Luca Staeheli vs Mathieu Scaglia Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Recent form indicates Luca Staeheli has a slight edge in second serve performance, winning 43.24% of points compared to Mathieu Scaglia’s 41.51%. Will this make a difference in their match outcome? It's possible, given its high correlation with match prediction accuracy.
• In terms of return game effectiveness, Scaglia performs better on the opponent's second serve, capturing 48.15% of points, while Staeheli secures 42.50%. On first serve returns, however, Staeheli edges Scaglia at 30.46% against 27.43%. Could this suggest a tactical edge for either player? The data might lean slightly toward Staeheli in crucial moments.
• Under pressure, Staeheli saves 52.27% of breakpoints, whereas Scaglia saves 49.53%. Does Staeheli handle critical points better? This capability can be vital in tense match situations.
• Overall, Staeheli has a higher match win percentage in the past year, achieving 68.97%, compared to Scaglia's 61.90%. Does this suggest a more consistent performance at this level for Staeheli? Possibly.
• Both players favor hard courts, with Staeheli and Scaglia each securing a 62% career win rate. Could this match be closely contested on a hard surface? It appears likely, yet nuanced factors may still create distinctions.
• Comparing the level of the competition faced, Staeheli has encountered slightly higher-ranked opponents, with an average rank of 277.1 versus Scaglia’s 313.57. Could this influence the level of competition readiness? It implies Staeheli might be more accustomed to challenging opponents.
• In deciding sets, Scaglia narrowly leads with a 57% win rate over Staeheli’s 56%. Is it conceivable this minor difference plays a role if the match is tightly contested? Perhaps, in a closely-matched scenario.

Editorial Prediction (October 24, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match between Luca Staeheli and Mathieu Scaglia is likely to be closely contested. Both players have their key strengths; however, some indicators hint at an advantage for Staeheli. For instance, his higher win percentage in the past year and slightly stronger second serve performance provide a subtle edge.

While Mathieu Scaglia shows prowess in second serve returns and has a slight advantage in deciding sets, Luca Staeheli's ability to save breakpoints and tackle higher-ranked opponents suggests he might better withstand high-pressure situations.

Given the current data and trends, Luca Staeheli appears to have a marginal advantage in this matchup. Therefore, based on the statistics and performance patterns, Staeheli is predicted to edge ahead in this encounter.