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Jelena Ostapenko vs Daria Kasatkina Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com
By Wojtek Kolan
At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Ostapenko vs Kasatkina analysis and find out who is favored!
Jelena Ostapenko vs Daria Kasatkina Important H2H Prediction Stats:
- Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Ostapenko has won 46.19% of points on his second serve, while Kasatkina has won 43.17%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
- Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Ostapenko, in recent form, has won 60.06% of his opponent's second serve points, while Kasatkina has won 59.85%. The same stats for first serve returns are 33.78% and 38.52% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
- Under pressure analysis: Ostapenko has saved 58.42% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Kasatkina has saved 56.55% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Performance overview: Over the last year Ostapenko has won 67.19% of matches played (W/L 43/ 21), with Kasatkina winning 66.2% (W/L 47/ 24) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
- Best surface: Ostapenko has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 70% (W/L 48/ 21), and worse career win % on Hard, winning 56% (W/L 136/ 107). Kasatkina has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 71% (W/L 127/ 52), and worse career win % on Hard, winning 58% (W/L 160/ 114).
- Player level: In the last year, Ostapenko has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 56% of matches (W/L 14/ 11), where as Kasatkina has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 69.7% of matches (W/L 23/ 10). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
- Direct H2H matches: They have played 8 times before with Ostapenko winning 6 times. They have played 20 sets in total, with Ostapenko winning 12 and Kasatkina winning 8. The last match between Ostapenko and Kasatkina was at the Adelaide International - Adelaide, 13-01-2024, Final, Hard with Jelena Ostapenko getting the victory .
- Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:22:55.
- Deciding set H2H prediction: Ostapenko and Kasatkina have played a deciding set 4 times, with Ostapenko winning 4 times and Kasatkina 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
- Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 0 tiebreaks against each other with Ostapenko winning 0, and Kasatkina 0.
- Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Ostapenko has played against opponents with an average rank of 111.56 while Kasatkina has played against players with an average rank of 111.14.
- Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Ostapenko has won 72% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Kasatkina has won 67% in all matches played on tour.
- Break point conversion: In recent form, Ostapenko has converted 42.42% of breakpoint opportunities, and Kasatkina has converted 46.53% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
Head-to-head: Ostapenko 6 - 2 Kasatkina
10
Rank
5
High
26
Age
R
Plays
6
Total2
1
Hard1
2
Clay1
0
Indoor0
3
Grass0
11
Rank
8
High
26
Age
R
Plays
W
W
L
L
W
L
W
L
W
L
Form
W
W
L
W
L
W
W
W
W
L
62% (379-228)
Career Total W/L
64% (361-203)
70% (19-8)
YTD W/L
64% (16-9)
$10,038,107
Career Prize Money
$7,921,101
2
YTD Titles
0
Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.
