Liudmila Samsonova vs Aryna Sabalenka Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

Wojtek Kolan

Wojtek Kolan

Published on 09 Oct at 06:50 AM UTC

HEAD TO HEAD

L. Samsonova vs A. Sabalenka

Liudmila Samsonova
Liudmila Samsonova

Flag RUS RUS

w
l
w
l
l
w
w
l
w
l
Aryna Sabalenka
Aryna Sabalenka

Flag BLR BLR

w
w
w
w
w
w
w
w
w
l

2

Win

6

Played

4

Win

26
Age
27
-
Height
1.82m
18
C. Rank
1
12
Best Rank
1
5
Total Titles
21
0
YTD Titles
4
$5.9M
Career Money
$36.5M
Right-Handed
Plays
Right-Handed

Head-to-head: Samsonova 2 - 4 Sabalenka

They have played 14 sets in total, with Liudmila Samsonova winning 4 and Aryna Sabalenka winning 10. The last match between Aryna Sabalenka and Liudmila Samsonova was at the Wuhan Open - Wuhan, 09-10-2025, Round: R3, Surface: Hard, with Aryna Sabalenka getting the victory 6-3 6-2.

PlayersHead To Head Match Wins
Samsonova2
Sabalenka4
Last 6 H2H Matches:

(R3Wuhan Open - Wuhan(10-09-25)

Hard
BLR Flag
Aryna Sabalenka
6
6
RUS Flag
Liudmila Samsonova
3
2

(QFBNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells(03-13-25)

Hard
BLR Flag
Aryna Sabalenka
6
6
RUS Flag
Liudmila Samsonova
2
3

(QFWestern & Southern Open - Cincinnati(08-17-24)

Hard
BLR Flag
Aryna Sabalenka
6
6
RUS Flag
Liudmila Samsonova
3
2

L. Samsonova vs A. Sabalenka H2H Profile

Stats
$5,909,033Career Prize Money$36,531,203
60.89% (341-219)Career Total W/L70.72% (483-200)
2Hard4
9Titles27
2Total H2H Matches4
56.60% (30-23)YTD Win/Loss84.29% (59-11)
0YTD Titles4

L. Samsonova vs A. Sabalenka Match Preview:

  • Aryna Sabalenka has a slightly lower second serve point win percentage (40.50%) than Liudmila Samsonova (43.57%). Does this give Samsonova an edge? Potentially, but Sabalenka compensates in other areas.
  • On returning opponent's second serve points, Samsonova has a marginal advantage (49.08%) over Sabalenka (48.37%). How does this affect the match outcome? It slightly favors Samsonova.
  • In saving breakpoints, both players perform similarly under pressure, with Samsonova saving 53.77% and Sabalenka saving 52.92%. This indicates a closely matched capability to defend.
  • Sabalenka has a significantly stronger overall win record over the past year (84.00%) compared to Samsonova (58.00%), suggesting consistent performance at a higher level.
  • On hard courts, Sabalenka's win rate (74%) aligns with a surface advantage, while Samsonova excels more on grass.
  • Sabalenka’s experience at the Masters series, with an 81.58% win rate, shows she consistently competes and wins at higher-level events compared to Samsonova's 60.00% on the Main tour.
  • In direct head-to-head matches, Sabalenka has won 3 out of the 5 encounters and 8 out of 12 sets against Samsonova, showcasing a historical edge.
  • The last meeting on a hard surface saw Sabalenka winning comfortably, which can influence her confidence going into similar conditions.
  • Sabalenka’s matches are typically against higher-ranked opponents (average rank 48.35) versus Samsonova (average rank 57.12), indicating Sabalenka's greater experience facing tougher competition.
  • If the match goes to a deciding set, Sabalenka is more likely to prevail, having won 68% of such sets compared to Samsonova’s 47%.

Editorial Prediction (October 9, 2025, UTC):

Current performance metrics suggest Aryna Sabalenka may have a slight disadvantage on second serve points but excels in first serve returns. In terms of overall competitiveness and match win consistency, Sabalenka holds a clear advantage with a stronger recent win record.

Given Sabalenka's success rate in deciding sets and her previous victories against Samsonova, she appears to demonstrate better resilience in pressure situations. This, coupled with her experience on hard courts, tips the balance in her favor.

