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Madison Keys vs Dayana Yastremska Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Keys vs Yastremska analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Madison Keys vs Dayana Yastremska Important H2H Prediction Stats:

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Keys has won 50.54% of points on his second serve, while Yastremska has won 46.04%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Keys, in recent form, has won 49.1% of his opponent's second serve points, while Yastremska has won 56.8%. The same stats for first serve returns are 30.03% and 38.19% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Keys has saved 63.33% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Yastremska has saved 51.49% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Keys has won 64.71% of matches played (W/L 22/ 12), with Yastremska winning 62.12% (W/L 41/ 25) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Keys has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 73% (W/L 46/ 17), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 53% (W/L 17/ 15). Yastremska has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 64% (W/L 73/ 41), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 54% (W/L 20/ 17).
  • Player level: In the last year, Keys has played most of their matches on the Grand Slam, winning 76.92% of matches (W/L 10/ 3), where as Yastremska has played most of their matches on the Grand Slam, winning 78.95% of matches (W/L 15/ 4). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 1 times before with Keys winning 1 times. They have played 2 sets in total, with Keys winning 2 and Yastremska winning 0. The last match between Keys and Yastremska was at the U.S. Open - New York, 29-08-2022, First, Hard with Madison Keys getting the victory .
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:43:0.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Keys and Yastremska have played a deciding set 0 times, with Keys winning 0 times and Yastremska 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 1 tiebreaks against each other with Keys winning 1, and Yastremska 0.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Keys has played against opponents with an average rank of 122.15 while Yastremska has played against players with an average rank of 180.11.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Keys has won 44% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Yastremska has won 58% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Keys has converted 38.64% of breakpoint opportunities, and Yastremska has converted 47.81% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
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Head-to-head: Keys 1 - 0 Yastremska

Madison Keys

11

Total

1

Mast

2

Chall

0

Slam

7

Main

1

Minor

20

Rank

7

High

29

Age

R

Plays

1

Total

0

1

Hard

0

0

Clay

0

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

34

Rank

21

High

23

Age

R

Plays

Dayana Yastremska

7

Total

0

Mast

4

Chall

0

Slam

3

Main

0

Minor

1

Total

0

1

Hard

0

0

Clay

0

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

L L L L W L W W L L

Form

L W L L W L L W L L

63% (363-210)

Career Total W/L

59% (228-158)

50% (3-3)

YTD W/L

62% (13-8)

$14,618,837

Career Prize Money

$2,762,119

0

YTD Titles

0

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Keys VS Yastremska H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Madison Keys Dayana Yastremska
All H2H Matches 1 0
Sets Won 2 0
Games Won 13 9
Aces (Total) 4 1
DFs (Total) 4 3
Avg Match Time 1:43:0 1:43:0
1st Serve % 72% (65/90) 47% (31/66)
1st Serve Win% 68% (44/65) 61% (19/31)
2nd Serve Win% 40% (10/25) 51% (18/35)
BPs Won% (Total) 50% (3/6) 33% (2/6)
Return Points W% 44% (29/66) 40% (36/90)
Best of 3 Sets W% 100% (1/1) 0% (0/1)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 100% (1/1) 0% (0/1)
Deciding Set Win% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
1st set W, W 100% (1/1) 0% (0/0)
1st set W, L 0% (1/0) 0% (0/0)
1st set L, W 0% (0/0) 0% (1/0)

Keys VS Yastremska H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
7-6(3) 6-3
cross
Madison Keys
Player
Dayana Yastremska
72% ( 65 of 90)
1st Serve %
47% ( 31 of 66)
4
Aces
1
4
Double Faults
3
68% ( 44 of 65)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 19 of 31)
40% ( 10 of 25)
2nd Serve Won
51% ( 18 of 35)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
40% ( 36 of 90)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 29 of 66)
83
Total Points Won
73

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Madison Keys Dayana Yastremska
YTD W/L 50% (3/3) 62% (13/8)
Sets Win/Loss 50% (7/7) 57% (28/21)
Games Win/Loss 48% (67/72) 52% (228/209)
Hard Win/Loss 60% (3/2) 67% (12/6)
Clay Win/Loss 0% (0/1) 0% (0/1)
Indoor Hard W/L 0% (0/0) 50% (1/1)
Grass Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Aces pg 0.36 0.25
Aces Total 24 53
DFs per game 0.24 0.4
DFs Total 16 85
Avg Match Time 1:45:23 1:39:13
Avg Opp Rank 209.67 146.52
1st Serve % 65% (309/476) 58% (825/1433)
1st Serve W% 64% (198/309) 65% (540/825)
2nd Serve W% 49% (82/167) 46% (279/608)
BPs Won% Total 40% (17/42) 49% (82/167)
Return Pts W% 40% (184/458) 45% (639/1424)
Slam W/L 0% (0/0) 89% (8/1)
Masters W/L 60% (3/2) 25% (1/3)
Cups W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Main Tour W/L 0% (0/1) 50% (4/4)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 50% (3/6) 65% (13/20)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 100% (2/2) 67% (2/3)
Deciding Set W% 50% (1/2) 75% (6/8)
1st set W, W 75% (4/3) 93% (14/13)
1st set W, L 25% (4/1) 7% (14/1)
1st set L, W 0% (2/0) 0% (7/0)

