0 Castagnola

They have played 2 sets in total, with Matteo Arnaldi winning 2 and Luca Castagnola winning 0. The last match between Matteo Arnaldi and Luca Castagnola was at the M25 Skopje, 29-09-2021, Round: R1, Surface: Clay, with Matteo Arnaldi getting the victory 6-2 6-3.

Players	Head To Head Match Wins
Arnaldi	1
Castagnola	0

Last 1 H2H Matches:

(R1) M25 Skopje(09-29-21)

Stats

Matteo Arnaldi

Luca Castagnola

M. Arnaldi vs L. Castagnola H2H Profile

M. Arnaldi	Stats	L. Castagnola
$2,532,865	Career Prize Money	$0
59.90% (239-160)	Career Total W/L	54.44% (184-154)
1	Clay	0
6	Titles	2
1	Total H2H Matches	0
45.45% (20-24)	YTD Win/Loss	0% (0-0)

M. Arnaldi vs L. Castagnola Match Preview:

Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Matteo Arnaldi has won 48.70% of points on their second serve, while Luca Castagnola has won 45.83%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Matteo Arnaldi, in recent form, has won 44.17% of their opponent's second serve points, while Luca Castagnola has won 45.08%. The same stats for first serve returns are 23.92% and 31.21% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
Under pressure analysis: Matteo Arnaldi has saved 61.40% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Luca Castagnola has saved 46.69% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
Performance overview: Over the last year Matteo Arnaldi has won 46.94% of matches played (W/L 23/26), with Luca Castagnola winning 47.54% (W/L 29/32) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
Best surface: Matteo Arnaldi has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 65% (W/L 132/70), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 39% (W/L 18/28). Luca Castagnola has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 65% (W/L 63/48), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 50% (W/L 7/7).
Player level: In the last year, Matteo Arnaldi has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 50.00% of matches (W/L 13/13), where as Luca Castagnola has played most of their matches on the Futures/Satellites/ITF tournaments $10K, winning 53.85% of matches (W/L 21/18). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
Direct H2H matches: They have played 1 times before with Matteo Arnaldi winning 1 times and Luca Castagnola being victorious 0 times. They have played 2 sets in total, with Matteo Arnaldi winning 2 and Luca Castagnola winning 0.
The last match between Matteo Arnaldi and Luca Castagnola was at the M25 Skopje, 29-09-2021, Round: R1, Surface: Clay, with Matteo Arnaldi getting the victory 6-2 6-3.
Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:28:0.
Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Matteo Arnaldi has played against opponents with an average rank of 62.08 while Luca Castagnola has played against players with an average rank of 470.61.
Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Matteo Arnaldi has won 47% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Luca Castagnola has won 42% in all matches played on tour.
Break point conversion: In recent form, Matteo Arnaldi has converted 23.42% of breakpoint opportunities, and Luca Castagnola has converted 41.29% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.

Matteo Arnaldi vs Luca Castagnola Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.

M. Arnaldi vs L. Castagnola H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

M. Arnaldi	Stats	L. Castagnola
1	H2H Matches Won	0
2	Sets Won	0
12	Games Won	5
2	Aces (Total)	0
4	Total Double Faults	2
1:28:0	Average Match Time	1:28:0
56% (35/63)	1st Serve %	72% (34/47)
71% (25/35)	1st Serve Win %	47% (16/34)
46% (13/28)	2nd Serve Win %	46% (6/13)
50% (5/10)	Break Pts Won %	33% (2/6)
53% (25/47)	Return Points Win %	40% (25/63)
100% (1/1)	Best‑of‑3 Win %	0% (0/1)
100% (1/1)	1st Set Won, Won Match	0% (0/0)
0% (0/1)	1st Set Won, Lost Match	0% (0/0)
0% (0/0)	1st Set Lost, Won Match	0% (0/1)

Recent Performance Stats

M. Arnaldi Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT	RESULT	SCORE	H2H
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris - 27-10-2025
Q1 Jacob FearnleyJ. Fearnley	L	7-5 6-2	Stats
Erste Bank Open - Vienna - 20-10-2025
R2 Alexander ZverevA. Zverev	L	6-4 6-4	Stats
R1 Aleksandar KovacevicA. Kovacevic	W	7-5 6-4	Stats
Q3 Tristan SchoolkateT. Schoolkate	W	7-6(5) 6-3	Stats
Q1 Jesper De JongJ. De	W	6-4 7-6(5)	Stats

View All

L. Castagnola Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT	RESULT	SCORE	H2H
M15 Heraklion - 03-11-2025
R1 Amit ValesA. Vales	L	6-3 5-7 6-4	Stats
M15 Selva Gardena - 27-10-2025
R1 Niklas SchellN. Schell	L	6-2 6-4	Stats
M25 Monastir - 13-10-2025
R2 Connor ThomsonC. Thomson	L	6-7(2) 6-4 6-2	Stats
R1 Adam NagoudiA. Nagoudi	W	6-4 6-1	Stats
Tiburon Challenger - 29-09-2025
Q3 Daniel MasurD. Masur	L	6-0 7-6(3)	Stats

View All

M. Arnaldi vs L. Castagnola Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

M. Arnaldi	Stats	L. Castagnola
59.90% (239/160)	YTD Win/Loss	54.44% (184/154)
57.91% (560/407)	Sets Win/Loss	54.06% (426/362)
52.58% (4842/4366)	Games Win/Loss	51.93% (3946/3653)
60.71% (85/55)	Hard Win/Loss	56.76% (63/48)
65.35% (132/70)	Clay Win/Loss	53.52% (114/99)
38.30% (18/29)	Indoor Hard W/L	50.00% (7/7)
40.00% (4/6)	Grass Win/Loss	0% (0/0)
0.36	Aces Per Game	0.06
1621	Aces Total	228
0.25	Double Faults Per Game	0.22
1126	Total Double Faults	831
1:45:46	Average Match Time	1:18:53
301.57	Average Opponent Rank	381.26
59% (16488/28035)	1st Serve %	67% (10856/16164)
68% (11281/16488)	1st Serve Win %	61% (6654/10856)
50% (5794/11542)	2nd Serve Win %	47% (2515/5308)
43% (1155/2712)	Break Points Won % (Total)	48% (869/1799)
40% (10868/27336)	Return Points Win %	43% (7046/16220)
56.25% (18/14)	Slam W/L	0% (0/0)
54.39% (31/26)	Masters W/L	0% (0/0)
80.00% (4/1)	Cups W/L	0% (0/0)
48.57% (34/36)	Main Tour W/L	0% (0/0)
59.84% (73/49)	Challenger W/L	32.61% (15/31)
70.27% (78/33)	Futures W/L	57.88% (169/123)
61% (223/367)	Best of 3 Sets Win %	54% (177/328)
43% (12/28)	Best of 5 Sets Win %	67% (2/3)
58% (76/131)	Tiebreaks Win % (Total)	45% (37/83)
51% (68/133)	Deciding Set Win %	46% (53/116)
83% (242/200)	1st Set Won, Won Match	83% (182/151)
17% (242/42)	1st Set Won, Lost Match	17% (182/31)
24% (156/37)	1st Set Lost, Won Match	21% (156/32)