Matteo Arnaldi vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• What percentage of second serve points has Alejandro Davidovich Fokina won in recent form? He's secured 43.88%, while Matteo Arnaldi has managed 47.95%.
• On return game performance, Alejandro has captured 44.01% of opponent's second serve points compared to Matteo's 43.73%.
• First serve return efficiency further differentiates them, with Alejandro winning 28.76% and Matteo 26.63%.
• Under pressure, Matteo excels, saving 58.33% of breakpoints, whereas Alejandro saves 53.30%.
• Alejandro's overall match win rate over the last year stands at 61.90%, noticeably higher than Matteo's 44.44%.
• Matteo's strength lies on clay with a 61% win rate, while Alejandro performs best on hard courts with the same win percentage.
• Both players are active on the Main tour, with Alejandro winning 62.86% of his matches compared to Matteo's 45.45%.
• The head-to-head gives Matteo a slight edge, holding 2 wins over Alejandro's 1 in previous encounters.
• The last time they met, Alejandro emerged victorious on hard courts in Delray Beach, which is also his preferred surface.
• In longer matches needing a deciding set, Alejandro has a higher success rate, winning 53% of these scenarios compared to Matteo’s 45%.
• Both players have encountered opponents of similar caliber, with Alejandro's opponents averaging a rank of 61.37 and Matteo’s slightly better at 57.51.

Editorial Prediction (October 4, 2025, UTC):

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Matteo Arnaldi bring unique strengths to their next clash. While Matteo has generally enjoyed an advantage in head-to-head encounters, Alejandro's recent victory on hard courts suggests a turning tide in his favor.

Analysis of their second serve performance places Matteo ahead, but Alejandro appears more proficient in first serve returns. Their capability under pressure sees Matteo holding the upper hand, saving a higher percentage of breakpoints.

Alejandro’s stronger form on the Main tour, coupled with his higher deciding set win rate, tips the scales in his favor. Additionally, his preferred surface aligns with the venue for their upcoming match.

Both players' interactions with similarly ranked opponents indicate no substantial difference in opponent quality, yet Alejandro's overall match win rate for the past year stands out.

Based on these factors, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is likely to clinch the victory in their upcoming match.