Matteo Arnaldi vs Andrey Rublev Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

In recent form, Andrey Rublev has demonstrated slightly stronger performance on his second serve, securing 49.28% of points, whereas Matteo Arnaldi has won 50.74%. This minor edge for Arnaldi could play a crucial role in predicting the match outcome, especially considering second serve points are strongly correlated with match results. Over their head-to-head encounters, Rublev holds a narrow advantage with 2 victories out of 3 matches, having won 4 of the 7 sets they played, indicating a slightly stronger past performance against Arnaldi.

Rublev has showcased an edge in return game statistics, with a 44.54% victory rate on opponents' second serves, compared to Arnaldi's 43.08%. However, Arnaldi leads in first serve return points at 26.89%, as opposed to Rublev's 22.85%. These return game stats are instrumental in forecasting who might be favored in this head-to-head matchup. Additionally, considering break point opportunities, Arnaldi has been more effective recently, converting 26.53% compared to Rublev's 24.6%.

Rublev's match-winning consistency over the past year stands at 57.81% (37 wins and 27 losses), edging out Arnaldi's 53.85% (28 wins and 24 losses). Rublev has a distinct preference for hard courts with a career win percentage of 66%, while Arnaldi excels on clay, winning 66% of the time. It is important to factor in that Rublev has been competing against opponents with a slightly lower average rank of 52.06, compared to Arnaldi's opponents at 58.04. Rublev's capability under pressure is notable, having saved 59.9% of breakpoints, slightly better than Arnaldi's 58.21%, providing him with a slight edge in tight situations.

In deciding sets, Rublev has prevailed 52% of the time over the past year, surpassing Arnaldi's 44% success rate. However, in matches enduring extreme pressure, such as tiebreaks, Arnaldi holds a slight advantage. Despite both players' adept handling of clutch moments, Rublev's experience shines with a stronger winning record on the main tour, achieving 61.29% wins compared to Arnaldi’s 47.37%. Given these statistics, and Rublev’s superior form in head-to-head matches, Rublev is slightly favored to win this upcoming encounter.