| stats | Jelena Ostapenko | Daria Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| All H2H Matches | 6 | 2 |
| Sets Won | 12 | 8 |
| Games Won | 96 | 80 |
| Aces (Total) | 16 | 16 |
| DFs (Total) | 24 | 33 |
| Avg Match Time | 1:22:55 | 1:22:55 |
| 1st Serve % | 59% (295/502) | 65% (341/527) |
| 1st Serve Win% | 62% (184/295) | 58% (199/341) |
| 2nd Serve Win% | 41% (85/207) | 34% (63/186) |
| BPs Won% (Total) | 60% (40/67) | 51% (36/71) |
| Return Points W% | 50% (265/527) | 46% (233/502) |
| Best of 3 Sets W% | 75% (6/8) | 25% (2/8) |
| Best of 5 Sets W% | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| TBs Win% (Total) | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Deciding Set Win% | 100% (4/4) | 0% (0/4) |
| 1st set W, W | 100% (4/4) | 50% (4/2) |
| 1st set W, L | 0% (4/0) | 50% (4/2) |
| 1st set L, W | 50% (4/2) | 0% (4/0) |
| Winning Player | Losing Player | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6-3 6-2 |
Stats 
Jelena Ostapenko
Player
Daria Kasatkina
58%
(
35 of
60)
1st Serve %
55%
(
29 of
53)
3
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
4
77%
(
27 of
35)
1st Serve Won
52%
(
15 of
29)
40%
(
10 of
25)
2nd Serve Won
42%
(
10 of
24)
56%
(
5 of
9)
Break Points Won
29%
(
2 of
7)
38%
(
23 of
60)
Rtn Points Won
53%
(
28 of
53)
65
Total Points Won
48
|
||||
| 6-4 4-6 6-0 |
Stats
Jelena Ostapenko
Player
Daria Kasatkina
57%
(
49 of
86)
1st Serve %
71%
(
70 of
98)
4
Aces
1
4
Double Faults
7
67%
(
33 of
49)
1st Serve Won
59%
(
41 of
70)
59%
(
22 of
37)
2nd Serve Won
32%
(
9 of
28)
35%
(
6 of
17)
Break Points Won
30%
(
3 of
10)
36%
(
31 of
86)
Rtn Points Won
49%
(
48 of
98)
103
Total Points Won
81
|
||||
| 6-1 3-6 8-6 |
Stats
Jelena Ostapenko
Player
Daria Kasatkina
60%
(
53 of
89)
1st Serve %
60%
(
55 of
92)
3
Aces
2
4
Double Faults
7
55%
(
29 of
53)
1st Serve Won
47%
(
26 of
55)
44%
(
16 of
36)
2nd Serve Won
32%
(
12 of
37)
83%
(
10 of
12)
Break Points Won
53%
(
8 of
15)
49%
(
44 of
89)
Rtn Points Won
59%
(
54 of
92)
99
Total Points Won
82
|
||||
| 1-6 7-5 6-2 |
Stats
Jelena Ostapenko
Player
Daria Kasatkina
60%
(
49 of
82)
1st Serve %
62%
(
49 of
79)
0
Aces
6
2
Double Faults
4
59%
(
29 of
49)
1st Serve Won
63%
(
31 of
49)
42%
(
14 of
33)
2nd Serve Won
23%
(
7 of
30)
78%
(
7 of
9)
Break Points Won
58%
(
7 of
12)
48%
(
39 of
82)
Rtn Points Won
52%
(
41 of
79)
84
Total Points Won
77
|
||||
| 6-3 6-2 |
Stats
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Jelena Ostapenko
77%
(
49 of
64)
1st Serve %
47%
(
22 of
47)
2
Aces
1
4
Double Faults
4
65%
(
32 of
49)
1st Serve Won
55%
(
12 of
22)
20%
(
3 of
15)
2nd Serve Won
32%
(
8 of
25)
86%
(
6 of
7)
Break Points Won
50%
(
3 of
6)
45%
(
29 of
64)
Rtn Points Won
57%
(
27 of
47)
62
Total Points Won
49
|
||||
| 6-3 6-1 |
Stats
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Jelena Ostapenko
74%
(
42 of
57)
1st Serve %
57%
(
25 of
44)
1
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
1
69%
(
29 of
42)
1st Serve Won
52%
(
13 of
25)
47%
(
7 of
15)
2nd Serve Won
32%
(
6 of
19)
71%
(
5 of
7)
Break Points Won