The blend of Sabalenka's historical head-to-head advantage and her performance against higher-ranked opponents suggests she is the more likely candidate to come out victorious in this upcoming match. Based on the available data and recent trends, Aryna Sabalenka is predicted to win this encounter.

Liudmila Samsonova vs Aryna Sabalenka Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.

L. Samsonova vs A. Sabalenka H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

Stats
2H2H Matches Won4
4Sets Won10
58Games Won77
30Aces (Total)42
32Total Double Faults29
1:53:49Average Match Time1:53:49
51% (231/457)1st Serve %65% (274/419)
68% (156/231)1st Serve Win %71% (194/274)
48% (108/226)2nd Serve Win %54% (78/145)
39% (11/28)Break Pts Won %38% (19/50)
35% (147/419)Return Points Win %42% (193/457)
33% (2/6)Best‑of‑3 Win %67% (4/6)
100% (2/2)Deciding Set Win %0% (0/2)
100% (2/2)1st Set Won, Won Match100% (4/4)
0% (0/2)1st Set Won, Lost Match0% (0/4)
0% (0/4)1st Set Lost, Won Match0% (0/2)

Recent Performance Stats

2nd Serve Win %: Samsonova 46%, Sabalenka 51%.
Opp 2nd Serve Pts Won: Samsonova 54%, Sabalenka 59%.
Break Points Saved %: Samsonova 58%, Sabalenka 65%.

L. Samsonova Recent Matches Played

OPPONENTRESULTSCOREH2H
HardNingbo Open - Ningbo - 13-10-2025

R2

USAM. Kessler
L
7-6(5) 6-1

R1

CHNH. Guo
W
6-2 6-4
HardWuhan Open - Wuhan - 06-10-2025

R3

BLRA. Sabalenka
L
6-3 6-2

R2

USAS. Kenin
W
3-6 6-3 6-1

R1

COLE. Arango
W
6-1 7-5

A. Sabalenka Recent Matches Played

OPPONENTRESULTSCOREH2H
HardWuhan Open - Wuhan - 06-10-2025

SF

USAJ. Pegula
L
2-6 6-4 7-6(2)

QF

KAZE. Rybakina
W
6-3 6-3

R3

RUSL. Samsonova
W
6-3 6-2

R2

SVKR. Sramkova
W
4-6 6-3 6-1
HardU.S. Open - New York - 25-08-2025

F

USAA. Anisimova
W
6-3 7-6(3)
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L. Samsonova vs A. Sabalenka Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

Stats
60.89% (341/219)YTD Win/Loss70.72% (483/200)
58.70% (756/532)Sets Win/Loss66.60% (1067/535)
53.39% (6411/5597)Games Win/Loss56.17% (8417/6568)
59.24% (125/86)Hard Win/Loss74.00% (296/104)
58.74% (131/92)Clay Win/Loss66.67% (100/50)
67.57% (50/24)Indoor Hard W/L64.79% (46/25)
67.31% (35/17)Grass Win/Loss66.13% (41/21)
0.35Aces Per Game0.39
2070Aces Total2821
0.3Double Faults Per Game0.39
1744Total Double Faults2856
1:29:10Average Match Time1:30:54
355.91Average Opponent Rank283.1
56% (19075/33770)1st Serve %60% (27655/45745)
68% (13062/19075)1st Serve Win %69% (19050/27655)
48% (7119/14695)2nd Serve Win %47% (8557/18079)
45% (1828/4038)Break Points Won % (Total)47% (2571/5490)
44% (15252/34985)Return Points Win %45% (20433/45472)
61.76% (42/26)Slam W/L77.78% (105/30)
51.11% (46/44)Masters W/L70.95% (149/61)
100.00% (2/0)Cups W/L62.50% (10/6)
60.69% (105/68)Main Tour W/L67.93% (125/59)
66.67% (88/44)Challenger W/L64.89% (61/33)
61.05% (58/37)Futures W/L75.00% (33/11)
61% (338/555)Best of 3 Sets Win %71% (480/679)
0% (0/1)Best of 5 Sets Win %100% (1/1)
53% (83/158)Tiebreaks Win % (Total)61% (111/181)
56% (95/171)Deciding Set Win %56% (135/239)
86% (343/294)1st Set Won, Won Match89% (460/410)
14% (343/49)1st Set Won, Lost Match11% (460/49)
21% (217/46)1st Set Lost, Won Match32% (223/72)

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