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Kaia Kanepi vs Aryna Sabalenka Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Kanepi vs Sabalenka analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Kaia Kanepi vs Aryna Sabalenka Important H2H Prediction Stats:

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Kanepi has won 39.66% of points on his second serve, while Sabalenka has won 47.43%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Kanepi, in recent form, has won 56% of his opponent's second serve points, while Sabalenka has won 57.89%. The same stats for first serve returns are 26.92% and 37.13% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Kanepi has saved 38.46% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Sabalenka has saved 59.29% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Kanepi has won 46.67% of matches played (W/L 14/ 16), with Sabalenka winning 75.38% (W/L 49/ 16) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Kanepi has their best career surface win % on I.hard, winning 70% (W/L 102/ 44), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 49% (W/L 26/ 27). Sabalenka has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 71% (W/L 237/ 95), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 61% (W/L 69/ 44).
  • Player level: In the last year, Kanepi has played most of their matches on the Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K, winning 58.82% of matches (W/L 10/ 7), where as Sabalenka has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 66.67% of matches (W/L 18/ 9). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 3 times before with Kanepi winning 2 times. They have played 9 sets in total, with Kanepi winning 5 and Sabalenka winning 4. The last match between Kanepi and Sabalenka was at the U.S. Open - New York, 01-09-2022, Second, Hard with Aryna Sabalenka getting the victory .
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:6:0.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Kanepi and Sabalenka have played a deciding set 3 times, with Kanepi winning 2 times and Sabalenka 1 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 2 tiebreaks against each other with Kanepi winning 1, and Sabalenka 1.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Kanepi has played against opponents with an average rank of 149 while Sabalenka has played against players with an average rank of 61.09.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Kanepi has won 22% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Sabalenka has won 47% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Kanepi has converted 50% of breakpoint opportunities, and Sabalenka has converted 46% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
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Head-to-head: Kanepi 2 - 1 Sabalenka

Kaia Kanepi

23

Total

0

Mast

17

Chall

0

Slam

4

Main

2

Minor

228

Rank

15

High

38

Age

R

Plays

2

Total

1

2

Hard

1

0

Clay

0

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

2

Rank

1

High

25

Age

R

Plays

Aryna Sabalenka

20

Total

5

Mast

4

Chall

2

Slam

7

Main

2

Minor

2

Total

1

2

Hard

1

0

Clay

0

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

W L W L W L L L L L

Form

W W L W W L W L W L

62% (555-346)

Career Total W/L

68% (383-180)

0% (0-2)

YTD W/L

75% (15-5)

$5,914,332

Career Prize Money

$18,896,949

0

YTD Titles

1

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Kanepi VS Sabalenka H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Kaia Kanepi Aryna Sabalenka
All H2H Matches 2 1
Sets Won 5 4
Games Won 48 38
Aces (Total) 19 12
DFs (Total) 12 30
Avg Match Time 2:6:0 2:6:0
1st Serve % 55% (157/288) 61% (174/283)
1st Serve Win% 71% (111/157) 64% (112/174)
2nd Serve Win% 49% (64/131) 44% (48/109)
BPs Won% (Total) 52% (15/29) 48% (10/21)
Return Points W% 43% (123/283) 39% (113/288)
Best of 3 Sets W% 67% (2/3) 33% (1/3)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 50% (1/2) 50% (1/2)
Deciding Set Win% 67% (2/3) 33% (1/3)
1st set W, W 50% (2/1) 0% (1/0)
1st set W, L 50% (2/1) 100% (1/1)
1st set L, W 100% (1/1) 50% (2/1)