20%
(
1 of
5)
37%
(
21 of
57)
Rtn Points Won
57%
(
25 of
44)
61
Total Points Won
40
|
||||
| 4-6 6-2 6-3 |
Stats
Jelena Ostapenko
Player
Daria Kasatkina
66%
(
62 of
94)
1st Serve %
56%
(
47 of
84)
4
Aces
1
7
Double Faults
5
66%
(
41 of
62)
1st Serve Won
53%
(
25 of
47)
28%
(
9 of
32)
2nd Serve Won
41%
(
15 of
37)
89%
(
8 of
9)
Break Points Won
38%
(
5 of
13)
47%
(
44 of
94)
Rtn Points Won
52%
(
44 of
84)
94
Total Points Won
84
|
||||
| 6-3 6-1 | |||||
Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
| stats | Jelena Ostapenko | Daria Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| YTD W/L | 70% (19/8) | 64% (16/9) |
| Sets Win/Loss | 63% (40/24) | 57% (35/26) |
| Games Win/Loss | 54% (326/280) | 52% (296/276) |
| Hard Win/Loss | 68% (13/6) | 60% (12/8) |
| Clay Win/Loss | 50% (2/2) | 80% (4/1) |
| Indoor Hard W/L | 100% (4/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Grass Win/Loss | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Aces pg | 0.35 | 0.14 |
| Aces Total | 103 | 39 |
| DFs per game | 0.38 | 0.42 |
| DFs Total | 113 | 117 |
| Avg Match Time | 1:28:35 | 1:52:14 |
| Avg Opp Rank | 138.26 | 117.2 |
| 1st Serve % | 58% (1009/1727) | 68% (1281/1896) |
| 1st Serve W% | 70% (704/1009) | 60% (772/1281) |
| 2nd Serve W% | 45% (326/718) | 43% (264/615) |
| BPs Won% Total | 42% (89/213) | 46% (121/264) |
| Return Pts W% | 44% (761/1745) | 46% (912/1971) |
| Slam W/L | 67% (2/1) | 50% (1/1) |
| Masters W/L | 50% (4/4) | 43% (3/4) |
| Cups W/L | 67% (2/1) | 0% (0/0) |
| Main Tour W/L | 85% (11/2) | 75% (12/4) |
| Tour Finals W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Challenger W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Futures W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Best of 3 Sets W% | 70% (19/27) | 64% (16/25) |
| Best of 5 Sets W% | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| TBs Win% (Total) | 83% (5/6) | 50% (3/6) |
| Deciding Set W% | 80% (8/10) | 73% (8/11) |
| 1st set W, W | 94% (16/15) | 87% (15/13) |
| 1st set W, L | 6% (16/1) | 13% (15/2) |
| 1st set L, W | 36% (11/4) | 30% (10/3) |
Jelena Ostapenko Recent Matches Played
Before:
| opponent | Score | H2H | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R1 |
Stats
Linda Noskova
Player
Jelena Ostapenko
60%
(
43 of
72)
1st Serve %
63%
(
24 of
38)
8
Aces
1
8
Double Faults
2
72%
(
31 of
43)
1st Serve Won
50%
(
12 of
24)
38%
(
11 of
29)
2nd Serve Won
7%
(
1 of
14)
100%
(
5 of
5)
Break Points Won
11%
(
1 of
9)
42%
(
30 of
72)
Rtn Points Won
66%
(
25 of
38)
67
Total Points Won
43
|
6-3 6-1 | H2H | ||
| Rubber 2 | 2-6 7-5 6-3 | H2H | |||
| Rubber 2 | 7-6(7) 6-4 | H2H | |||
| Rubber 2 | 6-4 4-6 7-6(4) | H2H | |||
| R3 |
Stats
Anna Kalinskaya
Player
Jelena Ostapenko
59%
(
33 of
56)
1st Serve %
52%
(
24 of
46)
2
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
3
73%
(
24 of
33)
1st Serve Won
58%
(
14 of
24)
61%
(
14 of
23)
2nd Serve Won
45%
(
10 of
22)
67%
(
4 of
6)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
2)
32%
(
18 of
56)
Rtn Points Won
48%
(
