Lorenzo Musetti vs Daniil Medvedev Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

Wojtek Kolan

Wojtek Kolan

Published on 13 May at 02:08 PM UTC

HEAD TO HEAD

L. Musetti vs D. Medvedev

Lorenzo Musetti
Lorenzo Musetti

Flag ITA ITA

w
l
l
w
w
w
l
l
w
l
Daniil Medvedev
Daniil Medvedev

Flag RUS RUS

l
w
w
w
w
w
l
w
w
l

1

Win

3

Played

2

Win

23
Age
29
6'1" (185 cm)
Height
6'6" (198 cm)
8
C. Rank
13
6
Best Rank
1
2
Total Titles
22
0
YTD Titles
1
$7.7M
Career Money
$33.0M
Right-Handed
Plays
Right-Handed

Head-to-head: Musetti 1 - 2 Medvedev

They have played 6 sets in total, with Lorenzo Musetti winning 2 and Daniil Medvedev winning 4. The last match between Lorenzo Musetti and Daniil Medvedev was at the Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome, 13-05-2025, Round: R4, Surface: Clay, with Lorenzo Musetti getting the victory 7-5 6-4.

PlayersHead To Head Match Wins
Musetti1
Medvedev2
Last 3 H2H Matches:

(R4Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome(05-13-25)

Clay
ITA Flag
Lorenzo Musetti
7
6
RUS Flag
Daniil Medvedev
5
4

(R2Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati(08-16-23)

Hard
RUS Flag
Daniil Medvedev
6
6
ITA Flag
Lorenzo Musetti
3
2

(R3National Bank Open - Toronto(08-10-23)

Hard
RUS Flag
Daniil Medvedev
6
6
ITA Flag
Lorenzo Musetti
4
4

L. Musetti vs D. Medvedev H2H Profile

Stats
$7,655,980Career Prize Money$32,984,050
59.29% (268-184)Career Total W/L70.40% (578-243)
1Clay0
0Hard2
6Titles26
1Total H2H Matches2
67.16% (45-22)YTD Win/Loss64.06% (41-23)
0YTD Titles1

L. Musetti vs D. Medvedev Match Preview:

  • In second serve performance over the last six months, Musetti has a slight edge, winning 43.49% of points compared to Medvedev's 42.65%.
  • Regarding return games, Musetti has been successful with 45.41% of points won on opponents' second serves, whereas Medvedev has the advantage, winning 46.35% of these points.
  • For first serve returns, Musetti is ahead with a success rate of 29.01% versus Medvedev's 26.23%, suggesting potential dominance in breaking serves.
  • Under pressure, Musetti excels, saving 61.16% of breakpoints faced, outpacing Medvedev's 55.34%.
  • Musetti's match win rate over the past year is 71.23%, superior to Medvedev's 62.5% success rate.
  • Musetti's favored surface is clay (66% win rate), while Medvedev shows a preference for hard courts with a 75% win rate.
  • Asking the question: Who has been more successful against top-tier opponents recently? Musetti has faced higher-ranked opponents with an average rank of 52.4, slightly tougher than Medvedev's 53.34.
  • Historically, Medvedev dominates head-to-head encounters, winning both previous matches and all four sets played against Musetti.
  • When it comes to deciding sets, Musetti is more successful, having won 78% of these situations in the past year, compared to Medvedev's 53%.
  • In terms of breakpoint conversions, Musetti again has the upper hand, converting 36.62% of opportunities versus Medvedev's 33.56%.
  • Editorial Prediction (May 13, 2025, UTC):

    As the players prepare to face off, statistical insights reveal that Musetti has slightly improved his second serve performance over Medvedev in the past six months. This could play a crucial role in the outcome of the match, given the emphasis placed on second serve success in overall match predictions.

    However, Medvedev has demonstrated superior return game statistics, particularly in winning opponents' second serve points. This hints at his capability to put pressure on Musetti’s serve consistently throughout the match.

    Although Musetti shows resilience under pressure with a higher breakpoint save percentage, Medvedev’s past victories over Musetti in both direct encounters place him as a favorite. The critical question might be how Musetti could use his better record in deciding sets to potentially turn the tables.

    Considering their head-to-head record and Medvedev’s historical performance on hard courts, alongside his ability to capitalize on Musetti's weaker second serve points, it seems advantageous. Therefore, Medvedev is likely to win this upcoming match.

