Kei Nishikori vs Joao Fonseca Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

Analyzing second serve performance, Fonseca has achieved a 48.56% success rate in securing points over the past six months, whereas Nishikori's corresponding figure is slightly lower at 45.72%. This statistic plays a significant role in determining the likely outcome of matches.

Examining return game statistics provides further insight. Fonseca, in his recent performance, has managed to claim 42.86% of points on opponents' second serves, while Nishikori excels with 49.37%. For first serve returns, the stats are more evenly matched, with Fonseca at 26.51% and Nishikori at 27%. Such data is crucial for foreseeing the likely victor in this head-to-head contest.

When under pressure, Fonseca has showcased his resilience by saving 57.82% of breakpoints, marginally higher than Nishikori's 51.39%. This statistic is particularly useful for real-time betting predictions and gauging player composure during critical match moments.

Considering their overall performance over the last year, Fonseca has secured victories in 68.18% of his matches (45 wins, 21 losses), compared to Nishikori's 63.83% win rate (30 wins, 17 losses). This wider performance overview frames the head-to-head prediction landscape.

Surface-wise, Fonseca demonstrates his strongest performance on hard courts, boasting a 76% career win rate (22 wins, 7 losses), whereas his grass court results are less favorable at 33% (2 wins, 4 losses). Conversely, Nishikori also finds his best surface performance on indoor hard courts, with a 71% success rate (110 wins, 45 losses), but maintains a higher win percentage of 63% on grass (48 wins, 28 losses), making surface analysis key in this comparison.

Player level is another dimension to consider. Over the past year, Fonseca has predominately competed in the Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K, clinching 73.68% of these matches (28 wins, 10 losses). Nishikori, too, has focused on these events, yet he has a superior win rate of 88.24% (15 wins, 2 losses), which could suggest a greater proficiency at this level of competition.

The quality of opponents faced also provides a context to these performance stats. Fonseca's adversaries have had an average ranking of 142.42, compared to Nishikori's 93.49 over the past year, potentially presenting a tougher competitive slate for the latter.

When matches reach deciding sets, Nishikori shines, winning 75% of such sets in the last year, overshadowing Fonseca's 56% success rate. This indicates Nishikori's stronger resolve in crucial match stages.

In matters of breakpoint conversion, Fonseca has capitalized on 31.11% of opportunities recently, a notch behind Nishikori's rate of 31.52%. This measure is critical for live betting scenarios, especially when either player approaches a breakpoint.

Taking into account the statistical analysis above, Nishikori emerges as the probable favorite to win the match. His superior performance indices in key areas such as return game and deciding set win rates, combined with a stronger record against higher-ranked opponents, offer him an edge in this contest.