Matteo Arnaldi vs Daniil Medvedev Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

Wojtek Kolan

Our Predictions

H2H Records Career Stats

HEAD TO HEAD
M. Arnaldi vs D. Medvedev

Matteo Arnaldi

ITA

0

Win

Played

4

Win

Age

Height

6'6" (198 cm)

C. Rank

Best Rank

Total Titles

YTD Titles

$2.5M

Career Money

$33.0M

Plays

Right-Handed

Daniil Medvedev

RUS

0

Win

Played

4

Win

Age

Height

6'6" (198 cm)

C. Rank

Best Rank

Total Titles

YTD Titles

$2.5M

Career Money

$33.0M

Plays

Right-Handed

Head-to-head: Arnaldi 0 - 4 Medvedev

They have played 10 sets in total, with Matteo Arnaldi winning 2 and Daniil Medvedev winning 8. The last match between Daniil Medvedev and Matteo Arnaldi was at the Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai, 06-10-2024, Round: R3, Surface: Hard, with Daniil Medvedev getting the victory 5-7 6-4 6-4.

Players	Head To Head Match Wins
Arnaldi	0
Medvedev	4

Last 4 H2H Matches:

(R3) Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai(10-06-24)

Stats

Daniil Medvedev

Matteo Arnaldi

(R2) Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid(04-27-24)

Stats

Daniil Medvedev

Matteo Arnaldi

(R2) National Bank Open - Toronto(08-09-23)

Stats

Daniil Medvedev

Matteo Arnaldi

M. Arnaldi vs D. Medvedev H2H Profile

M. Arnaldi	Stats	D. Medvedev
$2,532,865	Career Prize Money	$32,984,050
59.90% (239-160)	Career Total W/L	70.40% (578-243)
0	Clay	1
0	Hard	3
6	Titles	26
0	Total H2H Matches	4
45.45% (20-24)	YTD Win/Loss	64.06% (41-23)
0	YTD Titles	1

M. Arnaldi vs D. Medvedev Match Preview:

Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Matteo Arnaldi has won 48.70% of points on their second serve, while Daniil Medvedev has won 44.20%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Matteo Arnaldi, in recent form, has won 44.17% of their opponent's second serve points, while Daniil Medvedev has won 47.52%. The same stats for first serve returns are 23.92% and 24.45% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
Under pressure analysis: Matteo Arnaldi has saved 61.40% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Daniil Medvedev has saved 60.14% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
Performance overview: Over the last year Matteo Arnaldi has won 46.94% of matches played (W/L 23/26), with Daniil Medvedev winning 64.06% (W/L 41/23) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
Best surface: Matteo Arnaldi has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 65% (W/L 132/70), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 39% (W/L 18/28). Daniil Medvedev has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 65% (W/L 267/91), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 64% (W/L 94/52).
Player level: In the last year, Matteo Arnaldi has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 50.00% of matches (W/L 13/13), where as Daniil Medvedev has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 69.70% of matches (W/L 23/10). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
Direct H2H matches: They have played 4 times before with Matteo Arnaldi winning 0 times and Daniil Medvedev being victorious 4 times. They have played 10 sets in total, with Matteo Arnaldi winning 2 and Daniil Medvedev winning 8.
The last match between Matteo Arnaldi and Daniil Medvedev was at the Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai, 06-10-2024, Round: R3, Surface: Hard, with Daniil Medvedev getting the victory 5-7 6-4 6-4.
Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:56:26.
Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Matteo Arnaldi has played against opponents with an average rank of 62.08 while Daniil Medvedev has played against players with an average rank of 59.61.
Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Matteo Arnaldi has won 47% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Daniil Medvedev has won 56% in all matches played on tour.
Break point conversion: In recent form, Matteo Arnaldi has converted 23.42% of breakpoint opportunities, and Daniil Medvedev has converted 29.14% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.

Matteo Arnaldi vs Daniil Medvedev Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.

