Juan Pablo Varillas vs Lucca Guercio Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In recent performances, Varillas has excelled with second serve points, winning 43.76%, whereas Guercio has failed to win any points, highlighting a potential decisive factor.
• Varillas outshines Guercio in return game stats, securing 48.82% of opponent's second serve points compared to Guercio's 0%; this trend continues with first serve returns at 30.11% versus 0% respectively.
• When facing breakpoints, Varillas has an impressive 45.7% save rate, in stark contrast to Guercio's 0%, indicating Varillas' edge under pressure.
• Overall match performance over the past year favors Varillas, with a 53.85% win rate, while Guercio lags considerably behind at 22.22%.
• On clay courts, Varillas excels with a 62% win rate, whereas Guercio struggles, achieving only a 33% victory rate, suggesting a surface advantage for Varillas.
• Varillas competes at a higher Challenger/ITF level with a better 57.14% win rate, contrasting Guercio's lower Futures/ITF level play and a 23.53% win rate.
• The quality of opponents varies with Varillas facing higher-ranked competitors averaging 258.56, compared to Guercio's average opponent rank of 81.56.
• In matches reaching deciding sets, Varillas boasts a stronger record, winning 47%, while Guercio falls short, winning 25%.
• Break point conversion also highlights Varillas' dominance, converting 30.77% of opportunities, as opposed to Guercio's 0% conversion rate.

Editorial Prediction (September 2, 2025, UTC):

As we analyze the current statistics and trends, Varillas emerges as a dominant force, particularly in areas crucial to match outcomes including second serve performance, return games, and breakpoint saves.

Guercio's lack of point conversions in these categories highlights significant vulnerabilities, further evidenced by a stark contrast in recent win rates and surface performance.

Given Varillas' adeptness under pressure and success against higher-ranked competition, he possesses a clear advantage going into this matchup.

With these factors considered, Varillas is favored to secure victory in the upcoming tennis match against Guercio.