Lorenzo Sonego vs Daniil Medvedev Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• When comparing second serve success over the past six months, Sonego has an edge, winning 48.64% of points compared to Medvedev's 44.94%. Does this suggest Sonego might have a slight advantage in service resilience?
• Medvedev excels in return games, securing 46.86% of points on opponents' second serves, as against Sonego’s 42.37%, indicating stronger return skills.
• On first serve returns, Medvedev narrowly leads with 24.86% compared to Sonego’s 23.70%, supporting predictions of Medvedev being favored.
• Under pressure, Medvedev has saved 59.37% of breakpoints lately, giving him a slight edge over Sonego's 55.66% in crucial moments.
• Analyzing last year's performance, Medvedev has a superior win ratio of 63.08%, while Sonego stands at 45.10%, highlighting Medvedev's consistency.
• Medvedev thrives on Hard courts with a 75% win record, while Sonego performs best on Clay (75%), making the surface a significant factor.
• Both players mainly compete on the Main tour, but Medvedev’s 69.70% win rate outshines Sonego's 38.46%, reflecting a higher competitive level.
• Direct match history shows Medvedev's dominance with 3 wins against Sonego, who has yet to beat him.
• Facing tougher opponents on average, Medvedev's competitors rank around 55.98, compared to Sonego’s 69.02, denoting a higher challenge level.
• Medvedev is more successful in deciding sets, winning 57% versus Sonego's 39%, critical information for match escalation scenarios.

Editorial Prediction (October 30, 2025, UTC):

Analyzing recent performance patterns, the comparison between Medvedev and Sonego reveals distinct advantages that Medvedev holds in key areas of their game. His superior return game performance, evident in both first and second serve returns, suggests that he will likely exert pressure on Sonego's serve, potentially shifting momentum in his favor.

Though Sonego showcases greater second serve success, which may offer resilience, Medvedev’s ability to play under pressure, as seen in his breakpoint save statistics, indicates his capability to stay composed during crucial moments. Furthermore, Medvedev's past head-to-head victories against Sonego underscore his strategic superiority.

Considering surface preferences and win percentages, Medvedev's success on Hard courts strengthens his candidacy, particularly since the upcoming match will be held on this surface. Additionally, his consistent track record and performance against higher-ranked opponents suggest readiness for competitive challenges.

The comprehensive assessment of these statistics and trends leads to the conclusion that Daniil Medvedev is the likely victor in this matchup. His demonstrated advantages make him the favored contender for this encounter.