Maria Kalyakina vs Kayo Nishimura Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Looking at second serve performances in the last six months, Nishimura edges out Kalyakina slightly with a win rate of 37.8% compared to 36.59%.
• For return games, Kalyakina shows superior efficiency, capturing 54.1% of her opponent's second serve points, while Nishimura garners 49.82%.
• Both players have similar effectiveness on first serve returns, with Nishimura at 39.44% and Kalyakina at 39.04%.
• How do they handle pressure situations? Nishimura has saved more breakpoints, with a 44.38% success rate, compared to Kalyakina’s 43.81%.
• Over the past year, Nishimura has a stronger match-winning record at 62%, whereas Kalyakina holds a 50.85% win rate.
• What is their best surface? Both show strong results on hard courts, Nishimura with a 65% win rate, and Kalyakina at 56%.
• Nishimura stands out in ITF tournaments, boasting a 71.43% match win rate compared to Kalyakina's 52.27% in similar events.
• Examining opponent quality, Kalyakina has competed against slightly higher-ranked players, averaging a rank of 389.64 compared to Nishimura's 454.46.
• In deciding sets, Nishimura demonstrates resilience with a 68% win rate, outpacing Kalyakina’s 50% success rate.
• Both players show similar efficiency converting breakpoints: Nishimura at 40.48% and Kalyakina fractionally better at 40.51%.

Editorial Prediction (September 5, 2025, UTC):

As we examine the upcoming match between Nishimura and Kalyakina, the statistics present a compelling narrative favoring Nishimura.

Despite Kalyakina’s better return performance on second serves over the past six months, Nishimura shows stronger overall match-winning consistency, with a 62% win percentage in the last year. This is reinforced by her better performance in deciding sets and ability to save breakpoints under pressure.

Although both players excel on hard courts, Nishimura has a slight edge with a higher win ratio. Moreover, while Kalyakina has faced somewhat higher-ranked opponents, Nishimura's performance in ITF tournaments indicates she is more adept at capitalizing on opportunities in these matches.

Based on these analyses, Nishimura is more likely to emerge victorious in their upcoming encounter.