Lilian Poling vs Mariam Karadzhaeva Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Poling has a slight advantage in second serve performance, winning 41.62% of points compared to Karadzhaeva's 39.32%. Could this make a crucial difference in the match?
• In terms of return games, Poling leads by winning 52.25% of opponent's second serve points, while Karadzhaeva manages 46.15%.
• For first serve returns, Poling again has the upper hand, with a 37.13% success rate compared to Karadzhaeva's 33.81%.
• Under pressure, Poling excels by saving 47.32% of breakpoints, significantly outperforming Karadzhaeva, who saves 33.75%.
• Over the past year, Poling has a superior win-loss record of 51.92% (27/25) versus Karadzhaeva's 30.23% (13/30).
• Both players perform best on clay, yet Poling's win rate of 54% outweighs Karadzhaeva's 28%.
• Poling competes mostly at Challengers/ITF tournaments, winning 48.28% of matches, whereas Karadzhaeva frequents Futures/Satellites with a 30.77% win rate.
• When facing higher-ranked opponents, Poling has played against average-ranked players of 360.58, while Karadzhaeva has faced stronger competition with an average rank of 185.98.
• In deciding sets, Poling wins 58% of the time, greatly surpassing Karadzhaeva's 18% win rate, a critical factor if the match reaches final stages.
• While Karadzhaeva holds a higher breakpoint conversion rate of 50% compared to Poling's 42.24%, it might not compensate for other disparities.

Editorial Prediction (June 5, 2025, UTC):

Considering recent performance and statistics, Poling appears to have the edge in several key areas against Karadzhaeva. Their second serve and return game proficiency suggest a likelihood of dominating service exchanges.

Additionally, Poling demonstrates greater resilience under pressure by defending more breakpoints compared to their rival, complementing their higher overall match winning record.

While Karadzhaeva excels in converting breakpoints, the comprehensive strength across performance metrics favors Poling, particularly on the clay surface where both have their highest success rates.

Given these comparisons, Poling is poised as the probable winner of this tennis encounter.