Marie Mattel vs Polina Kaibekova Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Does recent performance on the second serve provide an edge? Yes, Mattel has a slight advantage, winning 41.67% compared to Kaibekova's 37.58% over the past six months.
• In terms of return games, Kaibekova edges out Mattel by winning 52.44% of opponents' second serve points, exceeding Mattel's 47.11%.
• When it comes to first serve returns, Mattel has a minimal lead, capturing 30.95% compared to Kaibekova's 29.5%.
• How do they respond under pressure? Mattel is more resilient, saving 54% of breakpoints, considerably higher than Kaibekova's 36.84%.
• Kaibekova maintains a better overall match win rate at 56.6% over the last year, versus Mattel's 50%.
• Both players favor clay courts, though Kaibekova has a slightly higher success rate at 56% compared to Mattel's 53%.
• Kaibekova primarily competes in ITF tournaments with a 60.53% win rate, whereas Mattel achieves a 50% win rate in higher-level Challenger events.
• Kaibekova has faced tougher opponents, with an average rank of 312.89 compared to Mattel’s 647.
• In deciding sets, Kaibekova excels, winning 56% over the past year, opposed to Mattel’s 33%.
• Break point conversion shows Kaibekova with a slight edge over Mattel, converting 38.46% of opportunities to Mattel's 36.67%.

Editorial Prediction (September 1, 2025, UTC):

Analyzing recent trends and performance statistics, Mattel shows stronger second serve performance, a key predictor in match outcomes.

However, Kaibekova compensates with superior return game effectiveness, especially when countering opponents' second serves.

While Mattel demonstrates better efficiency under pressure with more successful breakpoint saves, Kaibekova commands a higher overall win rate and excels in deciding sets.

Kaibekova has also competed against higher-ranked competition, providing her with more challenging match experiences.

Considering these factors, Kaibekova is slightly favored to win, given her all-around adaptability and resilience against stronger opponents.