Prediction of Lorenzo Angelini vs Menelaos Efstathiou at M15 Heraklion 11-06-25

• Lorenzo Angelini has recently struggled slightly on second serve points, winning 38%, compared to Menelaos Efstathiou's 39.95%. How significant could this difference be in the match outcome?
• The return game stats reveal that Angelini has the upper hand on second serve returns, winning 49.86% of those points, while Efstathiou is slightly behind at 47.15%.
• First serve return performance is narrowly in Angelini's favor, winning 34.26% as compared to Efstathiou’s 33.21%.
• Under pressure, Angelini is better at saving breakpoints, with a percentage of 48.73% versus Efstathiou's 42.71%.
• Both have similar match win percentages over the past year, Angelini at 63.01% and Efstathiou at 62.69%.
• On their favored surface, both players excel on hard courts with a 60% win record, but Efstathiou has more matches with a significantly larger sample size (99/66 compared to Angelini’s 9/6).
• They have played most of their recent matches at the Futures/Satellites/ITF $10K events, with similar win percentages (Angelini at 63.89% and Efstathiou at 63.64%).
• The average opponent rank over the past year is slightly more challenging for Efstathiou at 291.46 compared to Angelini's 297.14.
• Efstathiou appears more resilient in deciding sets, with a win rate of 69% compared to Angelini's 60%.

Editorial Prediction (November 6, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match between Lorenzo Angelini and Menelaos Efstathiou is tightly lined up, with both players displaying strengths in different areas.

Angelini seems to have an edge in return games and under pressure situations, potentially giving him a slight advantage tactically.

However, Efstathiou's competence in deciding sets and a stronger experience profile on hard courts cannot be ignored.

Weighed against the analysis of recent performance and resilience under pressure, Menelaos Efstathiou is slightly more favored to win this encounter.