Madison Keys vs Caty McNally Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Keys has a stronger second serve, winning 40.83% of points compared to Mc Nally's 33.9% in recent months. Does this give Keys an edge? Yes, it possibly boosts her match-winning chances.
• Both players have similar effectiveness in returning second serves, with Keys at 50.43% and Mc Nally slightly ahead at 50.53%.
• In returning first serves, Mc Nally outperforms Keys, winning 35.4% of points compared to Keys' 29.73%.
• Under pressure, Keys saves 53.9% of breakpoints, outperforming Mc Nally's 38.02%, suggesting Keys may handle tense moments more effectively.
• Over the past year, Keys has a far better win record, with a 72.55% match-winning rate, compared to Mc Nally who lacks any wins in that time.
• Keys excels on grass courts, achieving a 71% win rate. Mc Nally's best and worst surfaces aren't specified, making comparisons here challenging.
• Keys competes predominantly at the Masters level with a 63.16% win rate, while Mc Nally's performance at undefined tournament levels shows no wins, indicating a potential gap in competitive experience.
• Keys encounters more challenging opponents, with an average opponent rank of 42.61, while Mc Nally's statistics aren't specified.
• If the match extends to a deciding set, Keys has proven success, winning 75% of such sets recently, a statistic where Mc Nally shows 0% success.
• Regarding converting break points, Mc Nally leads with a 43.48% rate, compared to Keys' 34.91%, hinting at Mc Nally's potential to seize opportunities to break serve.

Editorial Prediction (August 1, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming tennis match presents an intriguing competition, with both players showcasing unique strengths. Keys' performance stands out in second serve success and her impressive record in high-stakes deciding sets.

Although Mc Nally demonstrates potential with a slightly higher rate of first serve returns and an edge in break point conversions, her lack of match experience at competitive levels could prove disadvantageous.

Given Keys’ consistency, better record under pressure, and experience against higher-ranked opponents, she emerges as the favorite. Therefore, Keys is most likely to clinch victory in this matchup.