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Madison Keys vs Cori Gauff Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Keys vs Gauff analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Madison Keys vs Cori Gauff Important H2H Prediction Stats:

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Keys has won 50% of points on his second serve, while Gauff has won 41.93%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Keys, in recent form, has won 47.95% of his opponent's second serve points, while Gauff has won 60.7%. The same stats for first serve returns are 30.29% and 42.6% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Keys has saved 62.12% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Gauff has saved 59.09% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Keys has won 64.71% of matches played (W/L 22/ 12), with Gauff winning 76.47% (W/L 52/ 16) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Keys has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 73% (W/L 46/ 17), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 53% (W/L 17/ 15). Gauff has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 70% (W/L 19/ 8), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 67% (W/L 10/ 5).
  • Player level: In the last year, Keys has played most of their matches on the Grand Slam, winning 76.92% of matches (W/L 10/ 3), where as Gauff has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 69.7% of matches (W/L 23/ 10). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 4 times before with Keys winning 2 times. They have played 9 sets in total, with Keys winning 4 and Gauff winning 5. The last match between Keys and Gauff was at the Rothesay International - Eastbourne, 30-06-2023, Semifinals, Grass with Madison Keys getting the victory .
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:30:24.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Keys and Gauff have played a deciding set 1 times, with Keys winning 1 times and Gauff 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 0 tiebreaks against each other with Keys winning 0, and Gauff 0.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Keys has played against opponents with an average rank of 122.15 while Gauff has played against players with an average rank of 72.04.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Keys has won 44% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Gauff has won 67% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Keys has converted 35.29% of breakpoint opportunities, and Gauff has converted 56.03% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
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Head-to-head: Keys 2 - 2 Gauff

Madison Keys

11

Total

1

Mast

2

Chall

0

Slam

7

Main

1

Minor

20

Rank

7

High

29

Age

R

Plays

2

Total

2

1

Hard

2

0

Clay

0

0

Indoor

0

1

Grass

0

3

Rank

3

High

20

Age

R

Plays

Cori Gauff

6

Total

1

Mast

0

Chall

1

Slam

4

Main

0

Minor

2

Total

2

1

Hard

2

0

Clay

0

0

Indoor

0

1

Grass

0

L L L L W L W W L L

Form

W W W W L W W L W L

63% (363-210)

Career Total W/L

69% (193-88)

50% (3-3)

YTD W/L

76% (19-6)

$14,618,837

Career Prize Money

$10,454,003

0

YTD Titles

1

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Keys VS Gauff H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Madison Keys Cori Gauff
All H2H Matches 2 2
Sets Won 4 5
Games Won 40 44
Aces (Total) 14 8
DFs (Total) 6 14
Avg Match Time 1:30:24 1:30:24
1st Serve % 67% (176/262) 66% (197/298)
1st Serve Win% 67% (118/176) 66% (130/197)
2nd Serve Win% 45% (39/86) 46% (46/101)
BPs Won% (Total) 39% (11/28) 44% (12/27)
Return Points W% 41% (122/298) 40% (105/262)
Best of 3 Sets W% 50% (2/4) 50% (2/4)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Deciding Set Win% 100% (1/1) 0% (0/1)
1st set W, W 100% (1/1) 67% (3/2)
1st set W, L 0% (1/0) 33% (3/1)
1st set L, W 33% (3/1) 0% (1/0)

