Lorenzo Musetti vs Matteo Arnaldi Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com
By Wojtek Kolan
At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Musetti vs Arnaldi analysis and find out who is favored!
Lorenzo Musetti vs Matteo Arnaldi Important H2H Prediction Stats:
- Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Musetti has won 48.86% of points on his second serve, while Arnaldi has won 51.35%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
- Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Musetti, in recent form, has won 49.63% of his opponent's second serve points, while Arnaldi has won 49.59%. The same stats for first serve returns are 25.32% and 26.87% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
- Under pressure analysis: Musetti has saved 54.04% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Arnaldi has saved 64.65% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Performance overview: Over the last year Musetti has won 52.31% of matches played (W/L 34/ 31), with Arnaldi winning 68.92% (W/L 51/ 23) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
- Best surface: Musetti has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 65% (W/L 104/ 57), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 46% (W/L 6/ 7). Arnaldi has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 68% (W/L 115/ 55), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 39% (W/L 12/ 19).
- Player level: In the last year, Musetti has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 51.52% of matches (W/L 17/ 16), where as Arnaldi has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 59.26% of matches (W/L 16/ 11). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
- Direct H2H matches: They have played 3 times before with Musetti winning 3 times. They have played 7 sets in total, with Musetti winning 6 and Arnaldi winning 1. The last match between Musetti and Arnaldi was at the Nordea Open - Bastad, 19-07-2023, Second, Clay with Lorenzo Musetti getting the victory .
- Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:46:53.
- Deciding set H2H prediction: Musetti and Arnaldi have played a deciding set 1 times, with Musetti winning 1 times and Arnaldi 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
- Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 1 tiebreaks against each other with Musetti winning 1, and Arnaldi 0.
- Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Musetti has played against opponents with an average rank of 149.02 while Arnaldi has played against players with an average rank of 172.68.
- Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Musetti has won 55% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Arnaldi has won 59% in all matches played on tour.
- Break point conversion: In recent form, Musetti has converted 33.33% of breakpoint opportunities, and Arnaldi has converted 35.2% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
Head-to-head: Musetti 3 - 0 Arnaldi
6
Total
0
Mast
2
Chall
0
Slam
2
Main
2
Minor
24
Rank
15
High
22
Age
R
Plays
3
Total0
0
Hard0
3
Clay0
0
Indoor0
0
Grass0
38
Rank
38
High
23
Age
Plays
6
Total
0
Mast
4
Chall
0
Slam
0
Main
2
Minor
Form
57% (182-137)
Career Total W/L
64% (197-113)
44% (7-9)
YTD W/L
56% (10-8)
$2,731,655
Career Prize Money
$1,162,145
0
YTD Titles
0
Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.
stats | Lorenzo Musetti | Matteo Arnaldi |
---|---|---|
All H2H Matches | 3 | 0 |
Sets Won | 6 | 1 |
Games Won | 41 | 25 |
Aces (Total) | 8 | 5 |
DFs (Total) | 6 | 15 |
Avg Match Time | 1:46:53 | 1:46:53 |
1st Serve % | 60% (120/199) | 58% (134/231) |
1st Serve Win% | 74% (89/120) | 61% (82/134) |
2nd Serve Win% | 57% (45/79) | 47% (46/97) |
BPs Won% (Total) | 44% (11/25) | 25% (3/12) |
