Leonardo Malgaroli vs Noah Perfetti Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second serve performance: Over the past six months, Perfetti has secured 45.56% of second serve points compared to Malgaroli’s 40.63%. Could this influence the match outcome? Statistics suggest it might.
• Return game strength: Perfetti demonstrates better return statistics, winning 49.63% of opponents’ second serve points, while Malgaroli succeeds with 45.38%. In first serve returns, Perfetti maintains an edge with 33.97% compared to Malgaroli’s 27.98%.
• Handling pressure: When under pressure, Perfetti excels by saving 55.24% of breakpoints whereas Malgaroli manages to save 44.36%, indicating a potential advantage in crucial moments.
• Overall match performance: Over the last year, Malgaroli shows a higher win percentage, achieving 63.27% (W/L 31/18), while Perfetti’s stands at 42.22% (W/L 19/26).
• Surface preferences: Perfetti performs best on Clay with a 55% win rate, but Malgaroli shows superiority on indoor hard courts with a 69% win percentage. How might the surface in the upcoming match affect their performances?
• Competitive level experience: Both players mainly compete in Futures/Satellites/ITF $10K tournaments. Malgaroli wins 63.27% of these matches, surpassing Perfetti’s 42.22%.
• Quality of opponents: Malgaroli has faced tougher opponents with an average ranking of 302.27, compared to Perfetti’s 348.71.
• Deciding set scenarios: If the match leads to a deciding set, Malgaroli’s 64% win rate is significantly higher than Perfetti’s 18%, offering insights into potential match conclusions.
• Break point conversion: Perfetti converts 45.13% of break chances, slightly outperforming Malgaroli’s 43.66%. Choosing who can capitalize better on their opponent's weakness?

Editorial Prediction (July 15, 2025, UTC):

In analyzing the head-to-head statistics, Perfetti often shows superior performance in crucial metrics such as second serve points and return games, which are critical in determining match outcomes. His ability to save breakpoints under pressure further highlights his resilience and efficiency on the court.

However, Malgaroli commands not only a better recent match win percentage but also demonstrates remarkable adeptness in deciding sets, an asset that might prove decisive in a closely contested match. Additionally, his experience against higher-ranked competitors suggests familiarity with tougher competition.

Considering these comparative advantages, Malgaroli appears to have a slight upper hand owing to his overall win rate, success in deciding sets, and experience with formidable opponents. Therefore, Malgaroli is most likely to secure victory in the upcoming tennis match.