Martina Okalova vs Lea Ma Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In the last six months, Ma has had a slight edge over Okalova in winning points on their second serve, recording 38.81% compared to Okalova's 36.24%. How significant is this? Historically, it correlates strongly with match predictions.
• When it comes to returning serves, Okalova has demonstrated superior skill against opponents' second serves, winning 53.44% of those points, while Ma manages 47.91%.
• Okalova's returns on first serves are considerably better, achieving 40.73% success compared to Ma's 29.95%. Could this be a key advantage?
• In high-pressure situations, Ma shows stronger mental resilience, saving 51.53% of breakpoints compared to Okalova's 36.67%.
• Ma outperformed Okalova in match wins over the last year, achieving a 65% win rate versus Okalova's 55.36%.
• Clay seems to be Okalova's preferred playing surface, with a 63% win rate, while Ma excels on indoor hard surfaces with a 64% win rate, although her least successful surface remains clay.
• In direct head-to-head encounters, Okalova has the upper hand, winning their only past match on clay.
• Considering strength of opposition, Okalova has faced tougher opponents on average, with an average rank of 306.64 compared to Ma's opponents, ranked at 387.93.
• When matches extend to a deciding set, Okalova has a slight edge, winning 52% of these encounters over the past year versus Ma's 50%.
• Okalova leads in converting breakpoint opportunities, a crucial factor, with a 43.02% success rate against Ma's 50%.

Editorial Prediction (May 23, 2025, UTC):

Analyzing their recent second serve performances, Ma holds a marginal advantage with a higher rate of point wins. However, Okalova excels significantly in return games, especially on first serves, indicating possible dominance in this match area.

Ma's stronger performance in pressure situations, particularly with breakpoints saved, could be pivotal. Nonetheless, Okalova's past success against tougher competition suggests a higher capability under challenging scenarios.

The head-to-head record favors Okalova, emphasizing psychological and tactical advantages from their prior encounter. Combined with Okalova's superior breakpoint conversion rate, she likely stands better poised for the win.

Considering factors like performance under pressure and surface preferences, while Okalova has historically done better on clay, Ma maintains better current form.

In conclusion, considering the overall head-to-head advantage and superior return statistics, Okalova is expected to clinch the win in this upcoming match.