22 of
46)
60
Total Points Won
42
|
6-3 6-1 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Jelena Ostapenko
Player
Laura Siegemund
51%
(
41 of
80)
1st Serve %
84%
(
64 of
76)
3
Aces
4
8
Double Faults
2
80%
(
33 of
41)
1st Serve Won
58%
(
37 of
64)
44%
(
17 of
39)
2nd Serve Won
33%
(
4 of
12)
44%
(
4 of
9)
Break Points Won
50%
(
3 of
6)
38%
(
30 of
80)
Rtn Points Won
46%
(
35 of
76)
85
Total Points Won
71
|
7-6(3) 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Angelique Kerber
Player
Jelena Ostapenko
58%
(
62 of
106)
1st Serve %
54%
(
62 of
114)
3
Aces
9
8
Double Faults
12
58%
(
36 of
62)
1st Serve Won
65%
(
40 of
62)
50%
(
22 of
44)
2nd Serve Won
27%
(
14 of
52)
40%
(
8 of
20)
Break Points Won
43%
(
6 of
14)
45%
(
48 of
106)
Rtn Points Won
53%
(
60 of
114)
118
Total Points Won
102
|
5-7 6-3 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Anna Kalinskaya
Player
Jelena Ostapenko
74%
(
49 of
66)
1st Serve %
57%
(
39 of
69)
8
Aces
4
2
Double Faults
2
63%
(
31 of
49)
1st Serve Won
59%
(
23 of
39)
76%
(
13 of
17)
2nd Serve Won
53%
(
16 of
30)
80%
(
4 of
5)
Break Points Won
40%
(
2 of
5)
33%
(
22 of
66)
Rtn Points Won
43%
(
30 of
69)
74
Total Points Won
61
|
6-4 7-5 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Jelena Ostapenko
Player
Lulu Sun
55%
(
38 of
69)
1st Serve %
60%
(
37 of
62)
6
Aces
6
5
Double Faults
5
74%
(
28 of
38)
1st Serve Won
73%
(
27 of
37)
58%
(
18 of
31)
2nd Serve Won
48%
(
12 of
25)
22%
(
2 of
9)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
2)
33%
(
23 of
69)
Rtn Points Won
37%
(
23 of
62)
69
Total Points Won
62
|
6-4 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Jelena Ostapenko
Player
Xiyu Wang
51%
(
37 of
73)
1st Serve %
67%
(
60 of
90)
2
Aces
11
6
Double Faults
8
78%
(
29 of
37)
1st Serve Won
68%
(
41 of
60)
53%
(
19 of
36)
2nd Serve Won
33%
(
10 of
30)
40%
(
6 of
15)
Break Points Won
75%
(
3 of
4)
34%
(
25 of
73)
Rtn Points Won
43%
(
39 of
90)
87
Total Points Won
76
|
5-7 6-2 6-3 | H2H | ||
view more
Daria Kasatkina Recent Matches Played
Before:
| opponent | Score | H2H | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F |
Stats
Danielle Rose Collins
Player
Daria Kasatkina
49%
(
21 of
43)
1st Serve %
59%
(
42 of
71)
2
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
5
95%
(
20 of
21)
1st Serve Won
64%
(
27 of
42)
59%
(
13 of
22)
2nd Serve Won
28%
(
8 of
29)
33%
(
4 of
12)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
2)
23%
(
10 of
43)
Rtn Points Won
51%
(
36 of
71)
69
Total Points Won
45
|
6-2 6-1 | H2H | ||
| SF |
Stats
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Jessica Pegula
71%
(
73 of
103)
1st Serve %
60%
(
75 of
125)
2
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
2
52%
(
38 of
73)
1st Serve Won
60%
(
45 of
75)
43%
(
13 of
30)
2nd Serve Won
38%
(
19 of
50)
62%
(
8 of
13)
Break Points Won
73%
(
8 of
11)
50%
(
52 of
103)
Rtn Points Won
49%
(
61 of
125)
112
Total Points Won
116
|
6-4 4-6 7-6(5) | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Jaqueline Cristian
65%
(
62 of
96)
1st Serve %
