Jelena Ostapenko vs Renata Zarazua Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Zarazua edges out Ostapenko on recent second serve performance, with Zarazua winning 40.17% of points compared to Ostapenko's 38.53%. Does Zarazua have a slight edge here? Yes, albeit a small one.
• In return games, Ostapenko slightly leads with 53.04% of second serve returns won, while Zarazua has 52.16%. However, Zarazua excels in first serve return stats with 36.08% compared to Ostapenko's 32.18%.
• Under pressure, Zarazua has been more successful, saving 50.43% of breakpoints versus Ostapenko's 46.61%.
• Overall performance this past year shows Zarazua with a win rate of 61.54%, ahead of Ostapenko's 48.57%.
• When it comes to surface preference, Zarazua's best results are on indoor hard courts (62% win rate), while Ostapenko shines on grass with a 68% win rate.
• Level of play differs significantly; Zarazua has excelled in ITF tournaments, whereas Ostapenko competes in the higher-level Masters series.
• Considering opponent quality, Ostapenko has faced more challenging opponents, with an average rank of 54.23 compared to Zarazua's 211.77.
• Ostapenko is more successful in deciding sets, having won 64% compared to Zarazua's 46% win rate.
• In terms of converting breakpoints, Ostapenko again has a slight edge at 42.01% versus 38.25% for Zarazua.

Editorial Prediction (July 30, 2025, UTC):

In analyzing second serve performance, both players show close competition with Zarazua slightly ahead. This minor edge could prove pivotal in tight matches where such nuances make a difference.

Ostapenko exhibits strength in returning games and boasts a greater ability to convert breakpoints. These skills are essential, particularly in critical match situations where opportunities are scarce but decisive.

Though Zarazua has a better yearly win percentage, Ostapenko competes at a higher level, facing stiffer competition regularly. Her performance against higher-ranked opponents may make her better prepared for high-pressure encounters.

Surface preferences show a contrast; while Zarazua thrives on indoor hard courts, Ostapenko's dominance on grass surfaces might translate into confidence and adaptability in various conditions.

Despite Zarazua's stability in saving breakpoints and her superior ITF circuit performance, Ostapenko's skill in deciding sets and her recent experience against stronger opponents lend her a significant edge.

Considering these factors, Ostapenko, with her proven record in critical match phases and higher-level competition, is positioned to emerge as the likely winner of their upcoming match.