Prediction of Mary Stoiana vs Evialina Laskevich at W100 Edmond 10-08-25

• Mary Stoiana has a slight advantage in second serve performance, winning 41.09% of points compared to Evialina Laskevich's 40.54% over the last six months.
• Evialina Laskevich excels in return games, winning 53.52% of points on opponents' second serves, outperforming Mary Stoiana's 46.79%.
• First serve return stats also favor Evialina Laskevich as she has achieved 39.28%, whereas Mary Stoiana has managed 36.09%.
• When facing breakpoints, Mary Stoiana saves 48.20% while Evialina Laskevich saves 45.45%, hinting at Stoiana's resilience under pressure.
• Over the past year, Mary Stoiana has a slightly better win percentage (59.38%) compared to Evialina Laskevich (58.06%).
• Mary Stoiana demonstrates superior performance on indoor hard courts with an 80% win rate, while Evialina Laskevich’s strength is on hard courts, also with an 80% win rate.
• Both players primarily compete in Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K, with Stoiana winning 61.29% of those matches, slightly edging out Laskevich's 58.06% performance.
• Mary Stoiana faces tougher competition, with opponents averaging a rank of 330.41, whereas Laskevich's opponents have a higher average rank (less challenging) of 445.55.
• In matches that reach a deciding set, Evialina Laskevich has the upper hand, winning 67% of these encounters compared to Stoiana's 50%.

Editorial Prediction (October 8, 2025, UTC):

When considering key performance indicators such as second serve points and return games, Evialina Laskevich exhibits a marked advantage, particularly in her ability to capitalize on return opportunities. Her consistent ability to win points from her opponent's second serve and her stronger first serve return rate suggest she wields a potent defensive strategy.

Mary Stoiana, on the other hand, presents a more robust pressure game, saving a higher percentage of breakpoints, which could be crucial in tight match situations. However, her slightly inferior return stats compared to Laskevich could be a vulnerability.

While Stoiana has had marginally tougher competition over the past year, Laskevich’s stunning performance in deciding sets cannot be overlooked. The head-to-head data suggest a close contest, yet the edge might tilt towards Evialina Laskevich due to her superior return game and success in critical sets.

Based on these insights, Evialina Laskevich appears the more likely victor in this upcoming match, leveraging her exemplary return stats and clutch performance in deciding sets to her advantage.