Lorenzo Musetti vs Daniil Medvedev Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.

L. Musetti vs D. Medvedev H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

Stats
1H2H Matches Won2
2Sets Won4
26Games Won33
6Aces (Total)7
6Total Double Faults10
1:30:7Average Match Time1:30:7
59% (105/177)1st Serve %62% (103/167)
72% (76/105)1st Serve Win %79% (81/103)
44% (32/72)2nd Serve Win %47% (30/64)
63% (5/8)Break Pts Won %47% (8/17)
34% (56/167)Return Points Win %39% (69/177)
33% (1/3)Best‑of‑3 Win %67% (2/3)
100% (1/1)1st Set Won, Won Match100% (2/2)
0% (0/1)1st Set Won, Lost Match0% (0/2)
0% (0/2)1st Set Lost, Won Match0% (0/1)

Recent Performance Stats

2nd Serve Win %: Musetti 55%, Medvedev 49%.
Opp 2nd Serve Pts Won: Musetti 53%, Medvedev 53%.
Break Points Saved %: Musetti 61%, Medvedev 60%.

L. Musetti Recent Matches Played

OPPONENTRESULTSCOREH2H
I.hardNitto ATP Finals - Turin - 10-11-2025

Robin

ESPC. Alcaraz
L
6-4 6-1

Robin

AUSA. De
W
7-5 3-6 7-5

Robin

USAT. Fritz
L
6-3 6-4
I.hardHellenic Championship - Athens - 03-11-2025

F

SRBN. Djokovic
L
4-6 6-3 7-5

SF

USAS. Korda
W
6-0 5-7 7-5

D. Medvedev Recent Matches Played

OPPONENTRESULTSCOREH2H
I.hardRolex Paris Masters - Paris - 27-10-2025

QF

GERA. Zverev
L
2-6 6-3 7-6(5)

R3

ITAL. Sonego
W
3-6 7-6(5) 6-4

R2

BULG. Dimitrov
W
w/o

R1

ESPJ. Antoni
W
6-1 6-3
I.hardErste Bank Open - Vienna - 20-10-2025

R2

FRAC. Moutet
L
7-6(3) 6-4
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L. Musetti vs D. Medvedev Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

Stats
59.29% (268/184)YTD Win/Loss70.40% (578/243)
56.51% (642/494)Sets Win/Loss65.95% (1356/700)
52.26% (5660/5171)Games Win/Loss55.60% (10945/8741)
54.40% (68/57)Hard Win/Loss74.58% (267/91)
66.51% (141/71)Clay Win/Loss64.38% (94/52)
47.67% (41/45)Indoor Hard W/L68.12% (156/73)
62.07% (18/11)Grass Win/Loss69.32% (61/27)
0.29Aces Per Game0.57
1541Aces Total5548
0.18Double Faults Per Game0.28
932Total Double Faults2659
1:50:28Average Match Time1:34:45
235.59Average Opponent Rank342.05
64% (21521/33459)1st Serve %61% (33648/55201)
69% (14888/21521)1st Serve Win %75% (25219/33648)
53% (6282/11945)2nd Serve Win %51% (10966/21546)
42% (1360/3242)Break Points Won % (Total)43% (2449/5718)
39% (13336/34125)Return Points Win %40% (22811/57170)
61.82% (34/21)Slam W/L72.22% (91/35)
57.14% (56/42)Masters W/L67.57% (125/60)
28.57% (2/5)Cups W/L76.92% (20/6)
58.64% (95/67)Main Tour W/L72.06% (196/76)
33.33% (1/2)Tour Finals W/L52.17% (12/11)
61.54% (56/35)Challenger W/L68.75% (55/25)
65.52% (19/10)Futures W/L72.55% (74/28)
60% (230/386)Best of 3 Sets Win %71% (485/685)
59% (37/63)Best of 5 Sets Win %69% (88/127)
56% (99/177)Tiebreaks Win % (Total)56% (168/299)
60% (84/140)Deciding Set Win %62% (145/235)
85% (248/211)1st Set Won, Won Match90% (533/481)
15% (248/37)1st Set Won, Lost Match10% (533/51)
27% (204/56)1st Set Lost, Won Match33% (287/96)

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