Return Points W% | 45% (103/231) | 33% (65/199) |
Best of 3 Sets W% | 100% (3/3) | 0% (0/3) |
Best of 5 Sets W% | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
TBs Win% (Total) | 100% (1/1) | 0% (0/1) |
Deciding Set Win% | 100% (1/1) | 0% (0/1) |
1st set W, W | 100% (3/3) | 0% (0/0) |
1st set W, L | 0% (3/0) | 0% (0/0) |
1st set L, W | 0% (0/0) | 0% (3/0) |
Winning Player | Losing Player | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6-3 4-6 7-6(6) |
Lorenzo Musetti
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
56%
(
49 of
87)
1st Serve %
61%
(
68 of
112)
6
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
6
78%
(
38 of
49)
1st Serve Won
63%
(
43 of
68)
47%
(
18 of
38)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
22 of
44)
33%
(
4 of
12)
Break Points Won
75%
(
3 of
4)
36%
(
31 of
87)
Rtn Points Won
42%
(
47 of
112)
103
Total Points Won
96
|
||||
6-4 6-4 |
Lorenzo Musetti
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
64%
(
42 of
66)
1st Serve %
57%
(
43 of
75)
1
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
4
71%
(
30 of
42)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
29 of
43)
67%
(
16 of
24)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
16 of
32)
29%
(
2 of
7)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
3)
30%
(
20 of
66)
Rtn Points Won
40%
(
30 of
75)
76
Total Points Won
65
|
||||
6-2 6-0 |
Lorenzo Musetti
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
63%
(
29 of
46)
1st Serve %
52%
(
23 of
44)
1
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
5
72%
(
21 of
29)
1st Serve Won
43%
(
10 of
23)
65%
(
11 of
17)
2nd Serve Won
38%
(
8 of
21)
83%
(
5 of
6)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
5)
30%
(
14 of
46)
Rtn Points Won
59%
(
26 of
44)
58
Total Points Won
32
|
Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
stats | Lorenzo Musetti | Matteo Arnaldi |
---|---|---|
YTD W/L | 44% (7/9) | 56% (10/8) |
Sets Win/Loss | 48% (19/21) | 55% (26/21) |
Games Win/Loss | 48% (192/208) | 50% (235/237) |
Hard Win/Loss | 46% (6/7) | 56% (10/8) |
Clay Win/Loss | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
Indoor Hard W/L | 33% (1/2) | 0% (0/0) |
Grass Win/Loss | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
Aces pg | 0.24 | 0.63 |
Aces Total | 47 | 145 |
DFs per game | 0.11 | 0.19 |
DFs Total | 21 | 45 |
Avg Match Time | 2:2:34 | N/A |
Avg Opp Rank | 177.31 | 187.17 |
1st Serve % | 63% (792/1257) | 57% (879/1552) |
1st Serve W% | 69% (549/792) | 73% (639/879) |
2nd Serve W% | 51% (239/465) | 51% (346/673) |
BPs Won% Total | 33% (39/117) | 35% (44/125) |
Return Pts W% | 36% (472/1299) | 36% (535/1502) |
Slam W/L | 50% (1/1) | 50% (1/1) |
Masters W/L | 60% (3/2) | 67% (4/2) |
Cups W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
Main Tour W/L | 33% (3/6) | 50% (5/5) |
Tour Finals W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
Challenger W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
Futures W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
Best of 3 Sets W% | 43% (6/14) | 56% (9/16) |
Best of 5 Sets W% | 50% (1/2) | 50% (1/2) |
TBs Win% (Total) | 56% (5/9) | 64% (7/11) |
Deciding Set W% | 25% (1/4) | 44% (4/9) |
1st set W, W | 88% (8/7) | 80% (10/8) |
1st set W, L | 13% (8/1) | 20% (10/2) |
1st set L, W | 0% (8/0) | 25% (8/2) |
Lorenzo Musetti Recent Matches Played
opponent | Score | H2H | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
R4 |
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Lorenzo Musetti
64%
(
35 of
55)
1st Serve %
68%
(
40 of
59)
3
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
0
74%
(
26 of
35)
1st Serve Won
63%
(
25 of
40)
55%
(
11 of
20)
2nd Serve Won
37%
(
7 of
19)
36%
(
4 of
11)
Break Points Won
33%
(
1 of
3)
33%
(
18 of
55)
Rtn Points Won
46%
(
27 of
59)
64
Total Points Won
50