Kanepi VS Sabalenka H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
2-6 7-6(8) 6-4
cross
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Kaia Kanepi
63% ( 72 of 114)
1st Serve %
67% ( 58 of 87)
3
Aces
9
11
Double Faults
5
64% ( 46 of 72)
1st Serve Won
74% ( 43 of 58)
40% ( 17 of 42)
2nd Serve Won
34% ( 10 of 29)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
56% ( 5 of 9)
45% ( 51 of 114)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 34 of 87)
97
Total Points Won
104
5-7 6-2 7-6(7)
cross
Kaia Kanepi
Player
Aryna Sabalenka
49% ( 52 of 106)
1st Serve %
64% ( 68 of 107)
5
Aces
7
4
Double Faults
15
73% ( 38 of 52)
1st Serve Won
71% ( 48 of 68)
59% ( 32 of 54)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 18 of 39)
31% ( 4 of 13)
Break Points Won
38% ( 3 of 8)
34% ( 36 of 106)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 41 of 107)
111
Total Points Won
102
6-1 2-6 6-1
cross
Kaia Kanepi
Player
Aryna Sabalenka
49% ( 47 of 95)
1st Serve %
55% ( 34 of 62)
5
Aces
2
3
Double Faults
4
64% ( 30 of 47)
1st Serve Won
53% ( 18 of 34)
46% ( 22 of 48)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 13 of 28)
86% ( 6 of 7)
Break Points Won
43% ( 3 of 7)
45% ( 43 of 95)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 31 of 62)
83
Total Points Won
74

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Kaia Kanepi Aryna Sabalenka
YTD W/L 0% (0/2) 75% (15/5)
Sets Win/Loss 0% (0/4) 73% (33/12)
Games Win/Loss 25% (8/24) 59% (240/165)
Hard Win/Loss 0% (0/1) 78% (14/4)
Clay Win/Loss 0% (0/1) 50% (1/1)
Indoor Hard W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Grass Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Aces pg 0.2 0.54
Aces Total 3 105
DFs per game 0.13 0.33
DFs Total 2 64
Avg Match Time 1:17:30 1:33:17
Avg Opp Rank 172 76.35
1st Serve % 68% (78/114) 63% (802/1274)
1st Serve W% 41% (32/78) 72% (578/802)
2nd Serve W% 36% (13/36) 48% (226/472)
BPs Won% Total 44% (4/9) 46% (80/174)
Return Pts W% 40% (40/101) 46% (605/1310)
Slam W/L 0% (0/1) 100% (7/0)
Masters W/L 0% (0/0) 50% (3/3)
Cups W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Main Tour W/L 0% (0/0) 71% (5/2)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 0% (0/1) 0% (0/0)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 0% (0/2) 74% (14/19)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 100% (1/1)
TBs Win% (Total) 0% (0/0) 80% (4/5)
Deciding Set W% 0% (0/0) 20% (1/5)
1st set W, W 0% (0/0) 81% (16/13)
1st set W, L 0% (0/0) 13% (16/2)
1st set L, W 0% (2/0) 25% (4/1)

