Kousuke Ogura vs Yuto Oki Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second Serve Performance: Recently, Ogura has a 43.87% success rate on second serve points, while Oki achieves 45.28%. This difference is notable for predicting match outcomes.
• Return Game Efficiency: Ogura wins 44.99% on return of opponents' second serves and 28.48% on first serves. Oki performs better with 49.71% and 31.28% respectively, indicating an edge in return games.
• Under Pressure Performance: Ogura saves 51.55% of breakpoints under pressure, whereas Oki excels slightly at 55.47%. How might this impact crucial game moments?
• Annual Match Win Rate: Ogura has a 48.48% win rate overall for the past year, compared to Oki's slightly better 51.52% win rate.
• Surface Preference: Ogura's best surface is Hard at a 50% win rate. Oki prefers Clay, achieving the highest rate of 67% but is less skilled on Hard at 43%.
• Competitive Level: Both players frequently compete at Futures/ITF $10K events, with Ogura securing 51.11% and Oki obtaining a 51.52% win rate, reflecting similar competitiveness.
• Opponent Difficulty: Recently, Ogura has faced tougher opponents averaging a rank of 382.45, slightly stronger than Oki’s average opponent rank of 387.45.
• Deciding Set Strength: Should the match extend to a deciding set, Oki holds an advantage, winning 56% compared to Ogura’s 40% over past encounters.
• Break Point Conversion: Ogura converts 33.04% of break point chances while Oki converts 30.77%, giving Ogura a slight edge in critical game points.

Editorial Prediction (June 10, 2025, UTC):

With Oki displaying marginally superior second serve success and return game efficiency, these factors weigh heavily in predicting match outcomes. Ogura’s ability to convert break points slightly better provides a keen edge during pivotal moments.

Historically, Oki outperforms in deciding sets, suggesting greater mental resilience under pressure. Despite Ogura playing against stronger opponents, this parity does not conclusively translate to a probable advantage.

Factoring in recent trends, competitive experience, and surface preferences, Oki seems more likely to prevail in this matchup, particularly if the contest intensifies to crucial sets. Therefore, Oki is predicted to win this upcoming tennis match.