Luca Castelnuovo vs Ricardas Berankis Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second Serve Performance: Berankis has a slight edge, winning 47.14% of second serve points compared to Castelnuovo's 46.09% over the past six months.
• Return Game Analysis: Berankis also leads in return game stats, recovering 44.79% of opponent's second serve points, versus Castelnuovo's 41.07%.
• First Serve Returns: Berankis has demonstrated superior performance on first serve returns, reclaiming 24.94% compared to Castelnuovo's 21.32%.
• Pressure Play: Berankis shows resilience under pressure, saving 57.67% of breakpoints while Castelnuovo saves 48.6%.
• Overall Performance: Castelnuovo has a higher win rate over the past year, securing victory in 65.67% of matches compared to Berankis' 56%.
• Surface Preference: Both players excel on indoor hard courts, with Berankis at a 66% win rate and Castelnuovo at 58%.
• Level of Play: Berankis has faced tougher competition, with opponents averaging a rank of 313.1, whereas Castelnuovo's opponents rank at an average of 439.27.
• Deciding Set Records: Berankis has a better record in deciding sets, winning 56% opposed to Castelnuovo’s 41% in the past year.
• Break Point Conversion: Both players show similar capabilities, with Berankis converting 31.21% and Castelnuovo converting 30% of their break point opportunities.

Editorial Prediction (July 31, 2025, UTC):

As we analyze the statistics, Berankis shows a marginal advantage in specific areas that are critical in tennis match outcomes. His ability to play under pressure and secure a higher percentage of points on his opponent's serve indicates a slight upper hand.

While Castelnuovo has had a more successful year in terms of match wins, Berankis has consistently faced tougher opponents, which suggests a preparedness for high-stakes matches. Furthermore, Berankis' higher win percentage in deciding sets indicates greater resilience when matches become tightly contested.

Taking into account the various performance metrics, Berankis appears to have a more favorable position to claim victory in the upcoming match. Therefore, based on the stated facts, Berankis is the more likely winner.