Keys VS Gauff H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
6-3 6-3
cross
Madison Keys
Player
Cori Gauff
74% ( 40 of 54)
1st Serve %
63% ( 41 of 65)
4
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
4
73% ( 29 of 40)
1st Serve Won
54% ( 22 of 41)
50% ( 7 of 14)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 12 of 24)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
33% ( 18 of 54)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 31 of 65)
67
Total Points Won
52
6-2 7-5
cross
Cori Gauff
Player
Madison Keys
73% ( 43 of 59)
1st Serve %
72% ( 41 of 57)
1
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
3
72% ( 31 of 43)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 25 of 41)
50% ( 8 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 7 of 16)
80% ( 4 of 5)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
34% ( 20 of 59)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 25 of 57)
64
Total Points Won
52
6-2 6-3
cross
Cori Gauff
Player
Madison Keys
68% ( 36 of 53)
1st Serve %
59% ( 35 of 59)
2
Aces
2
3
Double Faults
1
69% ( 25 of 36)
1st Serve Won
49% ( 17 of 35)
41% ( 7 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 11 of 24)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
40% ( 21 of 53)
Rtn Points Won
53% ( 31 of 59)
63
Total Points Won
49
3-6 6-2 7-5
cross
Madison Keys
Player
Cori Gauff
65% ( 60 of 92)
1st Serve %
64% ( 77 of 121)
6
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
7
78% ( 47 of 60)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 52 of 77)
44% ( 14 of 32)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 19 of 44)
24% ( 4 of 17)
Break Points Won
20% ( 2 of 10)
34% ( 31 of 92)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 50 of 121)
111
Total Points Won
102

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Madison Keys Cori Gauff
YTD W/L 50% (3/3) 76% (19/6)
Sets Win/Loss 50% (7/7) 71% (42/17)
Games Win/Loss 48% (67/72) 60% (322/217)
Hard Win/Loss 60% (3/2) 78% (18/5)
Clay Win/Loss 0% (0/1) 50% (1/1)
Indoor Hard W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Grass Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Aces pg 0.36 0.37
Aces Total 24 98
DFs per game 0.24 0.55
DFs Total 16 144
Avg Match Time 1:45:23 1:42:35
Avg Opp Rank 209.67 94.68
1st Serve % 65% (309/476) 61% (1096/1804)
1st Serve W% 64% (198/309) 70% (762/1096)
2nd Serve W% 49% (82/167) 42% (298/708)
BPs Won% Total 40% (17/42) 55% (128/233)
Return Pts W% 40% (184/458) 50% (893/1787)
Slam W/L 0% (0/0) 83% (5/1)
Masters W/L 60% (3/2) 67% (8/4)
Cups W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Main Tour W/L 0% (0/1) 86% (6/1)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 50% (3/6) 76% (19/25)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 100% (2/2) 56% (5/9)
Deciding Set W% 50% (1/2) 56% (5/9)
1st set W, W 75% (4/3) 89% (18/16)
1st set W, L 25% (4/1) 11% (18/2)
1st set L, W 0% (2/0) 43% (7/3)

