Prediction of Mariia Tkacheva vs Alicia Dudeney at W35 Monastir 12-05-25

• Second Serve Performance: Mariia Tkacheva has a 29.63% success rate on their second serve in the past 6 months, while Alicia Dudeney has achieved 37.21%. Better second serve performance often forecasts a match winner.
• Return Game Stats: Regarding second serve returns, Tkacheva wins 37.04% of such points, whereas Dudeney secures 51.21%. For first serve returns, Tkacheva leads with 33.57%, closely followed by Dudeney at 32.89%. These stats are key in determining match favorites.
• Under Pressure Analysis: Tkacheva saves 28.21% of breakpoints recently, significantly lower than Dudeney's 49.56%, an important factor in high-stakes matches.
• Performance Overview: Tkacheva's yearly win rate is 62.86% (W/L 22/13), contrasted with Dudeney's superior 73.02% (W/L 46/17), offering a broader perspective on potential outcomes.
• Best Surface: Both players excel on Hard courts with a win rate of 71%. Tkacheva struggles more on Clay (51%), while Dudeney has no wins on Grass (0%).
• Player Level: Tkacheva's 64.71% win rate at Challengers/ITF > $10K (W/L 22/12) is slightly higher compared to Dudeney’s 63.16% (W/L 24/14), indicating comparable competition experience.
• Opponent Quality Stats: Tkacheva faces opponents with an average rank of 405.69, while Dudeney competes against higher-ranked players averaging 335.35, showcasing Dudeney's exposure to tougher competition.
• Deciding Set Performance: In deciding sets, Tkacheva has a slight edge with a 56% win rate over Dudeney's 47%, a critical aspect for extended matches.
• Current Event H2H Stats: Evaluation of current event performance is crucial, and any recent matches within the event should be taken into account to assess current form.

Editorial Prediction (December 4, 2025, UTC):

Analyzing the recent form and statistics of both players, Alicia Dudeney appears to have a superior second serve performance and a more effective return game compared to Mariia Tkacheva. These elements can greatly influence the outcome of the match.

Dudeney's ability to save breakpoints indicates composure under pressure, an essential quality in high-stakes scenarios. Furthermore, her overall win rate and experience against higher-ranked competitors suggest a readiness for tougher challenges.

While Tkacheva shows prowess on Hard courts and marginally better performance in deciding sets, these factors may not suffice to secure a victory given Dudeney’s strengths.

Based on the comprehensive analysis of recent trends and performance indicators, Alicia Dudeney is the likely winner of the upcoming tennis match.