Jessica Pegula vs Anastasija Sevastova Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Recent second serve performance shows Pegula leading with 44.87% of points won compared to Sevastova's 37.12%, suggesting an advantage for Pegula in this area.
• On return game stats, Sevastova excels by winning 54.35% of opponent's second serve points, whereas Pegula stands at 48.49%. For first serve returns, Sevastova leads again, winning 33.28% against Pegula's 29.1%.
• When under pressure, Pegula slightly lags behind with a breakpoint save percentage of 52.46% compared to Sevastova's 54.72%, indicating Sevastova's effectiveness in crucial moments.
• Over the last year, Pegula boasts a superior match win rate of 72.97%, significantly outperforming Sevastova's 50% win rate. Does this hint at a stronger current form for Pegula?
• Analyzing the best playing surfaces, Sevastova excels on clay with a 68% win rate, while Pegula's strongest performance is on hard courts, winning 67% of matches.
• In the Masters series, Pegula has a slight edge with a 69.44% win rate, compared to Sevastova's 66.67%.
• Direct head-to-head encounters show an even score of 1-1, with their last meeting resulting in Pegula winning on clay. Could this give Pegula an edge on similar surfaces?
• Sevastova has faced opponents with an average ranking of 110.57, considerably lower than Pegula's opponents who have an average ranking of 53.69, which might suggest Pegula is more challenged but experienced against top-tier players.
• In deciding sets over the past year, Pegula has been more successful, winning 68% compared to Sevastova's 60%.
• Sevastova has a higher breakpoint conversion rate at 38.61%, compared to Pegula's 34.22%, indicating greater effectiveness in capitalizing on breakpoint opportunities.

Editorial Prediction (August 1, 2025, UTC):

Examining recent performance metrics, it's clear that Pegula holds a significant edge in both win rate over the past year and second serve effectiveness. Despite Sevastova's strengths in converting breakpoints and handling pressure situations, Pegula's recent form and experience against higher-ranked opponents may prove decisive.

Sevastova's superiority in receiving serve could challenge Pegula, especially in first and second serve returns, but the overall edge probably favors Pegula given her higher overall win percentages and capacity to clinch deciding sets.

The head-to-head records suggest an evenly matched contest, yet Pegula's recent consistency and composure under decisive conditions imply she might replicate her previous victory on a similar surface.

Considering all factors, Jessica Pegula is the likely winner of the upcoming match, provided she maintains her current form and leverages her serving strengths.