Madison Keys Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R2
cross
Jaqueline Cristian
Player
Madison Keys
52% ( 45 of 86)
1st Serve %
66% ( 56 of 85)
0
Aces
8
5
Double Faults
4
67% ( 30 of 45)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 33 of 56)
49% ( 20 of 41)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 14 of 29)
40% ( 6 of 15)
Break Points Won
50% ( 4 of 8)
42% ( 36 of 86)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 38 of 85)
88
Total Points Won
83
L
3-6 6-3 6-3 H2H
R4
cross
Elena Rybakina
Player
Madison Keys
65% ( 41 of 63)
1st Serve %
75% ( 47 of 63)
5
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
0
80% ( 33 of 41)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 29 of 47)
50% ( 11 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 7 of 16)
38% ( 3 of 8)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
30% ( 19 of 63)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 27 of 63)
71
Total Points Won
55
L
6-3 7-5 H2H
R3
cross
Madison Keys
Player
Xinyu Wang
59% ( 42 of 71)
1st Serve %
58% ( 51 of 88)
3
Aces
5
1
Double Faults
0
71% ( 30 of 42)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 34 of 51)
66% ( 19 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
54% ( 20 of 37)
29% ( 2 of 7)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
31% ( 22 of 71)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 34 of 88)
83
Total Points Won
76
W
6-4 7-6(5) H2H
R2
cross
Madison Keys
Player
Diana Shnaider
73% ( 49 of 67)
1st Serve %
69% ( 35 of 51)
8
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
3
73% ( 36 of 49)
1st Serve Won
57% ( 20 of 35)
44% ( 8 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
31% ( 5 of 16)
100% ( 4 of 4)
Break Points Won
17% ( 1 of 6)
34% ( 23 of 67)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 26 of 51)
70
Total Points Won
48
W
6-2 6-4 H2H
R3
cross
Yulia Putintseva
Player
Madison Keys
65% ( 36 of 55)
1st Serve %
56% ( 32 of 57)
0
Aces
0
5
Double Faults
1
72% ( 26 of 36)
1st Serve Won
53% ( 17 of 32)
53% ( 10 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 11 of 25)
71% ( 5 of 7)
Break Points Won
13% ( 1 of 8)
35% ( 19 of 55)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 29 of 57)
65
Total Points Won
47
L
6-4 6-1 H2H
R2
cross
Madison Keys
Player
Hailey Baptiste
62% ( 83 of 133)
1st Serve %
51% ( 59 of 115)
2
Aces
3
8
Double Faults
9
64% ( 53 of 83)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 39 of 59)
46% ( 23 of 50)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 26 of 56)
38% ( 5 of 13)
Break Points Won
31% ( 5 of 16)
43% ( 57 of 133)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 50 of 115)
126
Total Points Won
122
W
6-4 4-6 7-6(4) H2H
Robin
cross
Caroline Garcia
Player
Madison Keys
54% ( 36 of 67)
1st Serve %
74% ( 49 of 66)
5
Aces
12
2
Double Faults
1
83% ( 30 of 36)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 36 of 49)
68% ( 21 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
65% ( 11 of 17)
33% ( 1 of 3)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
24% ( 16 of 67)
Rtn Points Won
29% ( 19 of 66)
70
Total Points Won
63
L
6-3 7-6(3) H2H
Robin
cross
Beatriz Haddad Maia
Player
Madison Keys
68% ( 47 of 69)
1st Serve %
67% ( 37 of 55)
5
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
4
68% ( 32 of 47)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 25 of 37)
64% ( 14 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 8 of 18)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
14% ( 1 of 7)
33% ( 23 of 69)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 22 of 55)
68
Total Points Won
56
L
6-4 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Emma Navarro
Player
Madison Keys
64% ( 46 of 72)
1st Serve %
64% ( 44 of 69)
0
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
5
61% ( 28 of 46)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 28 of 44)
58% ( 15 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 9 of 25)
71% ( 5 of 7)
Break Points Won
60% ( 3 of 5)
40% ( 29 of 72)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 32 of 69)
75
Total Points Won
66
L
6-2 7-6(5) H2H
SF
cross
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Madison Keys
65% ( 64 of 98)
1st Serve %
69% ( 76 of 110)
12
Aces
5
4
Double Faults
3
64% ( 41 of 64)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 47 of 76)
56% ( 19 of 34)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 16 of 34)
30% ( 3 of 10)
Break Points Won
55% ( 6 of 11)
39% ( 38 of 98)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 47 of 110)
107
Total Points Won
101
L
0-6 7-6(1) 7-6(5) H2H

