Jessica Pegula vs Leylah Annie Fernandez Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• When evaluating recent performance on second serves, Pegula holds a slight advantage, winning 44.34% of these points compared to Fernandez’s 40.29%.
• However, Fernandez edges out Pegula in successfully returning second serves, with a rate of 48.83% to Pegula's 47.94%.
• Both players are nearly identical in returning first serves, Pegula at 29.3% and Fernandez at 29.28%.
• Under pressure, Pegula has a marginally higher breakpoint save rate at 52.9%, compared to Fernandez's 52.03%.
• Overall match performance in the past year favors Pegula, who has won 72.97% of her matches, significantly better than Fernandez’s 52.63%.
• Analysing surface strengths, Pegula is stronger on hard courts with a career win percentage of 67%, whereas Fernandez is more effective on indoor hard surfaces, winning 71% of those matches.
• Pegula competes and performs slightly better in higher-level events like Masters, winning 68.57% of her matches, versus Fernandez’s 59.26% win rate on the Main Tour.
• Directly facing each other, Pegula leads with two victories and has won four of the five sets played against Fernandez.
• In a deciding set scenario, Pegula so far has been undefeated against Fernandez and generally excels by winning 68% of deciding sets in the last year, compared to Fernandez’s 47%.
• The players are equally matched in tiebreak situations, each winning one in their head-to-head encounters.
• Ranking-wise, Pegula has been facing stronger opponents, with an average ranking of 54.41 compared to the lower-ranked opponents Fernandez has faced, averaging 80.21.
• In terms of break point conversion in recent form, Pegula again narrowly surpasses Fernandez, converting 34.29% of opportunities to Fernandez's 33.79%.

Editorial Prediction (July 24, 2025, UTC):

As we anticipate this match, analyzing the performance statistics and head-to-head records is crucial.

Pegula demonstrates superior overall performance, exhibiting strong match-winning percentages and good results in deciding sets. She also thrives on hard courts, which could provide a slight edge given the match surface.

While Fernandez is proficient with indoor hard courts and offers a formidable return game, Pegula's historical success against stronger-ranked opponents and her ability to win in high-pressure scenarios offer compelling advantages.

Given these insights, Jessica Pegula is likely to emerge victorious in this upcoming encounter against Leylah Fernandez.