Kaia Kanepi Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R1
cross
Irene Burillo Escorihuela
Player
Kaia Kanepi
74% ( 42 of 57)
1st Serve %
75% ( 33 of 44)
0
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
1
62% ( 26 of 42)
1st Serve Won
36% ( 12 of 33)
53% ( 8 of 15)
2nd Serve Won
18% ( 2 of 11)
86% ( 6 of 7)
Break Points Won
40% ( 2 of 5)
40% ( 23 of 57)
Rtn Points Won
68% ( 30 of 44)
64
Total Points Won
37
L
6-0 6-3 H2H
Q1
cross
Storm Hunter
Player
Kaia Kanepi
64% ( 28 of 44)
1st Serve %
64% ( 45 of 70)
1
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
1
71% ( 20 of 28)
1st Serve Won
44% ( 20 of 45)
44% ( 7 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 11 of 25)
50% ( 6 of 12)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
39% ( 17 of 44)
Rtn Points Won
56% ( 39 of 70)
66
Total Points Won
48
L
6-3 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Chloe Paquet
Player
Kaia Kanepi
64% ( 34 of 53)
1st Serve %
61% ( 35 of 57)
6
Aces
2
3
Double Faults
2
88% ( 30 of 34)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 21 of 35)
37% ( 7 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 10 of 22)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
30% ( 16 of 53)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 26 of 57)
63
Total Points Won
47
L
6-4 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Dalma Galfi
Player
Kaia Kanepi
74% ( 79 of 107)
1st Serve %
59% ( 57 of 96)
11
Aces
4
1
Double Faults
5
72% ( 57 of 79)
1st Serve Won
74% ( 42 of 57)
36% ( 10 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
23% ( 9 of 39)
55% ( 6 of 11)
Break Points Won
33% ( 3 of 9)
37% ( 40 of 107)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 45 of 96)
112
Total Points Won
91
L
6-7(7) 6-1 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Qinwen Zheng
Player
Kaia Kanepi
46% ( 36 of 79)
1st Serve %
49% ( 35 of 72)
9
Aces
0
7
Double Faults
9
67% ( 24 of 36)
1st Serve Won
69% ( 24 of 35)
58% ( 25 of 43)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 14 of 37)
75% ( 6 of 8)
Break Points Won
33% ( 3 of 9)
38% ( 30 of 79)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 34 of 72)
83
Total Points Won
68
L
6-2 3-6 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Kaia Kanepi
Player
Barbora Strycova
57% ( 32 of 56)
1st Serve %
53% ( 40 of 76)
1
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
7
72% ( 23 of 32)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 26 of 40)
71% ( 17 of 24)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 18 of 36)
75% ( 3 of 4)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
29% ( 16 of 56)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 32 of 76)
72
Total Points Won
60
W
6-4 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Rebecca Peterson
Player
Kaia Kanepi
56% ( 38 of 68)
1st Serve %
50% ( 38 of 76)
2
Aces
2
7
Double Faults
4
61% ( 23 of 38)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 23 of 38)
50% ( 15 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 19 of 38)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
63% ( 5 of 8)
44% ( 30 of 68)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 34 of 76)
72
Total Points Won
72
L
6-4 1-6 6-3 H2H
R1
W
6-2 6-1 H2H
R2
cross
Alize Cornet
Player
Kaia Kanepi
67% ( 82 of 122)
1st Serve %
62% ( 73 of 117)
2
Aces
0
13
Double Faults
0
66% ( 54 of 82)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 43 of 73)
30% ( 12 of 40)
2nd Serve Won
34% ( 15 of 44)
47% ( 8 of 17)
Break Points Won
44% ( 8 of 18)
46% ( 56 of 122)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 59 of 117)
125
Total Points Won
114
L
7-6(1) 5-7 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Kaia Kanepi
Player
Lucrezia Stefanini
54% ( 21 of 39)
1st Serve %
87% ( 46 of 53)
2
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
0
95% ( 20 of 21)
1st Serve Won
50% ( 23 of 46)
50% ( 9 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
57% ( 4 of 7)
100% ( 5 of 5)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
26% ( 10 of 39)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 26 of 53)
55
Total Points Won
37
W
6-2 6-3 H2H