|
6-3 6-3 | H2H | ||
R3 |
Lorenzo Musetti
Player
Ben Shelton
63%
(
40 of
63)
1st Serve %
70%
(
58 of
83)
1
Aces
4
0
Double Faults
5
83%
(
33 of
40)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
39 of
58)
70%
(
16 of
23)
2nd Serve Won
48%
(
12 of
25)
25%
(
2 of
8)
Break Points Won
100%
(
1 of
1)
22%
(
14 of
63)
Rtn Points Won
39%
(
32 of
83)
81
Total Points Won
65
|
6-4 7-6(5) | H2H | ||
R2 |
Lorenzo Musetti
Player
Roman Safiullin
67%
(
45 of
67)
1st Serve %
58%
(
33 of
57)
5
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
3
78%
(
35 of
45)
1st Serve Won
70%
(
23 of
33)
32%
(
7 of
22)
2nd Serve Won
29%
(
7 of
24)
71%
(
5 of
7)
Break Points Won
33%
(
2 of
6)
37%
(
25 of
67)
Rtn Points Won
47%
(
27 of
57)
69
Total Points Won
55
|
7-5 6-1 | H2H | ||
R3 |
Holger Rune
Player
Lorenzo Musetti
64%
(
38 of
59)
1st Serve %
68%
(
46 of
68)
3
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
2
82%
(
31 of
38)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
31 of
46)
71%
(
15 of
21)
2nd Serve Won
55%
(
12 of
22)
33%
(
2 of
6)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
2)
22%
(
13 of
59)
Rtn Points Won
37%
(
25 of
68)
71
Total Points Won
56
|
6-2 7-6(5) | H2H | ||
R2 |
Lorenzo Musetti
Player
Denis Shapovalov
61%
(
58 of
95)
1st Serve %
57%
(
55 of
97)
2
Aces
9
3
Double Faults
12
64%
(
37 of
58)
1st Serve Won
76%
(
42 of
55)
57%
(
21 of
37)
2nd Serve Won
40%
(
17 of
42)
31%
(
4 of
13)
Break Points Won
36%
(
4 of
11)
39%
(
37 of
95)
Rtn Points Won
39%
(
38 of
97)
96
Total Points Won
96
|
6-4 2-6 7-5 | H2H | ||
R1 |
Arthur Cazaux
Player
Lorenzo Musetti
61%
(
46 of
75)
1st Serve %
67%
(
49 of
73)
8
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
2
70%
(
32 of
46)
1st Serve Won
65%
(
32 of
49)
66%
(
19 of
29)
2nd Serve Won
54%
(
13 of
24)
40%
(
2 of
5)
Break Points Won
100%
(
1 of
1)
32%
(
24 of
75)
Rtn Points Won
38%
(
28 of
73)
79
Total Points Won
69
|
6-4 7-6(2) | H2H | ||
R1 |
Zhizhen Zhang
Player
Lorenzo Musetti
77%
(
30 of
39)
1st Serve %
60%
(
29 of
48)
7
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
1
77%
(
23 of
30)
1st Serve Won
41%
(
12 of
29)
44%
(
4 of
9)
2nd Serve Won
37%
(
7 of
19)
67%
(
6 of
9)
Break Points Won
25%
(
1 of
4)
31%
(
12 of
39)
Rtn Points Won
60%
(
29 of
48)
56
Total Points Won
31
|
6-2 6-0 | H2H | ||
R1 |
Tallon Griekspoor
Player
Lorenzo Musetti
59%
(
68 of
116)
1st Serve %
63%
(
69 of
109)
19
Aces
8
3
Double Faults
1
81%
(
55 of
68)
1st Serve Won
75%
(
52 of
69)
54%
(
26 of
48)
2nd Serve Won
63%
(
25 of
40)
25%
(
1 of
4)
Break Points Won
15%
(
2 of
13)
30%
(
35 of
116)
Rtn Points Won
29%
(
32 of
109)
113
Total Points Won
112
|
3-6 7-6(7) 7-6(3) | H2H | ||
R2 |
Tomas Machac
Player
Lorenzo Musetti
68%
(
45 of
66)
1st Serve %
61%
(
28 of
46)
6
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
0
64%
(
29 of
45)
1st Serve Won
61%
(
17 of
28)
57%
(
12 of
21)
2nd Serve Won
39%
(
7 of
18)
80%
(
4 of
5)
Break Points Won
17%
(
1 of
6)
38%
(
25 of
66)
Rtn Points Won
48%
(
22 of
46)
63
Total Points Won
49
|
6-3 6-2 | H2H | ||
R1 |
Lorenzo Musetti
Player
Maximilian Marterer
47%
(
27 of
57)
1st Serve %
52%
(
38 of
73)
2
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
2
74%
(
20 of
27)
1st Serve Won
58%
(
22 of
38)
50%
(
15 of
30)
2nd Serve Won
37%
(
13 of
35)
36%
(
5 of
14)
Break Points Won
40%
(
2 of
5)
39%
(
22 of
57)
Rtn Points Won
52%
(
38 of
73)
73
Total Points Won
57
|
6-4 6-2 | H2H |
view more
Matteo Arnaldi Recent Matches Played
opponent | Score | H2H | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
R4 |
Tomas Machac
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
63%
(
38 of
60)
1st Serve %
65%
(
31 of
48)
1
Aces
4
1
Double Faults
2
71%
(
27 of
38)
1st Serve Won
71%
(
22 of
31)
64%
(
14 of
22)
2nd Serve Won
41%
(
7 of
17)
100%
(
3 of
