Lorenzo Musetti vs Matteo Arnaldi Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison
Wojtek Kolan
HEAD TO HEAD
L. Musetti vs M. Arnaldi
Lorenzo Musetti
ITA
w
l
l
w
w
w
l
l
w
l
4
Win
4
Played
0
Win
23
Age
24
6'1" (185 cm)
Height
-
8
C. Rank
62
6
Best Rank
30
2
Total Titles
0
0
YTD Titles
0
$7.7M
Career Money
$2.5M
Right-Handed
Plays
-
Matteo Arnaldi
ITA
w
l
w
l
l
w
w
w
l
l
4
Win
4
Played
0
Win
23
Age
24
6'1" (185 cm)
Height
-
8
C. Rank
62
6
Best Rank
30
2
Total Titles
0
0
YTD Titles
0
$7.7M
Career Money
$2.5M
Right-Handed
Plays
-
Head-to-head: Musetti 4 - 0 Arnaldi
They have played 11 sets in total, with Lorenzo Musetti winning 9 and Matteo Arnaldi winning 2. The last match between Lorenzo Musetti and Matteo Arnaldi was at the Australian Open - Melbourne, 14-01-2025, Round: R1, Surface: Hard, with Draw getting the victory 7-6(4) 4-6 7-6(5) 6-3.
| Players | Head To Head Match Wins |
|---|---|
| Musetti | 4 |
| Arnaldi | 0 |
Last 4 H2H Matches:
(R1) Australian Open - Melbourne(01-14-25)
Lorenzo Musetti
7
4
7
6
Matteo Arnaldi
6
6
6
3
(R2) Nordea Open - Bastad(07-19-23)
Lorenzo Musetti
6
4
7
Matteo Arnaldi
3
6
6
(R2) Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome(05-14-23)
Lorenzo Musetti
6
6
Matteo Arnaldi
4
4
L. Musetti vs M. Arnaldi H2H Profile
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| $7,655,980 | Career Prize Money | $2,532,865 |
| 59.29% (268-184) | Career Total W/L | 59.90% (239-160) |
| 3 | Clay | 0 |
| 1 | Hard | 0 |
| 6 | Titles | 6 |
| 4 | Total H2H Matches | 0 |
| 67.16% (45-22) | YTD Win/Loss | 45.45% (20-24) |
L. Musetti vs M. Arnaldi Match Preview:
- Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Lorenzo Musetti has won 48.00% of points on their second serve, while Matteo Arnaldi has won 48.70%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
- Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Lorenzo Musetti, in recent form, has won 42.16% of their opponent's second serve points, while Matteo Arnaldi has won 44.17%. The same stats for first serve returns are 23.49% and 23.92% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
- Under pressure analysis: Lorenzo Musetti has saved 51.99% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Matteo Arnaldi has saved 61.40% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Performance overview: Over the last year Lorenzo Musetti has won 67.16% of matches played (W/L 45/22), with Matteo Arnaldi winning 46.94% (W/L 23/26) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
- Best surface: Lorenzo Musetti has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 67% (W/L 141/71), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 48% (W/L 41/45). Matteo Arnaldi has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 67% (W/L 132/70), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 39% (W/L 18/28).
- Player level: In the last year, Lorenzo Musetti has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 67.86% of matches (W/L 19/9), where as Matteo Arnaldi has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 50.00% of matches (W/L 13/13). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
- Direct H2H matches: They have played 4 times before with Lorenzo Musetti winning 4 times and Matteo Arnaldi being victorious 0 times. They have played 11 sets in total, with Lorenzo Musetti winning 9 and Matteo Arnaldi winning 2.
- The last match between Lorenzo Musetti and Matteo Arnaldi was at the Australian Open - Melbourne, 14-01-2025, Round: R1, Surface: Hard, with Draw getting the victory 7-6(4) 4-6 7-6(5) 6-3.
- Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:21:40.
- Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Lorenzo Musetti has played against opponents with an average rank of 50.18 while Matteo Arnaldi has played against players with an average rank of 62.08.
- Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Lorenzo Musetti has won 57% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Matteo Arnaldi has won 47% in all matches played on tour.
- Break point conversion: In recent form, Lorenzo Musetti has converted 24.70% of breakpoint opportunities, and Matteo Arnaldi has converted 23.42% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
Lorenzo Musetti vs Matteo Arnaldi Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.
