Madison Keys vs Sofia Kenin Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Keys has a slight edge in second serve performance, winning 41.98% of points compared to Kenin's 39.81%. Could this difference influence the match outcome?
• In return games, Keys has been marginally more successful, taking 48.54% of opponent's second serve points, just ahead of Kenin at 48.43%.
• Against first serves, Keys demonstrates a stronger defensive game with 31.16% returns won versus Kenin's 29.19%.
• Under pressure, Kenin marginally surpasses Keys by saving 53.77% of breakpoints compared to 53.14% for Keys.
• Keys has a significantly better match win percentage over the past year at 72.34% compared to Kenin's 56.36%.
• Both players excel on grass, but Keys exhibits a superior career win percentage at 72%, overshadowing Kenin's 62%.
• Their head-to-head history leans towards Keys, who has won three out of four meetings, each ending without a deciding set in Keys' favor.
• In extreme pressure situations like tiebreakers, Keys leads, winning both tiebreaks they've contested against each other.
• Facing tougher opponents on average, Keys has played against opponents ranked 41.81 over the year versus Kenin's average opponent rank of 67.27.
• If the match extends to a deciding set, Keys holds a significant advantage, winning 69% of such sets compared to Kenin's 47% in recent matches.
• When converting breakpoints, Kenin edges out with a conversion rate of 38.69%, slightly outperforming Keys' 36.32%.

Editorial Prediction (May 31, 2025, UTC):

As we prepare for this highly anticipated match-up, the statistics surrounding Keys and Kenin suggest a compelling contest. Keys has consistently outperformed Kenin in most statistical areas, including second serve success, return game prowess, and especially in past head-to-head meetings.

Despite Kenin's ability to save breakpoints more effectively, Keys' superior overall match win percentage and performance against higher-ranked opponents indicate a higher level of current form. Additionally, Keys' record on grass surfaces and her historical dominance in their direct encounters positions her as a formidable opponent.

Given the comparative analysis of their recent performances and head-to-head history, Madison Keys emerges as the likely favorite to win this upcoming match against Sofia Kenin.