Madison Keys Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R2
cross
Jaqueline Cristian
Player
Madison Keys
52% ( 45 of 86)
1st Serve %
66% ( 56 of 85)
0
Aces
8
5
Double Faults
4
67% ( 30 of 45)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 33 of 56)
49% ( 20 of 41)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 14 of 29)
40% ( 6 of 15)
Break Points Won
50% ( 4 of 8)
42% ( 36 of 86)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 38 of 85)
88
Total Points Won
83
L
3-6 6-3 6-3 H2H
R4
cross
Elena Rybakina
Player
Madison Keys
65% ( 41 of 63)
1st Serve %
75% ( 47 of 63)
5
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
0
80% ( 33 of 41)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 29 of 47)
50% ( 11 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 7 of 16)
38% ( 3 of 8)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
30% ( 19 of 63)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 27 of 63)
71
Total Points Won
55
L
6-3 7-5 H2H
R3
cross
Madison Keys
Player
Xinyu Wang
59% ( 42 of 71)
1st Serve %
58% ( 51 of 88)
3
Aces
5
1
Double Faults
0
71% ( 30 of 42)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 34 of 51)
66% ( 19 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
54% ( 20 of 37)
29% ( 2 of 7)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
31% ( 22 of 71)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 34 of 88)
83
Total Points Won
76
W
6-4 7-6(5) H2H
R2
cross
Madison Keys
Player
Diana Shnaider
73% ( 49 of 67)
1st Serve %
69% ( 35 of 51)
8
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
3
73% ( 36 of 49)
1st Serve Won
57% ( 20 of 35)
44% ( 8 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
31% ( 5 of 16)
100% ( 4 of 4)
Break Points Won
17% ( 1 of 6)
34% ( 23 of 67)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 26 of 51)
70
Total Points Won
48
W
6-2 6-4 H2H
R3
cross
Yulia Putintseva
Player
Madison Keys
65% ( 36 of 55)
1st Serve %
56% ( 32 of 57)
0
Aces
0
5
Double Faults
1
72% ( 26 of 36)
1st Serve Won
53% ( 17 of 32)
53% ( 10 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 11 of 25)
71% ( 5 of 7)
Break Points Won
13% ( 1 of 8)
35% ( 19 of 55)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 29 of 57)
65
Total Points Won
47
L
6-4 6-1 H2H
R2
cross
Madison Keys
Player
Hailey Baptiste
62% ( 83 of 133)
1st Serve %
51% ( 59 of 115)
2
Aces
3
8
Double Faults
9
64% ( 53 of 83)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 39 of 59)
46% ( 23 of 50)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 26 of 56)
38% ( 5 of 13)
Break Points Won
31% ( 5 of 16)
43% ( 57 of 133)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 50 of 115)
126
Total Points Won
122
W
6-4 4-6 7-6(4) H2H
Robin
cross
Caroline Garcia
Player
Madison Keys
54% ( 36 of 67)
1st Serve %
74% ( 49 of 66)
5
Aces
12
2
Double Faults
1
83% ( 30 of 36)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 36 of 49)
68% ( 21 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
65% ( 11 of 17)
33% ( 1 of 3)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
24% ( 16 of 67)
Rtn Points Won
29% ( 19 of 66)
70
Total Points Won
63
L
6-3 7-6(3) H2H
Robin
cross
Beatriz Haddad Maia
Player
Madison Keys
68% ( 47 of 69)
1st Serve %
67% ( 37 of 55)
5
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
4
68% ( 32 of 47)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 25 of 37)
64% ( 14 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 8 of 18)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
14% ( 1 of 7)
33% ( 23 of 69)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 22 of 55)
68
Total Points Won
56
L
6-4 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Emma Navarro
Player
Madison Keys
64% ( 46 of 72)
1st Serve %
64% ( 44 of 69)
0
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
5
61% ( 28 of 46)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 28 of 44)
58% ( 15 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 9 of 25)
71% ( 5 of 7)
Break Points Won
60% ( 3 of 5)
40% ( 29 of 72)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 32 of 69)
75
Total Points Won
66
L
6-2 7-6(5) H2H
SF
cross
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Madison Keys
65% ( 64 of 98)
1st Serve %
69% ( 76 of 110)
12
Aces
5
4
Double Faults
3
64% ( 41 of 64)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 47 of 76)
56% ( 19 of 34)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 16 of 34)
30% ( 3 of 10)
Break Points Won
55% ( 6 of 11)
39% ( 38 of 98)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 47 of 110)
107
Total Points Won
101
L
0-6 7-6(1) 7-6(5) H2H