Aryna Sabalenka Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
QF
cross
Marketa Vondrousova
Player
Aryna Sabalenka
62% ( 59 of 95)
1st Serve %
56% ( 44 of 78)
5
Aces
4
4
Double Faults
9
58% ( 34 of 59)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 27 of 44)
47% ( 17 of 36)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 13 of 34)
88% ( 7 of 8)
Break Points Won
40% ( 6 of 15)
46% ( 44 of 95)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 38 of 78)
89
Total Points Won
84
L
3-6 6-3 7-5 H2H
R2
cross
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Paula Badosa Gibert
66% ( 70 of 106)
1st Serve %
66% ( 59 of 90)
4
Aces
4
3
Double Faults
5
70% ( 49 of 70)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 40 of 59)
44% ( 16 of 36)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 15 of 31)
33% ( 3 of 9)
Break Points Won
36% ( 4 of 11)
39% ( 41 of 106)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 35 of 90)
100
Total Points Won
96
W
7-6(4) 4-6 3-3 ret. H2H
R3
cross
Anhelina Kalinina
Player
Aryna Sabalenka
67% ( 55 of 82)
1st Serve %
66% ( 50 of 76)
1
Aces
3
5
Double Faults
6
60% ( 33 of 55)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 31 of 50)
37% ( 10 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
31% ( 8 of 26)
55% ( 6 of 11)
Break Points Won
45% ( 5 of 11)
48% ( 39 of 82)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 37 of 76)
80
Total Points Won
78
L
6-4 1-6 6-1 H2H
R2
cross
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Paula Badosa Gibert
76% ( 39 of 51)
1st Serve %
59% ( 44 of 74)
3
Aces
3
4
Double Faults
4
77% ( 30 of 39)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 27 of 44)
58% ( 7 of 12)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 14 of 30)
38% ( 3 of 8)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
27% ( 14 of 51)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 33 of 74)
70
Total Points Won
55
W
6-4 6-3 H2H
R4
cross
Emma Navarro
Player
Aryna Sabalenka
60% ( 54 of 90)
1st Serve %
58% ( 42 of 73)
2
Aces
4
1
Double Faults
4
65% ( 35 of 54)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 26 of 42)
56% ( 20 of 36)
2nd Serve Won
61% ( 19 of 31)
80% ( 4 of 5)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
39% ( 35 of 90)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 28 of 73)
83
Total Points Won
80
L
6-3 3-6 6-2 H2H
R3
cross
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Emma Raducanu
63% ( 47 of 75)
1st Serve %
62% ( 36 of 58)
8
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
4
74% ( 35 of 47)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 24 of 36)
54% ( 15 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
55% ( 12 of 22)
43% ( 3 of 7)
Break Points Won
10% ( 1 of 10)
33% ( 25 of 75)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 22 of 58)
72
Total Points Won
61
W
6-3 7-5 H2H
R2
cross
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Peyton Stearns
61% ( 67 of 109)
1st Serve %
64% ( 75 of 117)
10
Aces
3
9
Double Faults
4
76% ( 51 of 67)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 47 of 75)
43% ( 18 of 42)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 19 of 42)
50% ( 6 of 12)
Break Points Won
40% ( 4 of 10)
37% ( 40 of 109)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 51 of 117)
120
Total Points Won
106
W
6-7(2) 6-2 7-6(6) H2H
R2
cross
Donna Vekic
Player
Aryna Sabalenka
54% ( 59 of 109)
1st Serve %
57% ( 52 of 91)
14
Aces
8
5
Double Faults
8
63% ( 37 of 59)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 31 of 52)
54% ( 27 of 50)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 16 of 39)
70% ( 7 of 10)
Break Points Won
21% ( 3 of 14)
41% ( 45 of 109)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 44 of 91)
108
Total Points Won
92
L
6-7(5) 6-3 6-0 H2H
F
cross
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Qinwen Zheng
67% ( 38 of 57)
1st Serve %
53% ( 27 of 51)
3
Aces
6
0
Double Faults
6
84% ( 32 of 38)
1st Serve Won
74% ( 20 of 27)
42% ( 8 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 9 of 24)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 4)
30% ( 17 of 57)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 22 of 51)
62
Total Points Won
46
W
6-3 6-2 H2H
SF
cross
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Cori Gauff
76% ( 50 of 66)
1st Serve %
57% ( 48 of 84)
4
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
8
70% ( 35 of 50)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 31 of 48)
50% ( 8 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
39% ( 14 of 36)
40% ( 4 of 10)
Break Points Won
75% ( 3 of 4)
35% ( 23 of 66)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 39 of 84)
82
Total Points Won
68
W
7-6(2) 6-4 H2H

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