Lorenzo Musetti vs Carlos Alcaraz Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• How does second serve performance differ between the players recently? Musetti has a slight edge, winning 45.27% of points from second serves compared to Alcaraz's 42.97%.
• In recent return game stats, Musetti outperforms Alcaraz on opponent's second serve points, winning 44.83% against 43.08%. For first serve returns, Musetti has a marginal lead with 28.71% compared to Alcaraz's 28.63%.
• Under pressure, Musetti shows resilience by saving 58.73% of breakpoints, while Alcaraz saves 54.31%.
• Over the last year, Alcaraz boasts a higher match win percentage at 83.54%, whereas Musetti holds a 72.97% win rate.
• Musetti performs best on clay with a 67% win rate, while Alcaraz excels on grass, winning 89% of his matches.
• Both players have different strengths based on event level: Musetti plays mainly on the Main tour while Alcaraz has significant experience in the Masters series.
• Alcaraz holds a strong advantage in their head-to-head encounters, winning 6 of their 7 matches.
• If the match goes to a deciding set, Musetti has had a slightly better record over the past year, winning 81% compared to Alcaraz's 72%.
• Musetti also has a higher break point conversion rate recently at 37.71%, against Alcaraz’s 30.05%.

Editorial Prediction (June 5, 2025, UTC):

This upcoming match between Musetti and Alcaraz is set to be a closely contested encounter. Musetti's recent strengths on his second serve and break point conversion could be significant factors in the match's outcome. Moreover, his ability to save breakpoints more effectively than Alcaraz gives him an interesting edge under pressure.

Alcaraz, however, holds a dominant position in their head-to-head history, a factor that might boost his confidence going into this match. His superior match win rate over the past year indicates his performative consistency.

While Musetti might push for a victory with his technical advantage in certain statistics, Alcaraz’s overall game plan, past performance against Musetti, and mental edge in crucial moments might see him through. Overall, Alcaraz is slightly favored to win this match based on recent performance patterns and historical dominance in their rivalry.