Maria Timofeeva vs Mia Ristic Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• When analyzing second serve performance, Timofeeva has a slight edge, winning 38.95% of second serve points over the last six months compared to Ristic's 37.81%.
• In return games, Timofeeva appears stronger on second serve returns with a success rate of 51.86%, while Ristic trails at 49.32%. However, Ristic is slightly better on first-serve returns, winning 35.42% compared to Timofeeva's 34.5%.
• Under pressure, Ristic has shown more resilience, saving 48.31% of breakpoints, narrowly surpassing Timofeeva who has managed to save 47.77%.
• Overall, Ristic has had a better performance over the past year, achieving a match win rate of 57.89% compared to Timofeeva's 48.94%.
• Both players favor the hard surface, with Ristic having a slight career win rate advantage of 68% over Timofeeva's 67%, despite Timofeeva's lack of success on grass.
• Ristic has been more successful in the Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K, winning 57.97% of matches, compared to Timofeeva's 50% win rate in similar events.
• Timofeeva has faced tougher competition based on opponent rankings, with an average opponent rank of 268.13 versus Ristic's 337.05.
• Ristic has a better deciding set record, winning 48% of such matches, whereas Timofeeva has won 43% of deciding sets.
• Timofeeva shows a strength in converting breakpoints, being successful 48.86% of the time, while Ristic converts at a rate of 41.26%.

Editorial Prediction (June 17, 2025, UTC):

While both Timofeeva and Ristic exhibit commendable stats in several areas, certain key metrics could decide the match's outcome. Timofeeva's superior second serve and return game could challenge Ristic, especially in tight moments. Additionally, Timofeeva's superior breakpoint conversion rate could play a decisive role in the match.

On the other hand, Ristic's better overall performance over the past year and ability to withstand pressure with a slightly higher break-point saving rate suggest resilience. The minor advantage in playing on hard surfaces and in deciding sets leans in Ristic's favor.

Considering these performance patterns and trends, Ristic has the edge to be the likely winner in this upcoming tennis match.