L. Musetti vs M. Arnaldi H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| 4 | H2H Matches Won | 0 |
| 9 | Sets Won | 2 |
| 65 | Games Won | 46 |
| 14 | Aces (Total) | 12 |
| 11 | Total Double Faults | 28 |
| 2:21:40 | Average Match Time | 2:21:40 |
| 60% (209/346) | 1st Serve % | 56% (230/414) |
| 69% (145/209) | 1st Serve Win % | 62% (142/230) |
| 55% (75/137) | 2nd Serve Win % | 47% (86/184) |
| 38% (20/53) | Break Pts Won % | 39% (11/28) |
| 45% (186/414) | Return Points Win % | 36% (126/346) |
| 100% (3/3) | Best‑of‑3 Win % | 0% (0/3) |
| 100% (1/1) | Best‑of‑5 Win % | 0% (0/1) |
| 100% (1/1) | Deciding Set Win % | 0% (0/1) |
| 100% (4/4) | 1st Set Won, Won Match | 0% (0/0) |
| 0% (0/4) | 1st Set Won, Lost Match | 0% (0/0) |
| 0% (0/0) | 1st Set Lost, Won Match | 0% (0/4) |
Recent Performance Stats
2nd Serve Win %: Musetti 55%, Arnaldi 51%.
Opp 2nd Serve Pts Won: Musetti 53%, Arnaldi 47%.
Break Points Saved %: Musetti 61%, Arnaldi 65%.
L. Musetti Recent Matches Played
| OPPONENT | RESULT | SCORE | H2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Nitto ATP Finals - Turin - 10-11-2025 | ||||
Robin  Carlos AlcarazC. Alcaraz | L | 6-4 6-1 | ||
Robin  Alex De MinaurA. De | W | 7-5 3-6 7-5 | ||
Robin  Taylor FritzT. Fritz | L | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Hellenic Championship - Athens - 03-11-2025 | ||||
F  Novak DjokovicN. Djokovic | L | 4-6 6-3 7-5 | ||
SF Sebastian KordaS. Korda | W | 6-0 5-7 7-5 | ||
M. Arnaldi Recent Matches Played
| OPPONENT | RESULT | SCORE | H2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rolex Paris Masters - Paris - 27-10-2025 | ||||
Q1  Jacob FearnleyJ. Fearnley | L | 7-5 6-2 | ||
| Erste Bank Open - Vienna - 20-10-2025 | ||||
R2  Alexander ZverevA. Zverev | L | 6-4 6-4 | ||
R1 Aleksandar KovacevicA. Kovacevic | W | 7-5 6-4 | ||
Q3 Tristan SchoolkateT. Schoolkate | W | 7-6(5) 6-3 | ||
Q1  Jesper De JongJ. De | W | 6-4 7-6(5) | ||
L. Musetti vs M. Arnaldi Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| 59.29% (268/184) | YTD Win/Loss | 59.90% (239/160) |
| 56.51% (642/494) | Sets Win/Loss | 57.91% (560/407) |
| 52.26% (5660/5171) | Games Win/Loss | 52.58% (4842/4366) |
| 54.40% (68/57) | Hard Win/Loss | 60.71% (85/55) |
| 66.51% (141/71) | Clay Win/Loss | 65.35% (132/70) |
| 47.67% (41/45) | Indoor Hard W/L | 38.30% (18/29) |
| 62.07% (18/11) | Grass Win/Loss | 40.00% (4/6) |
| 0.29 | Aces Per Game | 0.36 |
| 1541 | Aces Total | 1621 |
| 0.18 | Double Faults Per Game | 0.25 |
| 932 | Total Double Faults | 1126 |
| 1:50:28 | Average Match Time | 1:45:46 |
| 235.59 | Average Opponent Rank | 301.57 |
| 64% (21521/33459) | 1st Serve % | 59% (16488/28035) |
| 69% (14888/21521) | 1st Serve Win % | 68% (11281/16488) |
| 53% (6282/11945) | 2nd Serve Win % | 50% (5794/11542) |
| 42% (1360/3242) | Break Points Won % (Total) | 43% (1155/2712) |
| 39% (13336/34125) | Return Points Win % | 40% (10868/27336) |
| 61.82% (34/21) | Slam W/L | 56.25% (18/14) |
| 57.14% (56/42) | Masters W/L | 54.39% (31/26) |
| 28.57% (2/5) | Cups W/L | 80.00% (4/1) |
| 58.64% (95/67) | Main Tour W/L | 48.57% (34/36) |
| 33.33% (1/2) | Tour Finals W/L | 0% (0/0) |
| 61.54% (56/35) | Challenger W/L | 59.84% (73/49) |
| 65.52% (19/10) | Futures W/L | 70.27% (78/33) |
| 60% (230/386) | Best of 3 Sets Win % | 61% (223/367) |
| 59% (37/63) | Best of 5 Sets Win % | 43% (12/28) |
| 56% (99/177) | Tiebreaks Win % (Total) | 58% (76/131) |
| 60% (84/140) | Deciding Set Win % | 51% (68/133) |
| 85% (248/211) | 1st Set Won, Won Match | 83% (242/200) |
| 15% (248/37) | 1st Set Won, Lost Match | 17% (242/42) |
| 27% (204/56) | 1st Set Lost, Won Match | 24% (156/37) |
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