53%
(
57 of
108)
2
Aces
0
5
Double Faults
4
56%
(
35 of
62)
1st Serve Won
60%
(
34 of
57)
47%
(
16 of
34)
2nd Serve Won
33%
(
17 of
51)
50%
(
10 of
20)
Break Points Won
46%
(
6 of
13)
47%
(
45 of
96)
Rtn Points Won
53%
(
57 of
108)
108
Total Points Won
96
|
6-7(4) 6-2 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Anhelina Kalinina
59%
(
32 of
54)
1st Serve %
67%
(
40 of
60)
3
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
2
47%
(
15 of
32)
1st Serve Won
33%
(
13 of
40)
45%
(
10 of
22)
2nd Serve Won
30%
(
6 of
20)
82%
(
9 of
11)
Break Points Won
63%
(
5 of
8)
54%
(
29 of
54)
Rtn Points Won
68%
(
41 of
60)
66
Total Points Won
48
|
6-1 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Ashlyn Krueger
61%
(
52 of
85)
1st Serve %
70%
(
50 of
71)
1
Aces
3
8
Double Faults
3
58%
(
30 of
52)
1st Serve Won
64%
(
32 of
50)
48%
(
16 of
33)
2nd Serve Won
29%
(
6 of
21)
42%
(
5 of
12)
Break Points Won
33%
(
4 of
12)
46%
(
39 of
85)
Rtn Points Won
46%
(
33 of
71)
79
Total Points Won
77
|
6-3 0-6 6-1 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Sorana Cirstea
Player
Daria Kasatkina
60%
(
33 of
55)
1st Serve %
71%
(
42 of
59)
2
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
3
61%
(
20 of
33)
1st Serve Won
52%
(
22 of
42)
68%
(
15 of
22)
2nd Serve Won
47%
(
8 of
17)
56%
(
5 of
9)
Break Points Won
67%
(
2 of
3)
36%
(
20 of
55)
Rtn Points Won
49%
(
29 of
59)
64
Total Points Won
50
|
7-5 6-2 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Claire Liu
62%
(
13 of
21)
1st Serve %
59%
(
24 of
41)
0
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
4
85%
(
11 of
13)
1st Serve Won
46%
(
11 of
24)
38%
(
3 of
8)
2nd Serve Won
24%
(
4 of
17)
57%
(
4 of
7)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
33%
(
7 of
21)
Rtn Points Won
63%
(
26 of
41)
40
Total Points Won
22
|
6-0 1-0 ret. | H2H | ||
| R4 |
Stats
Yue Yuan
Player
Daria Kasatkina
55%
(
58 of
106)
1st Serve %
73%
(
64 of
88)
0
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
6
64%
(
37 of
58)
1st Serve Won
53%
(
34 of
64)
35%
(
17 of
48)
2nd Serve Won
42%
(
10 of
24)
53%
(
8 of
15)
Break Points Won
44%
(
7 of
16)
49%
(
52 of
106)
Rtn Points Won
50%
(
44 of
88)
98
Total Points Won
96
|
4-6 6-4 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Sloane Stephens
71%
(
65 of
91)
1st Serve %
67%
(
64 of
96)
1
Aces
0
7
Double Faults
1
57%
(
37 of
65)
1st Serve Won
55%
(
35 of
64)
46%
(
12 of
26)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
16 of
32)
40%
(
6 of
15)
Break Points Won
38%
(
6 of
16)
46%
(
42 of
91)
Rtn Points Won
47%
(
45 of
96)
94
Total Points Won
93
|
2-6 6-4 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Daria Kasatkina
Player
Oceane Dodin
73%
(
51 of
70)
1st Serve %
49%
(
35 of
72)
3
Aces
2
8
Double Faults
8
71%
(
36 of
51)
1st Serve Won
74%
(
26 of
35)
42%
(
8 of
19)
2nd Serve Won
38%
(
14 of
37)
75%
(
3 of
4)
Break Points Won
25%
(
1 of
4)
37%
(
26 of
70)
Rtn Points Won
44%
(
32 of
72)
76
Total Points Won
66
|
6-3 7-6(5) | H2H | ||
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