Mary Stoiana vs Alyssa Ahn Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In terms of recent second serve performance, Mary Stoiana shows a slight edge, winning 41.93% of her points compared to Alyssa Ahn’s 38.08%. Could this indicate an advantage? Quite possibly, as strong second serves can be a game-changer.
• When it comes to return game success, both players are closely matched. Mary Stoiana edges out her opponent on second serve returns with 47.85%, while Alyssa Ahn is slightly better on first serve returns at 35.74%.
• Under pressure, Mary Stoiana is more effective, saving 46.02% of breakpoints, whereas Alyssa Ahn has managed 39.81%. Will this translate into crucial saves during the match?
• Overall performance reveals that Alyssa Ahn has had a better year with a 70% match win rate, whereas Mary Stoiana has won 55.56% of her matches. Does this suggest a higher likelihood of victory for Ahn?
• Both players prefer hard surfaces, each boasting a 80% career win percentage on their respective best surfaces.
• In terms of playing level, Alyssa Ahn has flourished in Futures/Satellites, winning 71.43% of matches, while Mary Stoiana has shown more success in Challengers/ITF > $10K with a 57.14% win rate.
• When facing tougher competition, Mary Stoiana’s average opponent rank is higher at 268.47, compared to Ahn’s 377.3. Does this prepare Stoiana better for high-stake games?
• In decisive moments, Alyssa Ahn has a significant edge, winning 83% of deciding sets, which can prove pivotal if the match goes the distance.
• Lastly, in terms of converting breakpoints, Alyssa Ahn again prevails, converting 48.03% of her opportunities compared to Mary Stoiana’s 38.04%.

Editorial Prediction (November 11, 2025, UTC):

As we analyze the upcoming tennis match between Mary Stoiana and Alyssa Ahn, several factors come into play. While Mary Stoiana's second serve and ability to save breakpoints are commendable, Alyssa Ahn shows a higher overall match win rate this year and superior breakpoint conversion, which could be decisive.

Though the players are evenly matched in terms of returning skills, Ahn's capability to excel in decisive sets and her impressive track record on hard surfaces provide her with a strong foundation. Additionally, competing at a slightly less competitive level might have allowed her to secure wins more consistently.

Taking into account these various performance metrics, Alyssa Ahn is poised as the likely favorite to win the upcoming match, given her strengths in high-stakes scenarios and superior winning percentage.