Katie Boulter vs Chloe Paquet Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• How does second serve performance compare? Recently, Paquet has secured 40.8% of points on their second serve, whereas Boulter stands at 39.35%, suggesting a slight edge for Paquet in this aspect.
• In terms of return game, Boulter has an upper hand with a 52.93% win rate on their opponent's second serve compared to Paquet’s 51.45%.
• For first serve returns, Paquet excels by winning 33.4% of points, surpassing Boulter’s 28.91% success rate, a crucial factor for predicting the winner.
• Under pressure, Paquet has saved 51.58% of breakpoints lately, while Boulter trails with 39.74%, highlighting Paquet's resilience in critical moments.
• Recent overall match success favors Boulter, who has won 60.38% of her matches over the past year, compared to Paquet’s 45.59%.
• Which surface are they best on? Paquet shines on clay with a win rate of 54%, while Boulter excels on indoor hard courts, winning 63% of matches there, indicating their preferred playing conditions.
• Boulter’s experience on the Main tour shows a 70.83% match win rate, suggesting a higher level of competition than Paquet, who has played primarily in Challengers/ITF tournaments with a 55.26% success rate.
• In direct encounters, Boulter has dominated, winning both previous matches against Paquet, including all four sets played.
• Regarding opponent quality, Boulter has faced competitors with an average rank of 81.25 over the last year, considerably tougher than Paquet's opponents, who averaged a rank of 173.46.
• If the match reaches a deciding set, Boulter’s likelihood of prevailing is stronger, having won 67% compared to Paquet's 45% in similar scenarios.
• Break point conversion is key, where Boulter has a higher conversion rate of 39.45% against Paquet’s 33.33%, which can be decisive during pivotal moments in the match.

Editorial Prediction (May 17, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match between Paquet and Boulter presents an intriguing contest of contrasting strengths. Paquet has shown prowess in handling pressure and executing effective first-serve returns, both crucial elements of their game.

However, Boulter's proven track record on the Main tour, combined with her superior performance in past encounters against Paquet and her ability to convert break points more efficiently, gives her a distinct advantage.

With Boulter's better results on tour against higher-ranked opposition and her dominance in head-to-head matches, she emerges as the likely winner of this upcoming encounter. The expectations are for Boulter to leverage her slightly superior recent form and experience to secure victory.