M. Arnaldi vs D. Medvedev H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

M. Arnaldi	Stats	D. Medvedev
0	H2H Matches Won	4
2	Sets Won	8
42	Games Won	56
20	Aces (Total)	28
11	Total Double Faults	19
1:56:26	Average Match Time	1:56:26
60% (197/326)	1st Serve %	65% (203/314)
66% (130/197)	1st Serve Win %	75% (152/203)
50% (64/129)	2nd Serve Win %	53% (59/111)
31% (5/16)	Break Pts Won %	38% (12/32)
33% (103/314)	Return Points Win %	40% (132/326)
0% (0/4)	Best‑of‑3 Win %	100% (4/4)
0% (0/2)	Deciding Set Win %	100% (2/2)
0% (0/2)	1st Set Won, Won Match	100% (2/2)
100% (2/2)	1st Set Won, Lost Match	0% (0/2)
0% (0/2)	1st Set Lost, Won Match	100% (2/2)

Recent Performance Stats

M. Arnaldi Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT	RESULT	SCORE	H2H
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris - 27-10-2025
Q1 Jacob FearnleyJ. Fearnley	L	7-5 6-2	Stats
Erste Bank Open - Vienna - 20-10-2025
R2 Alexander ZverevA. Zverev	L	6-4 6-4	Stats
R1 Aleksandar KovacevicA. Kovacevic	W	7-5 6-4	Stats
Q3 Tristan SchoolkateT. Schoolkate	W	7-6(5) 6-3	Stats
Q1 Jesper De JongJ. De	W	6-4 7-6(5)	Stats

View All

D. Medvedev Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT	RESULT	SCORE	H2H
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris - 27-10-2025
QF Alexander ZverevA. Zverev	L	2-6 6-3 7-6(5)	Stats
R3 Lorenzo SonegoL. Sonego	W	3-6 7-6(5) 6-4	Stats
R2 Grigor DimitrovG. Dimitrov	W	w/o	Stats
R1 Jaume Antoni Munar ClarJ. Antoni	W	6-1 6-3	Stats
Erste Bank Open - Vienna - 20-10-2025
R2 Corentin MoutetC. Moutet	L	7-6(3) 6-4	Stats

View All

M. Arnaldi vs D. Medvedev Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

M. Arnaldi	Stats	D. Medvedev
59.90% (239/160)	YTD Win/Loss	70.40% (578/243)
57.91% (560/407)	Sets Win/Loss	65.95% (1356/700)
52.58% (4842/4366)	Games Win/Loss	55.60% (10945/8741)
60.71% (85/55)	Hard Win/Loss	74.58% (267/91)
65.35% (132/70)	Clay Win/Loss	64.38% (94/52)
38.30% (18/29)	Indoor Hard W/L	68.12% (156/73)
40.00% (4/6)	Grass Win/Loss	69.32% (61/27)
0.36	Aces Per Game	0.57
1621	Aces Total	5548
0.25	Double Faults Per Game	0.28
1126	Total Double Faults	2659
1:45:46	Average Match Time	1:34:45
301.57	Average Opponent Rank	342.05
59% (16488/28035)	1st Serve %	61% (33648/55201)
68% (11281/16488)	1st Serve Win %	75% (25219/33648)
50% (5794/11542)	2nd Serve Win %	51% (10966/21546)
43% (1155/2712)	Break Points Won % (Total)	43% (2449/5718)
40% (10868/27336)	Return Points Win %	40% (22811/57170)
56.25% (18/14)	Slam W/L	72.22% (91/35)
54.39% (31/26)	Masters W/L	67.57% (125/60)
80.00% (4/1)	Cups W/L	76.92% (20/6)
48.57% (34/36)	Main Tour W/L	72.06% (196/76)
0% (0/0)	Tour Finals W/L	52.17% (12/11)
59.84% (73/49)	Challenger W/L	68.75% (55/25)
70.27% (78/33)	Futures W/L	72.55% (74/28)
61% (223/367)	Best of 3 Sets Win %	71% (485/685)
43% (12/28)	Best of 5 Sets Win %	69% (88/127)
58% (76/131)	Tiebreaks Win % (Total)	56% (168/299)
51% (68/133)	Deciding Set Win %	62% (145/235)
83% (242/200)	1st Set Won, Won Match	90% (533/481)
17% (242/42)	1st Set Won, Lost Match	10% (533/51)
24% (156/37)	1st Set Lost, Won Match	33% (287/96)