Prediction of Lorenzo Lorusso vs Duckhee Lee at M15 Phan Thiet 12-02-25

• Recently, Lorenzo Lorusso has performed better on second serve points, winning 46.55% compared to Duckhee Lee's 42.62%. This could give Lorusso an advantage in maintaining service games.
• When returning, Duckhee Lee has been more effective, capturing 47.50% of opponents' second serve points compared to Lorusso's 43.16%. Will this ability to capitalize on return games be crucial for Lee in the match?
• In terms of breakpoints saved, Lorusso fares better at 50.89%, while Lee is slightly behind at 46.74%. This suggests Lorusso might handle pressure situations more effectively.
• Over the past year, Duckhee Lee has a higher match win percentage, at 48.94% versus Lorusso's 45.45%. Could this slight edge in overall consistency impact the match result?
• Both players excel on hard courts, with each having a 54% career win rate on this surface. This similarity makes their performance on other factors more significant for the outcome prediction.
• In competitive levels, Duckhee Lee has won more (53.66%) in Futures/ITF tournaments compared to Lorusso's 47.62%, potentially indicating Bennett's proficiency at managing these events.
• Looking at toughness of opposition, Lorusso has faced more challenging opponents with an average rank of 305, as opposed to Lee's 382.19. Could this prepare Lorusso better for higher-level play?
• In deciding sets, Lorenzo Lorusso has an impressive 67% win rate in the past year, while Duckhee Lee has won only 20%. Would Lorusso's edge in critical moments determine the final result if the match is tightly contested?
• Break point conversion rates show Duckhee Lee has a distinct advantage, converting 36.79% of opportunities to Lorusso’s 28.85%. Can Lee's greater efficiency at turning opportunities into breaks give him the upper hand?

Editorial Prediction (December 1, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match promises to be a close battle with each player having specific areas of strength. Lorenzo Lorusso shines when under pressure, with a solid breakpoint save percentage and a strong record in deciding sets, suggesting calmness and resilience in critical scenarios.

In contrast, Duckhee Lee's superior ability to return serve and convert breakpoints effectively could disrupt Lorusso's service games. Coupled with a better recent win percentage, Lee seems more adept at converting opportunities into match wins.

While Lorusso's experience against higher-ranked opponents and his toughness in deciding sets are valuable, Duckhee Lee's efficiency in converting chances and slightly more consistent performance make him the slight favorite to win this matchup.