Cori Gauff Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
QF
cross
Marta Kostyuk
Player
Cori Gauff
58% ( 63 of 109)
1st Serve %
50% ( 62 of 124)
1
Aces
3
10
Double Faults
8
52% ( 33 of 63)
1st Serve Won
55% ( 34 of 62)
48% ( 22 of 46)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 29 of 62)
38% ( 8 of 21)
Break Points Won
53% ( 8 of 15)
50% ( 54 of 109)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 61 of 124)
116
Total Points Won
117
L
3-6 6-4 7-6(6) H2H
R2
cross
Cori Gauff
Player
Sachia Vickery
55% ( 60 of 110)
1st Serve %
55% ( 51 of 92)
2
Aces
1
15
Double Faults
4
62% ( 37 of 60)
1st Serve Won
55% ( 28 of 51)
40% ( 20 of 50)
2nd Serve Won
32% ( 13 of 41)
57% ( 8 of 14)
Break Points Won
37% ( 7 of 19)
48% ( 53 of 110)
Rtn Points Won
55% ( 51 of 92)
108
Total Points Won
94
W
6-3 4-6 7-5 H2H
R4
cross
Caroline Garcia
Player
Cori Gauff
65% ( 52 of 80)
1st Serve %
58% ( 38 of 65)
1
Aces
8
1
Double Faults
3
69% ( 36 of 52)
1st Serve Won
76% ( 29 of 38)
50% ( 14 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 13 of 27)
60% ( 3 of 5)
Break Points Won
29% ( 2 of 7)
38% ( 30 of 80)
Rtn Points Won
35% ( 23 of 65)
73
Total Points Won
72
L
6-3 1-6 6-2 H2H
R3
cross
Cori Gauff
Player
Oceane Dodin
55% ( 24 of 44)
1st Serve %
62% ( 36 of 58)
6
Aces
2
3
Double Faults
9
75% ( 18 of 24)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 22 of 36)
60% ( 12 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
23% ( 5 of 22)
45% ( 5 of 11)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
32% ( 14 of 44)
Rtn Points Won
53% ( 31 of 58)
61
Total Points Won
41
W
6-4 6-0 H2H
R2
cross
Cori Gauff
Player
Nadia Podoroska
64% ( 39 of 61)
1st Serve %
64% ( 35 of 55)
5
Aces
0
6
Double Faults
1
87% ( 34 of 39)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 21 of 35)
32% ( 7 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
25% ( 5 of 20)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 5)
33% ( 20 of 61)
Rtn Points Won
53% ( 29 of 55)
70
Total Points Won
46
W
6-1 6-2 H2H
SF
cross
Maria Sakkari
Player
Cori Gauff
63% ( 76 of 120)
1st Serve %
53% ( 53 of 100)
2
Aces
3
4
Double Faults
7
67% ( 51 of 76)
1st Serve Won
70% ( 37 of 53)
48% ( 21 of 44)
2nd Serve Won
40% ( 19 of 47)
50% ( 6 of 12)
Break Points Won
21% ( 3 of 14)
40% ( 48 of 120)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 44 of 100)
116
Total Points Won
104
L
6-4 6-7(5) 6-2 H2H
QF
cross
Cori Gauff
Player
Yue Yuan
62% ( 52 of 84)
1st Serve %
59% ( 33 of 56)
7
Aces
0
17
Double Faults
1
75% ( 39 of 52)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 19 of 33)
28% ( 9 of 32)
2nd Serve Won
30% ( 7 of 23)
71% ( 5 of 7)
Break Points Won
30% ( 3 of 10)
43% ( 36 of 84)
Rtn Points Won
54% ( 30 of 56)
78
Total Points Won
62
W
6-4 6-3 H2H
R4
cross
Cori Gauff
Player
Elise Mertens
74% ( 31 of 42)
1st Serve %
54% ( 26 of 48)
3
Aces
0
6
Double Faults
4
84% ( 26 of 31)
1st Serve Won
38% ( 10 of 26)
18% ( 2 of 11)
2nd Serve Won
32% ( 7 of 22)
75% ( 6 of 8)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
33% ( 14 of 42)
Rtn Points Won
65% ( 31 of 48)
59
Total Points Won
31
W
6-0 6-2 H2H
R3
cross
Cori Gauff
Player
Lucia Bronzetti
69% ( 54 of 78)
1st Serve %
59% ( 43 of 73)
3
Aces
3
6
Double Faults
4
74% ( 40 of 54)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 28 of 43)
50% ( 12 of 24)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 14 of 30)
43% ( 3 of 7)
Break Points Won
9% ( 1 of 11)
33% ( 26 of 78)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 31 of 73)
83
Total Points Won
68
W
6-2 7-6(5) H2H
R2
cross
Cori Gauff
Player
Clara Burel
64% ( 65 of 101)
1st Serve %
51% ( 44 of 87)
2
Aces
1
10
Double Faults
6
65% ( 42 of 65)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 26 of 44)
33% ( 12 of 36)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 18 of 43)
71% ( 5 of 7)
Break Points Won
43% ( 6 of 14)
47% ( 47 of 101)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 43 of 87)
97
Total Points Won
91
W
2-6 6-3 7-6(4) H2H

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