3)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
32%
(
19 of
60)
Rtn Points Won
40%
(
19 of
48)
60
Total Points Won
48
|
6-3 6-3 | H2H | ||
R3 |
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Denis Shapovalov
60%
(
44 of
73)
1st Serve %
59%
(
35 of
59)
5
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
0
73%
(
32 of
44)
1st Serve Won
80%
(
28 of
35)
62%
(
18 of
29)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
12 of
24)
100%
(
2 of
2)
Break Points Won
25%
(
1 of
4)
32%
(
23 of
73)
Rtn Points Won
32%
(
19 of
59)
69
Total Points Won
63
|
6-3 7-6(7) | H2H | ||
R2 |
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Alexander Bublik
58%
(
36 of
62)
1st Serve %
59%
(
35 of
59)
6
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
5
75%
(
27 of
36)
1st Serve Won
69%
(
24 of
35)
50%
(
13 of
26)
2nd Serve Won
29%
(
7 of
24)
50%
(
4 of
8)
Break Points Won
20%
(
1 of
5)
35%
(
22 of
62)
Rtn Points Won
47%
(
28 of
59)
68
Total Points Won
53
|
6-4 6-1 | H2H | ||
R1 |
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Arthur Fils
59%
(
29 of
49)
1st Serve %
59%
(
42 of
71)
5
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
1
93%
(
27 of
29)
1st Serve Won
71%
(
30 of
42)
70%
(
14 of
20)
2nd Serve Won
41%
(
12 of
29)
20%
(
2 of
10)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
16%
(
8 of
49)
Rtn Points Won
41%
(
29 of
71)
70
Total Points Won
50
|
6-3 6-4 | H2H | ||
R2 |
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
57%
(
43 of
76)
1st Serve %
57%
(
52 of
92)
2
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
0
86%
(
37 of
43)
1st Serve Won
60%
(
31 of
52)
55%
(
18 of
33)
2nd Serve Won
43%
(
17 of
40)
46%
(
6 of
13)
Break Points Won
25%
(
1 of
4)
28%
(
21 of
76)
Rtn Points Won
48%
(
44 of
92)
99
Total Points Won
69
|
6-7(5) 6-0 6-1 | H2H | ||
R1 |
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Luca Van Assche
60%
(
48 of
80)
1st Serve %
54%
(
44 of
81)
11
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
5
79%
(
38 of
48)
1st Serve Won
75%
(
33 of
44)
47%
(
15 of
32)
2nd Serve Won
51%
(
19 of
37)
22%
(
2 of
9)
Break Points Won
67%
(
2 of
3)
34%
(
27 of
80)
Rtn Points Won
36%
(
29 of
81)
82
Total Points Won
79
|
7-6(6) 7-6(3) | H2H | ||
R2 |
Ben Shelton
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
75%
(
62 of
83)
1st Serve %
49%
(
53 of
109)
7
Aces
5
3
Double Faults
5
74%
(
46 of
62)
1st Serve Won
72%
(
38 of
53)
52%
(
11 of
21)
2nd Serve Won
48%
(
27 of
56)
33%
(
3 of
9)
Break Points Won
75%
(
3 of
4)
31%
(
26 of
83)
Rtn Points Won
40%
(
44 of
109)
101
Total Points Won
91
|
7-6(1) 3-6 6-3 | H2H | ||
R1 |
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Taylor Fritz
57%
(
51 of
89)
1st Serve %
60%
(
61 of
101)
8
Aces
9
4
Double Faults
3
78%
(
40 of
51)
1st Serve Won
64%
(
39 of
61)
47%
(
18 of
38)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
20 of
40)
27%
(
4 of
15)
Break Points Won
50%
(
3 of
6)
35%
(
31 of
89)
Rtn Points Won
42%
(
42 of
101)
100
Total Points Won
90
|
6-4 4-6 6-3 | H2H | ||
R1 |
Max Purcell
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
53%
(
55 of
103)
1st Serve %
58%
(
56 of
97)
5
Aces
7
4
Double Faults
1
67%
(
37 of
55)
1st Serve Won
63%
(
35 of
56)
50%
(
24 of
48)
2nd Serve Won
54%
(
22 of
41)
50%
(
5 of
10)
Break Points Won
44%
(
4 of
9)
41%
(
42 of
103)
Rtn Points Won
41%
(
40 of
97)
101
Total Points Won
99
|
6-4 4-6 6-4 | H2H | ||
R2 |
Rinky Hijikata
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
65%
(
65 of
100)
1st Serve %
53%
(
52 of
98)
4
Aces
14
2
Double Faults
7
66%
(
43 of
65)
1st Serve Won
75%
(
39 of
52)
57%
(
20 of
35)
2nd Serve Won
41%
(
19 of
46)
30%
(
3 of
10)
Break Points Won
11%
(
1 of
9)
37%
(
37 of
100)
Rtn Points Won
41%
(
40 of
98)
103
Total Points Won
95
|
6-2 3-6 6-4 | H2H |
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