Katie Boulter vs Elena Rybakina Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

In evaluating the prospective outcomes of this tennis match, the players' recent performance stats provide valuable insights. Over the past six months, Rybakina has been slightly superior in her second serve performance, securing 44.25% of points compared to Boulter's 41.82%. This subtle edge on second serve points indicates Rybakina's potentially stronger foundation during rallies.

Analyzing their return game effectiveness, Rybakina again demonstrates a marginal advantage, winning 49.62% of her opponent's second serve points versus Boulter's 49.06%. The first serve return stats are nearly identical, with Rybakina achieving a 26.67% return success rate against Boulter's 26.51%. This comparative analysis positions Rybakina slightly ahead in terms of return efficiency.

When encountering breakpoints, Rybakina has shown resilience, saving 55.34% compared to Boulter's 47.72%, which could be key during tense match moments. In terms of overall match performance over the past year, Rybakina has been more successful, winning 75.47% of her matches, while Boulter has a win rate of 59.62%.

Surface performance is also pivotal, as Rybakina shines on grass with a 75% win rate (W/L 33/11), whereas Boulter's optimal surface is indoor hard courts, where she boasts a 63% win rate. This match could potentially favor Rybakina, given her grass court prowess and their previous encounter, which she decisively won at Wimbledon in straight sets.

Notably, the players have only faced each other once, with Rybakina emerging victorious. The average duration of their face-off was 57 minutes, indicating a swift resolution in favor of Rybakina. Both players have not yet encountered any tiebreaks or deciding sets against each other, leaving this fresh ground unexplored. Considering matches against varying levels of opposition, Rybakina has competed against a higher caliber, with her opponents averaging a rank of 53.23, while Boulter's were ranked 81.19 on average.

Looking at the handling of breakpoints, Boulter has been slightly more effective, converting 34.95% of her opportunities, compared to Rybakina's 31.85%. However, Rybakina's superior experience in deciding sets, winning 62% over the past 12 months, against Boulter's 53%, lends further weight to her candidacy as the favored player.

In conclusion, an examination of both players' profiles and past performances underscores the prediction that Rybakina, with her slightly more advantageous stats across several key areas, is more likely to prevail in the upcoming match against Boulter.