Prediction of Karim Bennani vs Aziz Ouakaa at M15 Monastir 12-03-25

• In recent form, Aziz Ouakaa edges out Karim Bennani on second serve points, winning 42.58% compared to Bennani's 41.73%. Does this slight advantage translate into better overall performance? Marginal, but worth noting.
• Returning capabilities show Ouakaa with a slight upper hand, securing 47.98% of opponent's second serves compared to Bennani's 45.24%.
• Both players display similar resilience under pressure, saving roughly 50% of breakpoints, indicating consistent performance in critical moments.
• Bennani has been more successful overall in the past year, with a 70.83% win rate, contrasted with Ouakaa's 51.90% success rate.
• Both players excel on hard surfaces with a 75% win rate, but vary on others, hinting that surface won't be a decisive factor in this matchup.
• Their head-to-head record favors Bennani, who won their only encounter thus far, also on a hard surface.
• Ouakaa has faced slightly higher-ranked opponents in the past year, with an average rank of 445.66 compared to Bennani's 488, suggesting tougher competition.
• If the match extends to a deciding set, Bennani's impressive 78% win rate in such conditions might become crucial, compared to Ouakaa's 59%.
• Ouakaa converts more breakpoint opportunities (39.45%) than Bennani (30.11%), which might be a pivotal factor during the match.

Editorial Prediction (December 3, 2025, UTC):

When examining the players' recent performance, Aziz Ouakaa has shown a slight advantage in both second serve performance and returning capability. These aspects could be crucial in tight rallies and exchanges, giving Ouakaa a marginal edge.

However, Karim Bennani's robust overall win rate and dominance in their previous head-to-head encounter suggests a clear ability to capitalize on key moments. His experience in critical set situations and better overall form over the past year could be decisive.

Considering the combination of Bennani's decisive edge in direct encounters, his knack for strong overall match outcomes, and reliable performance under pressure, Karim Bennani appears to be the more likely winner of the upcoming tennis match.