Prediction of Mathis Bondaz vs Lui Maxted at M25 Austin 11-21-25

• Who performs better on their second serve recently? Lui Maxted with 44.19% second serve point wins outperforms Mathis Bondaz, who has 39.95%.
• When it comes to returning second serves, Mathis Bondaz nearly matches Lui Maxted, winning 48.10% compared to Maxted's 48.65%.
• However, in first serve returns, Mathis Bondaz shows superior ability, capturing 32.05% against Lui Maxted’s 25.34%.
• Under pressure, Lui Maxted is more effective, saving 56.25% of breakpoints, while Mathis Bondaz saves 47.37%.
• Mathis Bondaz has achieved a 66.67% match win rate over the past year, slightly trailing Lui Maxted's 70.59% win rate.
• Both players excel on Hard surfaces, each having a career win rate of 68% on this court.
• On the event level, Lui Maxted has a clear advantage, with a 79.17% match win rate in $10K Futures/Satellites/ITF tournaments, compared to Mathis Bondaz’s 69.57%.
• Mathis Bondaz has faced opponents with an average rank of 470.21, while Lui Maxted’s adversaries averaged a slightly higher rank of 455.62.
• In deciding sets, Lui Maxted again slightly edges out with a 75% win rate versus Mathis Bondaz’s 71%.
• Who is more efficient in breakpoint conversion? Mathis Bondaz is, converting 39.25% of break points, ahead of Lui Maxted’s 34.00%.

Editorial Prediction (November 21, 2025, UTC):

As we examine the performance statistics of Mathis Bondaz and Lui Maxted, several key factors emerge that could influence the outcome of this match.

Lui Maxted shows greater proficiency in serving under pressure, particularly with his second serve and saving break points, which are crucial during tight matches. His slightly higher win percentage over the past year and experience against higher-ranked opponents provide additional confidence in his abilities.

However, Mathis Bondaz exhibits a stronger performance in first serve return points and breakpoint conversion, suggesting potential to disrupt Maxted’s game rhythm. Additionally, Bondaz's aptitude in deciding sets could serve him well if the match goes to the wire.

Taking all factors into account, while both players have their strengths, Lui Maxted appears to be the likely winner for this upcoming match, given his overall statistics and robustness under pressure.