Luca Nardi vs Luka Pavlovic Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second Serve Performance: In recent months, Pavlovic has a higher success rate on second serves, winning 48.72% of points compared to Nardi's 44.59%. Could Pavlovic's superior second serve point win ratio signal an advantage?
• Return Game Strength: Nardi edges out in returning second serves, securing 45.69% of points, while Pavlovic wins 41.94%. On first serve returns, Nardi also leads slightly with 23.68% compared to Pavlovic’s 22.85%. Nardi’s return game might grant them an upper hand in pressuring Pavlovic's serves.
• Handling Pressure: Nardi excels in saving breakpoints, with a 56.1% success rate, whereas Pavlovic saves 52.31%. This ability might benefit Nardi during critical points.
• Overall Match Winning Percentages: Over the past year, Pavlovic has a notably higher match win rate of 68.57%, trumping Nardi's 52.24%. Pavlovic's consistent performance might make them a favorite going into this match.
• Preferred Surface: Nardi thrives on Hard courts with a win rate of 59%, while Pavlovic is dominant on Clay courts securing 64%. Surface selection could influence their performance significantly.
• Competition Level: Both players chiefly compete in Challengers/ITF tournaments over $10K, with Nardi winning 67.65% of these matches slightly higher than Pavlovic’s 67.39%. The events they participate in are similar in level, keeping their experience front comparable.
• Opponent Ranking: Over the last year, Nardi has faced more challenging opponents with an average rank of 188.6 against Pavlovic’s average opponent ranking of 320.76. Does facing tougher opponents prepare Nardi better for this match?
• Deciding Set Performance: Pavlovic shows resilience in matches that go to a deciding set, winning 68% of them, compared to Nardi’s 50%. This could be crucial if the match is closely contested.
• Break Point Conversion: Nardi converts 27.14% of break opportunities, while Pavlovic converts 24.81%. Nardi’s ability to seize breakpoint chances might be key in turning games around.

Editorial Prediction (June 13, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match showcases two players with distinctive strengths. Pavlovic shows superior second serve winning ability, which is invaluable in maintaining holds and pressuring the opponent. Their overall match win rate over the past year further highlights their consistent performance on the tour.

Nardi, however, commands a more effective return game that could disrupt Pavlovic's service games. Additionally, Nardi’s prowess in saving breakpoints could guard against pivotal game losses.

While Pavlovic has the edge in match wins and shows strength in deciding sets, Nardi’s ability to return well and handle pressure points suggests a closely contested match. Considering all factors, Pavlovic may slightly edge this match, particularly if their serving efficiency remains high.