Dayana Yastremska Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R2
cross
Magda Linette
Player
Dayana Yastremska
58% ( 38 of 66)
1st Serve %
64% ( 45 of 70)
2
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
3
61% ( 23 of 38)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 28 of 45)
57% ( 16 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
60% ( 15 of 25)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
71% ( 5 of 7)
41% ( 27 of 66)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 27 of 70)
66
Total Points Won
70
L
0-6 6-4 6-3 H2H
R3
cross
Maria Sakkari
Player
Dayana Yastremska
65% ( 55 of 85)
1st Serve %
63% ( 55 of 88)
6
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
3
71% ( 39 of 55)
1st Serve Won
69% ( 38 of 55)
47% ( 14 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
39% ( 13 of 33)
38% ( 3 of 8)
Break Points Won
11% ( 1 of 9)
38% ( 32 of 85)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 37 of 88)
90
Total Points Won
83
L
7-5 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Dayana Yastremska
Player
Daria Saville
62% ( 46 of 74)
1st Serve %
76% ( 66 of 87)
3
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
5
61% ( 28 of 46)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 38 of 66)
50% ( 14 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
24% ( 5 of 21)
43% ( 6 of 14)
Break Points Won
50% ( 4 of 8)
43% ( 32 of 74)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 44 of 87)
86
Total Points Won
75
W
7-5 7-5 H2H
R2
cross
Emma Raducanu
Player
Dayana Yastremska
50% ( 7 of 14)
1st Serve %
45% ( 5 of 11)
0
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
2
71% ( 5 of 7)
1st Serve Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
71% ( 5 of 7)
2nd Serve Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
100% ( 2 of 2)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
29% ( 4 of 14)
Rtn Points Won
73% ( 8 of 11)
18
Total Points Won
7
L
4-0 ret. H2H
R2
cross
Anna Blinkova
Player
Dayana Yastremska
61% ( 44 of 72)
1st Serve %
58% ( 35 of 60)
0
Aces
6
5
Double Faults
3
61% ( 27 of 44)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 22 of 35)
54% ( 15 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 9 of 25)
63% ( 5 of 8)
Break Points Won
43% ( 3 of 7)
42% ( 30 of 72)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 29 of 60)
71
Total Points Won
61
L
7-6(6) 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Dayana Yastremska
Player
Caroline Dolehide
56% ( 51 of 91)
1st Serve %
64% ( 53 of 83)
3
Aces
3
9
Double Faults
6
76% ( 39 of 51)
1st Serve Won
53% ( 28 of 53)
35% ( 14 of 40)
2nd Serve Won
37% ( 11 of 30)
88% ( 7 of 8)
Break Points Won
50% ( 5 of 10)
42% ( 38 of 91)
Rtn Points Won
53% ( 44 of 83)
97
Total Points Won
77
W
6-4 5-7 6-1 H2H
R1
cross
Veronika Kudermetova
Player
Dayana Yastremska
62% ( 33 of 53)
1st Serve %
63% ( 49 of 78)
7
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
5
76% ( 25 of 33)
1st Serve Won
53% ( 26 of 49)
40% ( 8 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 11 of 29)
46% ( 6 of 13)
Break Points Won
100% ( 2 of 2)
38% ( 20 of 53)
Rtn Points Won
53% ( 41 of 78)
74
Total Points Won
57
L
6-0 1-6 6-0 H2H
R2
cross
Donna Vekic
Player
Dayana Yastremska
67% ( 28 of 42)
1st Serve %
64% ( 32 of 50)
4
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
4
79% ( 22 of 28)
1st Serve Won
47% ( 15 of 32)
64% ( 9 of 14)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 8 of 18)
63% ( 5 of 8)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 3)
26% ( 11 of 42)
Rtn Points Won
54% ( 27 of 50)
58
Total Points Won
34
L
6-1 6-1 H2H
R1
cross
Dayana Yastremska
Player
Erika Andreeva
54% ( 46 of 85)
1st Serve %
66% ( 68 of 103)
4
Aces
3
5
Double Faults
3
72% ( 33 of 46)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 41 of 68)
44% ( 17 of 39)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 15 of 35)
40% ( 6 of 15)
Break Points Won
56% ( 5 of 9)
41% ( 35 of 85)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 47 of 103)
97
Total Points Won
91
W
7-6(4) 3-6 6-2 H2H
SF
cross
Qinwen Zheng
Player
Dayana Yastremska
55% ( 37 of 67)
1st Serve %
54% ( 34 of 63)
4
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
5
76% ( 28 of 37)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 21 of 34)
50% ( 15 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 13 of 29)
36% ( 4 of 11)
Break Points Won
20% ( 2 of 10)
36% ( 24 of 67)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 29 of 63)
72
Total Points Won
58
L
6-4 6-4 H2H

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